A majority-minority metro where turnout gaps shape every close race
New Orleans-Metairie blends a heavily Black, Democratic-leaning core city with whiter, more Republican suburban Jefferson Parish, making intra-metro demographic splits a persistent driver of electoral outcomes across all levels of the ballot.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orleans | 485K | D+67.0 | 130,749 | 24,119 | 159,130 | 9.4% |
| Jefferson | 455K | R+12.9 | 75,731 | 98,810 | 178,205 | 10.6% |
| Jefferson | 440K | R+12.9 | 75,731 | 98,810 | 178,205 | 10.6% |
| Jefferson | 435K | R+12.9 | 75,731 | 98,810 | 178,205 | 10.6% |
| Jefferson | 431K | R+12.9 | 75,731 | 98,810 | 178,205 | 10.6% |
| Orleans | 383K | D+67.0 | 130,749 | 24,119 | 159,130 | 9.4% |
| Orleans | 372K | D+67.0 | 130,749 | 24,119 | 159,130 | 9.4% |
| Orleans | 329K | D+67.0 | 130,749 | 24,119 | 159,130 | 9.4% |
| St. Bernard | 67K | R+29.3 | 5,967 | 11,033 | 17,292 | 1.0% |
| St. Charles | 53K | R+32.3 | 8,812 | 17,443 | 26,685 | 1.6% |
| St. Charles | 51K | R+32.3 | 8,812 | 17,443 | 26,685 | 1.6% |
| St. Charles | 51K | R+32.3 | 8,812 | 17,443 | 26,685 | 1.6% |
| St. Charles | 48K | R+32.3 | 8,812 | 17,443 | 26,685 | 1.6% |
| St. John the Baptist | 47K | D+29.1 | 12,043 | 6,557 | 18,827 | 1.1% |
| St. Bernard | 44K | R+29.3 | 5,967 | 11,033 | 17,292 | 1.0% |
| St. Bernard | 44K | R+29.3 | 5,967 | 11,033 | 17,292 | 1.0% |
| St. John the Baptist | 44K | D+29.1 | 12,043 | 6,557 | 18,827 | 1.1% |
| St. John the Baptist | 43K | D+29.1 | 12,043 | 6,557 | 18,827 | 1.1% |
| St. John the Baptist | 41K | D+29.1 | 12,043 | 6,557 | 18,827 | 1.1% |
| St. Bernard | 38K | R+29.3 | 5,967 | 11,033 | 17,292 | 1.0% |
| Plaquemines | 27K | R+38.0 | 3,023 | 6,803 | 9,945 | 0.6% |
| Plaquemines | 24K | R+38.0 | 3,023 | 6,803 | 9,945 | 0.6% |
| Plaquemines | 23K | R+38.0 | 3,023 | 6,803 | 9,945 | 0.6% |
| Plaquemines | 23K | R+38.0 | 3,023 | 6,803 | 9,945 | 0.6% |
| St. James | 22K | R+0.9 | 5,792 | 5,902 | 11,789 | 0.7% |
| St. James | 21K | R+0.9 | 5,792 | 5,902 | 11,789 | 0.7% |
| St. James | 21K | R+0.9 | 5,792 | 5,902 | 11,789 | 0.7% |
| St. James | 20K | R+0.9 | 5,792 | 5,902 | 11,789 | 0.7% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 46.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 40.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.3% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.9% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.5% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +36.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.7% | 60.7% | — | — | |
| 13.0% | 19.9% | — | — | |
| 6.0% | 9.1% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 6.4% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 3.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.4% | 0.7% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 34.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Orleans-Metairie, LA metro area? 4,081,409 residents across 28 counties.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+19.2 | R+12.2 | 31.4pp |