A majority-Hispanic border metro that shifted sharply toward Republicans in 2020
Starr County, the core of this Rio Grande metro, is over 95% Hispanic yet delivered a Republican presidential margin for the first time in decades in 2020, signaling a realignment that analysts across the spectrum are still working to explain.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 98.1% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 1.5% | 57.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.1% | 6.0% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +82.2pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76.8% | 91.2% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 4.5% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.4% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 15.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Rio Grande City-Roma, TX metro area? 243,608 residents across 4 counties.
10% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 23pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+35 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+16.0 | R+2.4 | 13.6pp |