A shrinking core metro where the Missouri-Illinois state line splits a single labor market
St. Louis has lost population in its urban core for decades while inner-ring suburbs have absorbed growth, producing a fragmented political map where city precincts, older suburbs, and exurban counties routinely return starkly different margins.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis County | 1.0M | D+23.4 | 305,635 | 187,982 | 502,738 | 8.9% |
| St. Louis County | 1.0M | D+23.4 | 305,635 | 187,982 | 502,738 | 8.9% |
| St. Louis County | 996K | D+23.4 | 305,635 | 187,982 | 502,738 | 8.9% |
| St. Louis County | 995K | D+23.4 | 305,635 | 187,982 | 502,738 | 8.9% |
| St. Charles | 415K | R+17.0 | 92,226 | 130,588 | 226,166 | 4.0% |
| St. Charles | 380K | R+17.0 | 92,226 | 130,588 | 226,166 | 4.0% |
| St. Louis City | 355K | D+64.6 | 94,458 | 19,342 | 116,271 | 2.1% |
| St. Louis City | 348K | D+64.6 | 94,458 | 19,342 | 116,271 | 2.1% |
| St. Charles | 343K | R+17.0 | 92,226 | 130,588 | 226,166 | 4.0% |
| St. Louis City | 316K | D+64.6 | 94,458 | 19,342 | 116,271 | 2.1% |
| St. Louis City | 289K | D+64.6 | 94,458 | 19,342 | 116,271 | 2.1% |
| St. Charles | 284K | R+17.0 | 92,226 | 130,588 | 226,166 | 4.0% |
| Madison | 267K | R+13.2 | 56,341 | 73,925 | 133,072 | 2.4% |
| Madison | 267K | R+13.2 | 56,341 | 73,925 | 133,072 | 2.4% |
| St. Clair | 266K | D+7.8 | 63,433 | 54,021 | 119,962 | 2.1% |
| Madison | 264K | R+13.2 | 56,341 | 73,925 | 133,072 | 2.4% |
| St. Clair | 261K | D+7.8 | 63,433 | 54,021 | 119,962 | 2.1% |
| Madison | 259K | R+13.2 | 56,341 | 73,925 | 133,072 | 2.4% |
| St. Clair | 256K | D+7.8 | 63,433 | 54,021 | 119,962 | 2.1% |
| St. Clair | 254K | D+7.8 | 63,433 | 54,021 | 119,962 | 2.1% |
| Jefferson | 229K | R+36.7 | 36,965 | 80,796 | 119,314 | 2.1% |
| Jefferson | 222K | R+36.7 | 36,965 | 80,796 | 119,314 | 2.1% |
| Jefferson | 215K | R+36.7 | 36,965 | 80,796 | 119,314 | 2.1% |
| Jefferson | 198K | R+36.7 | 36,965 | 80,796 | 119,314 | 2.1% |
| Franklin | 106K | R+45.9 | 14,694 | 40,126 | 55,464 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 102K | R+45.9 | 14,694 | 40,126 | 55,464 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 100K | R+45.9 | 14,694 | 40,126 | 55,464 | 1.0% |
| Franklin | 94K | R+45.9 | 14,694 | 40,126 | 55,464 | 1.0% |
| Lincoln | 63K | R+55.9 | 6,908 | 24,866 | 32,133 | 0.6% |
| Lincoln | 54K | R+55.9 | 6,908 | 24,866 | 32,133 | 0.6% |
| Lincoln | 51K | R+55.9 | 6,908 | 24,866 | 32,133 | 0.6% |
| Macoupin | 49K | R+39.2 | 6,892 | 16,065 | 23,425 | 0.4% |
| Macoupin | 48K | R+39.2 | 6,892 | 16,065 | 23,425 | 0.4% |
| Macoupin | 46K | R+39.2 | 6,892 | 16,065 | 23,425 | 0.4% |
| Macoupin | 44K | R+39.2 | 6,892 | 16,065 | 23,425 | 0.4% |
| Lincoln | 39K | R+55.9 | 6,908 | 24,866 | 32,133 | 0.6% |
| Clinton | 38K | R+51.8 | 4,447 | 14,407 | 19,230 | 0.3% |
| Warren | 37K | R+49.5 | 4,970 | 14,915 | 20,095 | 0.4% |
| Clinton | 37K | R+51.8 | 4,447 | 14,407 | 19,230 | 0.3% |
| Clinton | 36K | R+51.8 | 4,447 | 14,407 | 19,230 | 0.3% |
| Clinton | 36K | R+51.8 | 4,447 | 14,407 | 19,230 | 0.3% |
| Monroe | 35K | R+36.3 | 6,473 | 14,055 | 20,902 | 0.4% |
| Monroe | 34K | R+36.3 | 6,473 | 14,055 | 20,902 | 0.4% |
| Warren | 33K | R+49.5 | 4,970 | 14,915 | 20,095 | 0.4% |
| Monroe | 32K | R+36.3 | 6,473 | 14,055 | 20,902 | 0.4% |
| Warren | 30K | R+49.5 | 4,970 | 14,915 | 20,095 | 0.4% |
| Monroe | 28K | R+36.3 | 6,473 | 14,055 | 20,902 | 0.4% |
| Warren | 25K | R+49.5 | 4,970 | 14,915 | 20,095 | 0.4% |
| Jersey | 22K | R+50.2 | 2,816 | 8,684 | 11,694 | 0.2% |
| Jersey | 22K | R+50.2 | 2,816 | 8,684 | 11,694 | 0.2% |
| Jersey | 22K | R+50.2 | 2,816 | 8,684 | 11,694 | 0.2% |
| Jersey | 21K | R+50.2 | 2,816 | 8,684 | 11,694 | 0.2% |
| Bond | 18K | R+44.7 | 2,117 | 5,692 | 7,991 | 0.1% |
| Bond | 18K | R+44.7 | 2,117 | 5,692 | 7,991 | 0.1% |
| Bond | 17K | R+44.7 | 2,117 | 5,692 | 7,991 | 0.1% |
| Bond | 17K | R+44.7 | 2,117 | 5,692 | 7,991 | 0.1% |
| Calhoun | 5K | R+55.9 | 560 | 2,059 | 2,680 | 0.0% |
| Calhoun | 5K | R+55.9 | 560 | 2,059 | 2,680 | 0.0% |
| Calhoun | 5K | R+55.9 | 560 | 2,059 | 2,680 | 0.0% |
| Calhoun | 4K | R+55.9 | 560 | 2,059 | 2,680 | 0.0% |
| Group | St. Louis, MO-IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 74.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 17.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.1% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +5.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.2% | 41.5% | — | — | |
| 16.2% | 31.6% | — | — | |
| 5.8% | 11.2% | — | — | |
| 4.0% | 7.7% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 7.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the St. Louis, MO-IL metro area? 11,069,188 residents across 60 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+0.8 | D+10.0 | 9.2pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+10.0 | D+1.4 | 8.6pp |
| President vs Governor | D+0.8 | D+1.4 | 0.6pp |