Historic Coastal Plain city where suburban growth is reshaping a longtime Republican lean
New Bern anchors a small metro at the confluence of the Neuse and Trent rivers, where military-connected households from nearby Cherry Point Marine Corps Air Station contribute to a consistently right-of-center baseline in federal and statewide contests.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craven | 104K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 20.2% |
| Craven | 103K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 20.2% |
| Craven | 97K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 20.2% |
| Craven | 91K | R+20.4 | 22,011 | 33,477 | 56,173 | 20.2% |
| Pamlico | 13K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 2.9% |
| Pamlico | 13K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 2.9% |
| Pamlico | 12K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 2.9% |
| Pamlico | 12K | R+32.0 | 2,676 | 5,229 | 7,976 | 2.9% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 2.0% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 2.0% |
| Jones | 10K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 2.0% |
| Jones | 9K | R+25.7 | 2,007 | 3,409 | 5,463 | 2.0% |
| Group | New Bern, NC | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(10) | 22.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 5.3% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -26.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.9% | 38.4% | — | — | |
| 10.9% | 22.2% | — | — | |
| 8.8% | 17.9% | — | — | |
| 8.2% | 16.6% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 4.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.9% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Bern, NC metro area? 485,498 residents across 12 counties.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+22.2 | R+3.6 | 18.6pp |