A majority-Hispanic border metro where margins shifted sharply in 2020
Anchored by the Rio Grande and Cameron County, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and delivered a notably closer presidential result in 2020 than in prior cycles, drawing national attention to South Texas voting patterns.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 87.3% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 11.2% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.6% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.5% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(5) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +39.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36.3% | 67.4% | — | — | |
| 12.9% | 24.0% | — | — | |
| 3.3% | 6.2% | — | — | |
| 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 2.2% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 46.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Brownsville-Harlingen, TX metro area? 1,563,303 residents across 4 counties.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+5.8 | D+4.3 | 10.1pp |