Erie County, New York: null
New York · Presidential Elections 1892–2024
D+9.5
2024 Margin
R+5.2%
2020→2024 Swing
D since 1976
Voting Streak
Classification
954K
Population
Erie County, New York voted D+9.5 for Kamala Harris in 2024, with Harris receiving 248,651 votes (54.06%). This represented a R+5.2% swing toward Republicans compared to 2020. The county has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1976.
Electoral Behavior
Volatility
2.8
Elasticity
Highly elastic
Trend
Stable
Quick Stats
2024 ResultD+9.5
2020→2024 SwingR+5.2%
Voting StreakD since 1976
Elections on Record34
Demographics
Population954,236
Median Age
40.1(US: 38.4)
College (BA+)
53.4%(US: 47.9%)
Median Income
$68,014(US: $78k)
White (non-Hisp)
73.0%(US: 57.5%)
Hispanic
6.3%(US: 18.6%)
Black
14.1%(US: 12.3%)
Asian
4.3%(US: 5.7%)
Homeownership
65.5%(US: 64.2%)
Poverty Rate
14.0%(US: 12.4%)
Veterans
6.0%(US: 6.4%)
Presidential Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54.1%(248,651) | 44.5%(204,774) | D+9.5 | -5.2 |
| 2020 | 56.5%(267,270) | 41.7%(197,552) | D+14.7 | +8.3 |
| 2016 | 50.9%(215,456) | 44.5%(188,303) | D+6.4 | -9.9 |
| 2012 | 57.3%(237,356) | 41.0%(169,675) | D+16.3 | -1.2 |
| 2008 | 58.0%(256,299) | 40.5%(178,815) | D+17.5 | +2.6 |
| 2004 | 56.4%(251,090) | 41.4%(184,423) | D+15.0 | -3.9 |
| 2000 | 56.6%(240,176) | 37.7%(160,176) | D+18.8 | -3.6 |
| 1996 | 54.7%(224,554) | 32.3%(132,343) | D+22.5 | +7.7 |
| 1992 | 43.5%(196,233) | 28.7%(129,444) | D+14.8 | +3.2 |
| 1988 | 55.4%(238,779) | 43.8%(188,796) | D+11.6 | +8.4 |
Senate Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.1%(252,782) | 42.4%(187,547) | D+14.7 | -1.4 |
| 2022 | 50.7%(171,967) | 34.6%(117,315) | D+16.1 | -7.3 |
| 2018 | 61.7%(206,024) | 38.3%(127,860) | D+23.4 | -17.0 |
| 2016 | 69.2%(284,110) | 28.8%(118,072) | D+40.5 | +2.6 |
| 2012 | 68.1%(265,264) | 30.3%(117,861) | D+37.8 | +7.4 |
| 2010 | 64.4%(190,417) | 33.9%(100,302) | D+30.5 | +1.3 |
| 2006 | 63.6%(177,051) | 34.4%(95,848) | D+29.2 | -20.0 |
| 2004 | 72.0%(290,210) | 22.8%(91,985) | D+49.2 | +34.9 |
| 2000 | 56.1%(237,770) | 41.8%(177,168) | D+14.3 | +0.9 |
| 1998 | 55.7%(163,828) | 42.2%(124,300) | D+13.4 | -5.4 |
Governor Elections
| Year | Democrat | Republican | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 53.0%(180,626) | 47.0%(160,004) | D+6.0 | -1.0 |
| 2018 | 51.4%(174,766) | 44.4%(150,679) | D+7.1 | -2.0 |
| 2014 | 52.4%(125,617) | 43.3%(103,801) | D+9.1 | +30.0 |
| 2010 | 37.6%(113,459) | 58.5%(176,690) | R+20.9 | -50.4 |
| 2006 | 63.9%(177,926) | 34.4%(95,819) | D+29.5 | +44.8 |
| 2002 | 29.0%(85,360) | 44.4%(130,377) | R+15.3 | +18.2 |
| 1998 | 24.8%(76,001) | 58.2%(178,853) | R+33.5 | -23.7 |
| 1994 | 41.9%(141,795) | 51.7%(174,933) | R+9.8 | -48.8 |
| 1990 | 56.1%(152,975) | 17.1%(46,689) | D+39.0 | -6.0 |
| 1986 | 70.8%(213,293) | 25.8%(77,754) | D+45.0 | +44.7 |
Primary Election History
| Year | Party | Winner | Runner-up | Nominee? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | Dem | Joe Biden(74.3%) | Bernie Sanders(14.4%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(50.9%) | Bernie Sanders(49.1%) | ✓ |
| 2016 | GOP | Donald Trump(65.2%) | John Kasich(21.6%) | ✓ |
| 2008 | Dem | Hillary Clinton(59.9%) | Barack Obama(36.5%) | ✗ |
✓ = County picked eventual party nominee