How did Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+16.8. Kamala D Harris received 1,213,760 votes and Donald Trump received 856,994 out of 2,125,534 total votes cast, a 2.5-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What are the demographics of Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI?

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI has a population of 13,459,960 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.3% non-Hispanic white, 5.2% Hispanic, 7.2% Black. About 39% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,905.

Live · Metropolitan area

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Q: What is Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI's political history?

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976. The largest single-election swing was 53.4 points in 1920.

Q: Which places are most similar to Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI are Kansas City, MO-KS, Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Twin Cities metro anchors Minnesota's electoral math

Home to roughly 3.7 million residents, the Minneapolis–St. Paul metro generates a Democratic-leaning vote share that routinely offsets rural outstate margins, making it the decisive weight in statewide contests.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 33460

Population13.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.3y▼ 2.6

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

39.1%▲ 4.1

White78.3%
Black7.2%
Asian5.7%
Hispanic5.2%
Two or more3.9%
Other2.2%
Native0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WIBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Kansas City, MO-KS, Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD, and Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC.

8 visible matches

Kansas City, MO-KS

Educated rural competitive 2

D+2.6

Similarity score97%

Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD

Educated rural competitive 2

D+25.4

Similarity score97%

Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC

Educated rural competitive 2

R+1.3

Similarity score96%

Omaha, NE-IA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.5

Similarity score96%

St. Louis, MO-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

D+0.8

Similarity score96%

Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+29.3

Similarity score96%

Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV

Educated rural competitive 2

D+41.3

Similarity score96%

Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC

Educated rural competitive 2

D+10.2

Similarity score95%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Hennepin	1.3M	D+42.4	502,710	197,244	720,173	8.5%
Hennepin	1.2M	D+42.4	502,710	197,244	720,173	8.5%
Hennepin	1.1M	D+42.4	502,710	197,244	720,173	8.5%
Hennepin	1.1M	D+42.4	502,710	197,244	720,173	8.5%
Ramsey	543K	D+43.1	195,168	75,284	278,025	3.3%
Ramsey	532K	D+43.1	195,168	75,284	278,025	3.3%
Ramsey	511K	D+43.1	195,168	75,284	278,025	3.3%
Ramsey	500K	D+43.1	195,168	75,284	278,025	3.3%
Dakota	446K	D+12.8	143,267	109,995	259,805	3.1%
Dakota	411K	D+12.8	143,267	109,995	259,805	3.1%
Dakota	389K	D+12.8	143,267	109,995	259,805	3.1%
Anoka	370K	R+4.4	97,667	106,974	210,481	2.5%
Dakota	356K	D+12.8	143,267	109,995	259,805	3.1%
Anoka	341K	R+4.4	97,667	106,974	210,481	2.5%
Anoka	326K	R+4.4	97,667	106,974	210,481	2.5%
Anoka	298K	R+4.4	97,667	106,974	210,481	2.5%
Washington	276K	D+8.9	90,324	75,271	169,536	2.0%
Washington	249K	D+8.9	90,324	75,271	169,536	2.0%
Washington	226K	D+8.9	90,324	75,271	169,536	2.0%
Washington	201K	D+8.9	90,324	75,271	169,536	2.0%
Scott	155K	R+8.5	40,214	47,837	90,141	1.1%
Wright	148K	R+29.2	30,883	57,211	90,041	1.1%
Scott	139K	R+8.5	40,214	47,837	90,141	1.1%
Wright	130K	R+29.2	30,883	57,211	90,041	1.1%
Scott	126K	R+8.5	40,214	47,837	90,141	1.1%
Wright	117K	R+29.2	30,883	57,211	90,041	1.1%
Carver	110K	R+5.4	31,869	35,586	69,160	0.8%
Sherburne	101K	R+34.8	18,329	38,491	57,960	0.7%
Carver	97K	R+5.4	31,869	35,586	69,160	0.8%
St. Croix	96K	R+19.2	23,870	35,537	60,642	0.7%
Sherburne	91K	R+34.8	18,329	38,491	57,960	0.7%
Wright	90K	R+29.2	30,883	57,211	90,041	1.1%
Scott	89K	R+8.5	40,214	47,837	90,141	1.1%
Carver	88K	R+5.4	31,869	35,586	69,160	0.8%
St. Croix	87K	R+19.2	23,870	35,537	60,642	0.7%
Sherburne	85K	R+34.8	18,329	38,491	57,960	0.7%
St. Croix	81K	R+19.2	23,870	35,537	60,642	0.7%
Carver	70K	R+5.4	31,869	35,586	69,160	0.8%
Sherburne	64K	R+34.8	18,329	38,491	57,960	0.7%
St. Croix	63K	R+19.2	23,870	35,537	60,642	0.7%
Chisago	58K	R+31.3	11,894	23,047	35,601	0.4%
Chisago	54K	R+31.3	11,894	23,047	35,601	0.4%
Chisago	50K	R+31.3	11,894	23,047	35,601	0.4%
Isanti	43K	R+41.1	7,384	18,027	25,918	0.3%
Pierce	43K	R+16.7	10,171	14,417	25,392	0.3%
Chisago	41K	R+31.3	11,894	23,047	35,601	0.4%
Pierce	41K	R+16.7	10,171	14,417	25,392	0.3%
Pierce	40K	R+16.7	10,171	14,417	25,392	0.3%
Isanti	39K	R+41.1	7,384	18,027	25,918	0.3%
Isanti	38K	R+41.1	7,384	18,027	25,918	0.3%
Pierce	37K	R+16.7	10,171	14,417	25,392	0.3%
Isanti	31K	R+41.1	7,384	18,027	25,918	0.3%
Le Sueur	29K	R+33.6	5,636	11,503	17,469	0.2%
Le Sueur	28K	R+33.6	5,636	11,503	17,469	0.2%
Le Sueur	28K	R+33.6	5,636	11,503	17,469	0.2%
Mille Lacs	27K	R+40.8	4,374	10,570	15,190	0.2%
Mille Lacs	26K	R+40.8	4,374	10,570	15,190	0.2%
Mille Lacs	26K	R+40.8	4,374	10,570	15,190	0.2%
Le Sueur	25K	R+33.6	5,636	11,503	17,469	0.2%
Mille Lacs	22K	R+40.8	4,374	10,570	15,190	0.2%

60 countiesTotal votes: 8,502,136

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WICensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 78.3%Black 7.2%Asian 5.7%Hispanic 5.2%Multiracial 3.0%Native American 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.3%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)	7.2%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	5.7%	6.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	5.2%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	3.0%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.6%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.6%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.5%(1.7M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +15.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	19.7%	42.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	10.5%	22.6%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	10.2%	22.0%	—	—
Other	5.2%	11.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.5%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI metro area? 13,459,960 residents across 60 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI vs National13.5M residents

39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5M

local

13.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.02%

local

4.02%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.8%

local

39.8%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,905

local

$73,905National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.5%

local

8.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.1%

local

39.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

71.6%

local

71.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.3 yrs

local

36.3 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.3%

local

9.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.9%

local

12.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

87.1%

local

87.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

78.4%

vs Previous

-1.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

586K · 21.6%

Citizen VAP

2,711,795

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (29/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+16.8	D+25.7	9.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)Wisconsin(State)

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