Mohawk Valley's post-industrial core swings harder than statewide trends suggest
Once a Manufacturing stronghold, the Utica-Rome metro has shifted markedly toward Republican margins in federal races over the past decade, driven by demographic change and deindustrialization in Oneida County's mid-sized cities.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneida | 235K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 19.4% |
| Oneida | 233K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 19.4% |
| Oneida | 231K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 19.4% |
| Oneida | 229K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 19.4% |
| Herkimer | 64K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 5.6% |
| Herkimer | 64K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 5.6% |
| Herkimer | 62K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 5.6% |
| Herkimer | 60K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 5.6% |
| Group | Utica-Rome, NY | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 86.6% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 4.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 4.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +43.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 61.7% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 15.3% | — | — | |
| 6.6% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 4.1% | 8.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.5% | 1.0% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Utica-Rome, NY metro area? 1,178,661 residents across 8 counties.
22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+24.6 | R+16.4 | 8.2pp |