Where military payrolls and suburban growth reshape an old Tidewater coalition
The Hampton Roads metro's outsized active-duty and veteran population anchors a distinct electoral calculus, while fast-growing exurban corridors in Chesapeake and Suffolk have steadily shifted the region's partisan margins over successive cycles.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Beach City | 456K | D+2.6 | 115,412 | 109,375 | 227,770 | 6.6% |
| Virginia Beach City | 450K | D+2.6 | 115,412 | 109,375 | 227,770 | 6.6% |
| Virginia Beach City | 435K | D+2.6 | 115,412 | 109,375 | 227,770 | 6.6% |
| Virginia Beach City | 425K | D+2.6 | 115,412 | 109,375 | 227,770 | 6.6% |
| Chesapeake City | 253K | D+3.8 | 65,399 | 60,550 | 127,493 | 3.7% |
| Norfolk City | 246K | D+41.5 | 59,941 | 24,377 | 85,643 | 2.5% |
| Norfolk City | 236K | D+41.5 | 59,941 | 24,377 | 85,643 | 2.5% |
| Norfolk City | 234K | D+41.5 | 59,941 | 24,377 | 85,643 | 2.5% |
| Norfolk City | 234K | D+41.5 | 59,941 | 24,377 | 85,643 | 2.5% |
| Chesapeake City | 233K | D+3.8 | 65,399 | 60,550 | 127,493 | 3.7% |
| Chesapeake City | 219K | D+3.8 | 65,399 | 60,550 | 127,493 | 3.7% |
| Chesapeake City | 199K | D+3.8 | 65,399 | 60,550 | 127,493 | 3.7% |
| Newport News City | 193K | D+28.8 | 48,169 | 26,385 | 75,629 | 2.2% |
| Newport News City | 184K | D+28.8 | 48,169 | 26,385 | 75,629 | 2.2% |
| Newport News City | 182K | D+28.8 | 48,169 | 26,385 | 75,629 | 2.2% |
| Newport News City | 180K | D+28.8 | 48,169 | 26,385 | 75,629 | 2.2% |
| Hampton City | 146K | D+39.9 | 43,357 | 18,383 | 62,632 | 1.8% |
| Hampton City | 146K | D+39.9 | 43,357 | 18,383 | 62,632 | 1.8% |
| Hampton City | 138K | D+39.9 | 43,357 | 18,383 | 62,632 | 1.8% |
| Hampton City | 137K | D+39.9 | 43,357 | 18,383 | 62,632 | 1.8% |
| Portsmouth City | 101K | D+38.6 | 28,306 | 12,370 | 41,252 | 1.2% |
| Portsmouth City | 101K | D+38.6 | 28,306 | 12,370 | 41,252 | 1.2% |
| Suffolk City | 99K | D+15.9 | 30,597 | 22,112 | 53,352 | 1.5% |
| Portsmouth City | 97K | D+38.6 | 28,306 | 12,370 | 41,252 | 1.2% |
| Portsmouth City | 96K | D+38.6 | 28,306 | 12,370 | 41,252 | 1.2% |
| Suffolk City | 87K | D+15.9 | 30,597 | 22,112 | 53,352 | 1.5% |
| Suffolk City | 81K | D+15.9 | 30,597 | 22,112 | 53,352 | 1.5% |
| James City | 81K | D+6.2 | 26,742 | 23,575 | 50,892 | 1.5% |
| James City | 72K | D+6.2 | 26,742 | 23,575 | 50,892 | 1.5% |
| York | 71K | R+6.1 | 18,296 | 20,722 | 39,540 | 1.1% |
| York | 67K | R+6.1 | 18,296 | 20,722 | 39,540 | 1.1% |
| Suffolk City | 64K | D+15.9 | 30,597 | 22,112 | 53,352 | 1.5% |
| York | 61K | R+6.1 | 18,296 | 20,722 | 39,540 | 1.1% |
| James City | 61K | D+6.2 | 26,742 | 23,575 | 50,892 | 1.5% |
| York | 56K | R+6.1 | 18,296 | 20,722 | 39,540 | 1.1% |
| James City | 48K | D+6.2 | 26,742 | 23,575 | 50,892 | 1.5% |
| Isle of Wight | 40K | R+19.8 | 9,779 | 14,659 | 24,672 | 0.7% |
| Gloucester | 40K | R+38.4 | 7,034 | 15,918 | 23,149 | 0.7% |
| Gloucester | 38K | R+38.4 | 7,034 | 15,918 | 23,149 | 0.7% |
| Gloucester | 37K | R+38.4 | 7,034 | 15,918 | 23,149 | 0.7% |
| Isle of Wight | 36K | R+19.8 | 9,779 | 14,659 | 24,672 | 0.7% |
| Gloucester | 35K | R+38.4 | 7,034 | 15,918 | 23,149 | 0.7% |
| Isle of Wight | 35K | R+19.8 | 9,779 | 14,659 | 24,672 | 0.7% |
| Currituck | 31K | R+47.8 | 4,604 | 13,235 | 18,053 | 0.5% |
| Isle of Wight | 30K | R+19.8 | 9,779 | 14,659 | 24,672 | 0.7% |
| Currituck | 25K | R+47.8 | 4,604 | 13,235 | 18,053 | 0.5% |
| Currituck | 24K | R+47.8 | 4,604 | 13,235 | 18,053 | 0.5% |
| Currituck | 18K | R+47.8 | 4,604 | 13,235 | 18,053 | 0.5% |
| Williamsburg City | 16K | D+44.5 | 5,613 | 2,119 | 7,851 | 0.2% |
| Williamsburg City | 15K | D+44.5 | 5,613 | 2,119 | 7,851 | 0.2% |
| Poquoson City | 13K | R+45.9 | 2,119 | 5,800 | 8,024 | 0.2% |
| Williamsburg City | 12K | D+44.5 | 5,613 | 2,119 | 7,851 | 0.2% |
| Poquoson City | 12K | R+45.9 | 2,119 | 5,800 | 8,024 | 0.2% |
| Williamsburg City | 12K | D+44.5 | 5,613 | 2,119 | 7,851 | 0.2% |
| Poquoson City | 12K | R+45.9 | 2,119 | 5,800 | 8,024 | 0.2% |
| Gates | 12K | R+21.6 | 2,268 | 3,538 | 5,868 | 0.2% |
| Poquoson City | 12K | R+45.9 | 2,119 | 5,800 | 8,024 | 0.2% |
| Gates | 12K | R+21.6 | 2,268 | 3,538 | 5,868 | 0.2% |
| Camden | 11K | R+50.7 | 1,522 | 4,716 | 6,304 | 0.2% |
| Gates | 11K | R+21.6 | 2,268 | 3,538 | 5,868 | 0.2% |
| Gates | 10K | R+21.6 | 2,268 | 3,538 | 5,868 | 0.2% |
| Camden | 10K | R+50.7 | 1,522 | 4,716 | 6,304 | 0.2% |
| Camden | 9K | R+50.7 | 1,522 | 4,716 | 6,304 | 0.2% |
| Mathews | 9K | R+39.3 | 1,774 | 4,106 | 5,929 | 0.2% |
| Mathews | 9K | R+39.3 | 1,774 | 4,106 | 5,929 | 0.2% |
| Mathews | 9K | R+39.3 | 1,774 | 4,106 | 5,929 | 0.2% |
| Mathews | 9K | R+39.3 | 1,774 | 4,106 | 5,929 | 0.2% |
| Surry | 7K | R+0.7 | 2,176 | 2,205 | 4,429 | 0.1% |
| Camden | 7K | R+50.7 | 1,522 | 4,716 | 6,304 | 0.2% |
| Surry | 7K | R+0.7 | 2,176 | 2,205 | 4,429 | 0.1% |
| Surry | 7K | R+0.7 | 2,176 | 2,205 | 4,429 | 0.1% |
| Surry | 7K | R+0.7 | 2,176 | 2,205 | 4,429 | 0.1% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 57.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 30.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 5.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.4% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -34.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.1% | 48.7% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 19.2% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 8.3% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 7.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 56.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC metro area? 6,802,937 residents across 72 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+14.8 | R+37.1 | 51.9pp |
| President vs Governor | D+10.2 | R+37.1 | 47.3pp |
| President vs Senate | D+10.2 | D+14.8 | 4.6pp |