Safe Democratic — shifted 9.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 26.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 41.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 22.4% |
▶Asian(6) | 7.1% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.9% | 37.2% |
| Catholic | 16.5% | 28.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.2% | 13.9% |
| Other | 5.8% | 9.9% |
| Black Protestant | 5.8% | 9.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 41.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+22.2 |
| 2020 | Biden+31.6 |
| 2016 | Clinton+25.9 |
| 2012 | Obama+15.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+15.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+1.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+7.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.7 |
1996: Perot 6.6% · 1992: Perot 25.8%
Contextual statewide polling for Texas. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Jasmine Crockett leads at 47.8%