A majority-Hispanic border metro where turnout patterns keep shifting
Anchored by Hidalgo County along the Rio Grande, this metro is roughly 90% Hispanic and drew national attention after posting unexpected rightward swings in recent presidential cycles despite decades of lopsided Democratic margins.
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 90.5% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 7.8% | 57.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 0.6% | 12.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +55.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.5% | 75.8% | — | — | |
| 9.8% | 16.3% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 5.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 1.9% | — | — |
| 1.1% | 1.8% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 40.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX metro area? 2,992,471 residents across 4 counties.
17% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+22 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+2.9 | D+6.6 | 9.5pp |