How did Lynchburg, VA vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lynchburg, VA voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+37.7. Kamala D Harris received 44,721 votes and Donald Trump received 99,608 out of 145,661 total votes cast, a 5.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lynchburg, VA's political history?

Lynchburg, VA has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1952. The largest single-election swing was 52.9 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Lynchburg, VA?

Lynchburg, VA has a population of 980,395 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 76.9% non-Hispanic white, 2.1% Hispanic, 17.1% Black. About 25% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,499.

Which places are most similar to Lynchburg, VA?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lynchburg, VA are Knoxville, TN, Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC, Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Lynchburg, VA

Liberty University's enrollment shapes a college-town dynamic in a mid-size Blue Ridge metro

Lynchburg's electorate leans conservative even by Virginia standards, anchored by a large evangelical institutional presence and a blue-collar manufacturing base that has historically produced wide Republican margins in federal races.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 31340

Population980K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39.1y▲ 0.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

24.9%▼ 10.1

White76.9%
Black17.1%
Two or more2.8%
Hispanic2.1%
Asian1.2%
Other0.8%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Lynchburg, VABaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Knoxville, TN, Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC, and Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL.

8 visible matches

Knoxville, TN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+35.5

Similarity score89%

Greenville-Anderson-Greer, SC

Small-town rural republican 2

R+33.0

Similarity score88%

Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.4

Similarity score86%

Roanoke, VA

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.6

Similarity score85%

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican 2

R+35.2

Similarity score84%

Birmingham, AL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+19.8

Similarity score84%

Jefferson City, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+43.5

Similarity score83%

New Bern, NC

Small-town rural republican 2

R+22.1

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lynchburg, VA

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Bedford	81K	R+50.4	12,414	38,017	50,830	8.7%
Lynchburg City	79K	R+7.9	16,664	19,574	36,715	6.3%
Lynchburg City	79K	R+7.9	16,664	19,574	36,715	6.3%
Bedford	77K	R+50.4	12,414	38,017	50,830	8.7%
Lynchburg City	71K	R+7.9	16,664	19,574	36,715	6.3%
Bedford	66K	R+50.4	12,414	38,017	50,830	8.7%
Lynchburg City	65K	R+7.9	16,664	19,574	36,715	6.3%
Bedford	60K	R+50.4	12,414	38,017	50,830	8.7%
Campbell	55K	R+48.6	7,890	23,032	31,171	5.3%
Campbell	55K	R+48.6	7,890	23,032	31,171	5.3%
Campbell	53K	R+48.6	7,890	23,032	31,171	5.3%
Campbell	51K	R+48.6	7,890	23,032	31,171	5.3%
Amherst	32K	R+36.5	5,429	11,742	17,303	3.0%
Amherst	32K	R+36.5	5,429	11,742	17,303	3.0%
Amherst	32K	R+36.5	5,429	11,742	17,303	3.0%
Amherst	31K	R+36.5	5,429	11,742	17,303	3.0%
Appomattox	17K	R+51.0	2,324	7,243	9,642	1.7%
Appomattox	15K	R+51.0	2,324	7,243	9,642	1.7%
Appomattox	14K	R+51.0	2,324	7,243	9,642	1.7%
Appomattox	14K	R+51.0	2,324	7,243	9,642	1.7%

20 countiesTotal votes: 582,644

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lynchburg, VA's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lynchburg, VA metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lynchburg, VACensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 76.9%Black 17.1%Multiracial 2.4%Hispanic 2.1%Asian 1.2%

Group	Lynchburg, VA	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.9%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(10)	17.1%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	2.1%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.2%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.5%(146.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -64.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	38.0%	68.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	9.6%	17.3%	—	—
Catholic	4.6%	8.2%	—	—
Other	1.9%	3.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.4%	2.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lynchburg, VA metro area? 980,395 residents across 20 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Lynchburg, VA vs National980K residents

25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

980K

local

980KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.29%

local

0.29%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.0%

local

40.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,499

local

$50,499National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.9%

local

24.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.1 yrs

local

39.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.5%

local

14.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.8%

local

2.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.1%

local

4.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.9%

local

95.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lynchburg, VA

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

70.2%

vs Previous

+2.2pp

Eligible Non-Voters

62K · 29.8%

Citizen VAP

207,578

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lynchburg, VA split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (55/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+37.7	R+35.1	2.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lynchburg, VA sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Virginia(State)

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