A majority-Black metro where turnout patterns reshape statewide math
The Jackson metro anchors Mississippi's most concentrated bloc of Black voters, and shifts in its turnout margins routinely determine how competitive statewide races appear on election night.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hinds | 251K | D+46.1 | 62,840 | 22,816 | 86,830 | 8.3% |
| Hinds | 249K | D+46.1 | 62,840 | 22,816 | 86,830 | 8.3% |
| Hinds | 245K | D+46.1 | 62,840 | 22,816 | 86,830 | 8.3% |
| Hinds | 219K | D+46.1 | 62,840 | 22,816 | 86,830 | 8.3% |
| Rankin | 159K | R+47.1 | 18,060 | 50,896 | 69,678 | 6.7% |
| Rankin | 148K | R+47.1 | 18,060 | 50,896 | 69,678 | 6.7% |
| Rankin | 138K | R+47.1 | 18,060 | 50,896 | 69,678 | 6.7% |
| Rankin | 115K | R+47.1 | 18,060 | 50,896 | 69,678 | 6.7% |
| Madison | 112K | R+17.3 | 22,700 | 32,333 | 55,710 | 5.3% |
| Madison | 102K | R+17.3 | 22,700 | 32,333 | 55,710 | 5.3% |
| Madison | 89K | R+17.3 | 22,700 | 32,333 | 55,710 | 5.3% |
| Madison | 75K | R+17.3 | 22,700 | 32,333 | 55,710 | 5.3% |
| Copiah | 29K | R+6.1 | 5,426 | 6,134 | 11,665 | 1.1% |
| Scott | 29K | R+23.9 | 3,729 | 6,098 | 9,891 | 0.9% |
| Copiah | 29K | R+6.1 | 5,426 | 6,134 | 11,665 | 1.1% |
| Copiah | 29K | R+6.1 | 5,426 | 6,134 | 11,665 | 1.1% |
| Scott | 28K | R+23.9 | 3,729 | 6,098 | 9,891 | 0.9% |
| Yazoo | 28K | R+2.4 | 4,342 | 4,558 | 8,971 | 0.9% |
| Scott | 28K | R+23.9 | 3,729 | 6,098 | 9,891 | 0.9% |
| Yazoo | 28K | R+2.4 | 4,342 | 4,558 | 8,971 | 0.9% |
| Simpson | 28K | R+36.7 | 3,479 | 7,552 | 11,094 | 1.1% |
| Copiah | 28K | R+6.1 | 5,426 | 6,134 | 11,665 | 1.1% |
| Yazoo | 28K | R+2.4 | 4,342 | 4,558 | 8,971 | 0.9% |
| Scott | 28K | R+23.9 | 3,729 | 6,098 | 9,891 | 0.9% |
| Simpson | 28K | R+36.7 | 3,479 | 7,552 | 11,094 | 1.1% |
| Simpson | 27K | R+36.7 | 3,479 | 7,552 | 11,094 | 1.1% |
| Simpson | 26K | R+36.7 | 3,479 | 7,552 | 11,094 | 1.1% |
| Yazoo | 25K | R+2.4 | 4,342 | 4,558 | 8,971 | 0.9% |
| Holmes | 22K | D+62.1 | 5,420 | 1,243 | 6,730 | 0.6% |
| Holmes | 20K | D+62.1 | 5,420 | 1,243 | 6,730 | 0.6% |
| Holmes | 19K | D+62.1 | 5,420 | 1,243 | 6,730 | 0.6% |
| Holmes | 16K | D+62.1 | 5,420 | 1,243 | 6,730 | 0.6% |
| Group | Jackson, MS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Black / African American(10) | 48.0% | 12.2% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 47.6% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 2.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.9% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -63.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41.5% | 62.7% | — | — | |
| 12.0% | 18.2% | — | — | |
| 7.7% | 11.6% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| 2.4% | 3.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 33.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Jackson, MS metro area? 2,422,329 residents across 32 counties.
28% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 5pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+2.2 | R+6.6 | 4.4pp |