How did Wilmington, NC vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Wilmington, NC voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+13.9. Kamala D Harris received 121,831 votes and Donald Trump received 161,649 out of 287,021 total votes cast, a 2.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Wilmington, NC's political history?

Wilmington, NC has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1980. The largest single-election swing was 70.6 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Wilmington, NC?

Wilmington, NC has a population of 1,457,417 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 77.8% non-Hispanic white, 5.0% Hispanic, 13.3% Black. About 32% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $55,427.

Which places are most similar to Wilmington, NC?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Wilmington, NC are Traverse City, MI, Pittsburgh, PA, Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Wilmington, NC

A port city metro where military households and coastal retirees reshape turnout

The Wilmington metro anchors southeastern North Carolina's fastest-growing corridor, where an influx of retirees and proximity to Camp Lejeune produce an electorate that swings notably on veterans' issues and coastal-economy concerns.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 48900

Population1.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

42.2y▲ 3.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

32.3%▼ 2.7

White77.8%
Black13.3%
Hispanic5.0%
Two or more3.2%
Other2.4%
Asian0.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Wilmington, NCBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Traverse City, MI, Pittsburgh, PA, and Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC.

8 visible matches

Traverse City, MI

Small-town rural republican

R+5.5

Similarity score92%

Pittsburgh, PA

Educated rural competitive 2

R+4.5

Similarity score91%

Hilton Head Island-Bluffton-Port Royal, SC

Small-town rural republican

R+13.8

Similarity score90%

Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL

Small-town rural republican

R+20.8

Similarity score90%

Helena, MT

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.1

Similarity score89%

Bend, OR

Educated rural democratic

D+1.0

Similarity score89%

Roanoke, VA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.6

Similarity score89%

Asheville, NC

Educated rural democratic

D+10.8

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Wilmington, NC

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
New Hanover	235K	D+0.6	68,814	67,949	138,734	12.1%
New Hanover	216K	D+0.6	68,814	67,949	138,734	12.1%
New Hanover	189K	D+0.6	68,814	67,949	138,734	12.1%
New Hanover	160K	D+0.6	68,814	67,949	138,734	12.1%
Brunswick	153K	R+24.8	40,557	67,658	109,378	9.5%
Brunswick	119K	R+24.8	40,557	67,658	109,378	9.5%
Brunswick	99K	R+24.8	40,557	67,658	109,378	9.5%
Brunswick	73K	R+24.8	40,557	67,658	109,378	9.5%
Pender	66K	R+34.9	12,460	26,042	38,909	3.4%
Pender	56K	R+34.9	12,460	26,042	38,909	3.4%
Pender	49K	R+34.9	12,460	26,042	38,909	3.4%
Pender	41K	R+34.9	12,460	26,042	38,909	3.4%

12 countiesTotal votes: 1,148,084

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Wilmington, NC's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Wilmington, NC metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Wilmington, NCCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 77.8%Black 13.3%Hispanic 5.0%Multiracial 2.5%Asian 0.9%Native American 0.4%

Group	Wilmington, NC	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	77.8%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(13)	13.3%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	5.0%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

43.0%(194.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -15.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	16.3%	37.8%	—	—
Catholic	11.6%	27.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.0%	18.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.8%	8.9%	—	—
Other	3.1%	7.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	2.3%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	57.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Wilmington, NC metro area? 1,457,417 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Wilmington, NC vs National1.5M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.5M

local

1.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.44%

local

0.44%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

46.3%

local

46.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$55,427

local

$55,427National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.3%

local

32.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.6%

local

69.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.2 yrs

local

42.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.8%

local

12.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.2%

local

16.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.3%

local

4.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.4%

local

6.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.6%

local

93.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Wilmington, NC

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

79.0%

vs Previous

+8.5pp

Eligible Non-Voters

76K · 21.0%

Citizen VAP

363,491

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Wilmington, NC split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (40/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	R+13.9	D+11.7	25.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 11.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Wilmington, NC sits inside these higher-level geographies.

North Carolina(State)

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