Anchor of East Tennessee's reliably Republican highland corridor
Knoxville's metro has delivered Republican presidential margins above 30 points in recent cycles, anchored by a white working-class and college-educated suburban base that has shown little of the ticket-splitting volatility seen in Nashville or Memphis.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knox | 494K | R+19.5 | 87,516 | 130,815 | 221,864 | 12.8% |
| Knox | 448K | R+19.5 | 87,516 | 130,815 | 221,864 | 12.8% |
| Knox | 424K | R+19.5 | 87,516 | 130,815 | 221,864 | 12.8% |
| Knox | 382K | R+19.5 | 87,516 | 130,815 | 221,864 | 12.8% |
| Blount | 139K | R+47.7 | 17,664 | 50,699 | 69,224 | 4.0% |
| Blount | 126K | R+47.7 | 17,664 | 50,699 | 69,224 | 4.0% |
| Blount | 119K | R+47.7 | 17,664 | 50,699 | 69,224 | 4.0% |
| Blount | 106K | R+47.7 | 17,664 | 50,699 | 69,224 | 4.0% |
| Anderson | 79K | R+35.7 | 11,525 | 24,582 | 36,548 | 2.1% |
| Anderson | 76K | R+35.7 | 11,525 | 24,582 | 36,548 | 2.1% |
| Anderson | 73K | R+35.7 | 11,525 | 24,582 | 36,548 | 2.1% |
| Anderson | 71K | R+35.7 | 11,525 | 24,582 | 36,548 | 2.1% |
| Loudon | 59K | R+53.0 | 7,625 | 25,226 | 33,209 | 1.9% |
| Roane | 55K | R+54.5 | 6,073 | 21,011 | 27,412 | 1.6% |
| Roane | 53K | R+54.5 | 6,073 | 21,011 | 27,412 | 1.6% |
| Roane | 53K | R+54.5 | 6,073 | 21,011 | 27,412 | 1.6% |
| Roane | 52K | R+54.5 | 6,073 | 21,011 | 27,412 | 1.6% |
| Loudon | 51K | R+53.0 | 7,625 | 25,226 | 33,209 | 1.9% |
| Loudon | 45K | R+53.0 | 7,625 | 25,226 | 33,209 | 1.9% |
| Campbell | 41K | R+69.6 | 2,305 | 13,115 | 15,528 | 0.9% |
| Campbell | 40K | R+69.6 | 2,305 | 13,115 | 15,528 | 0.9% |
| Campbell | 40K | R+69.6 | 2,305 | 13,115 | 15,528 | 0.9% |
| Campbell | 40K | R+69.6 | 2,305 | 13,115 | 15,528 | 0.9% |
| Loudon | 39K | R+53.0 | 7,625 | 25,226 | 33,209 | 1.9% |
| Grainger | 24K | R+73.7 | 1,432 | 9,630 | 11,130 | 0.6% |
| Grainger | 23K | R+73.7 | 1,432 | 9,630 | 11,130 | 0.6% |
| Grainger | 23K | R+73.7 | 1,432 | 9,630 | 11,130 | 0.6% |
| Morgan | 22K | R+74.5 | 1,054 | 7,427 | 8,560 | 0.5% |
| Morgan | 21K | R+74.5 | 1,054 | 7,427 | 8,560 | 0.5% |
| Grainger | 21K | R+73.7 | 1,432 | 9,630 | 11,130 | 0.6% |
| Union | 20K | R+71.2 | 1,216 | 7,384 | 8,669 | 0.5% |
| Morgan | 20K | R+74.5 | 1,054 | 7,427 | 8,560 | 0.5% |
| Morgan | 19K | R+74.5 | 1,054 | 7,427 | 8,560 | 0.5% |
| Union | 19K | R+71.2 | 1,216 | 7,384 | 8,669 | 0.5% |
| Union | 19K | R+71.2 | 1,216 | 7,384 | 8,669 | 0.5% |
| Union | 18K | R+71.2 | 1,216 | 7,384 | 8,669 | 0.5% |
| Group | Knoxville, TN | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.7% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 5.6% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 3.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.7% | 71.1% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 14.7% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 5.8% | — | — | |
| 2.3% | 4.4% | — | — | |
| 2.0% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.4% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 47.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Knoxville, TN metro area? 3,353,915 residents across 36 counties.
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+35.5 | R+33.8 | 1.8pp |