Anchor market where turnout margins routinely decide statewide Pennsylvania races
The Philadelphia media market delivers the state's largest Democratic vote shares, but raw turnout variation within the city itself can swing a Pennsylvania statewide contest by tens of thousands of votes in either direction.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia | 1.6M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 4.2% |
| Philadelphia | 1.6M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 4.2% |
| Philadelphia | 1.5M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 4.2% |
| Philadelphia | 1.5M | D+58.8 | 568,571 | 144,311 | 721,441 | 4.2% |
| Montgomery | 868K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 3.0% |
| Montgomery | 816K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 3.0% |
| Montgomery | 776K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 3.0% |
| Montgomery | 750K | D+22.8 | 317,103 | 198,311 | 520,906 | 3.0% |
| Bucks | 647K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 2.3% |
| Bucks | 626K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 2.3% |
| Bucks | 621K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 2.3% |
| Bucks | 598K | R+0.1 | 198,431 | 198,722 | 401,028 | 2.3% |
| Delaware | 579K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 1.9% |
| New Castle | 578K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 1.6% |
| Delaware | 562K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 1.9% |
| Delaware | 555K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 1.9% |
| New Castle | 552K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 1.6% |
| Delaware | 551K | D+23.7 | 201,324 | 123,421 | 328,172 | 1.9% |
| Chester | 548K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 1.9% |
| New Castle | 528K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 1.6% |
| Camden | 527K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 1.4% |
| Camden | 517K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 1.4% |
| Chester | 512K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 1.9% |
| Camden | 511K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 1.4% |
| Camden | 509K | D+27.4 | 155,522 | 87,767 | 246,954 | 1.4% |
| New Castle | 500K | D+32.6 | 180,700 | 90,868 | 275,917 | 1.6% |
| Chester | 486K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 1.9% |
| Burlington | 468K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 1.3% |
| Burlington | 450K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 1.3% |
| Burlington | 446K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 1.3% |
| Chester | 434K | D+14.5 | 184,281 | 137,299 | 324,964 | 1.9% |
| Berks | 433K | R+12.2 | 91,125 | 116,677 | 209,838 | 1.2% |
| Burlington | 423K | D+16.6 | 132,275 | 94,116 | 229,466 | 1.3% |
| Berks | 414K | R+12.2 | 91,125 | 116,677 | 209,838 | 1.2% |
| Berks | 401K | R+12.2 | 91,125 | 116,677 | 209,838 | 1.2% |
| Mercer | 386K | D+33.9 | 107,558 | 52,274 | 163,270 | 0.9% |
| Lehigh | 379K | D+2.7 | 96,317 | 91,207 | 189,810 | 1.1% |
| Berks | 374K | R+12.2 | 91,125 | 116,677 | 209,838 | 1.2% |
| Mercer | 371K | D+33.9 | 107,558 | 52,274 | 163,270 | 0.9% |
| Mercer | 364K | D+33.9 | 107,558 | 52,274 | 163,270 | 0.9% |
| Lehigh | 359K | D+2.7 | 96,317 | 91,207 | 189,810 | 1.1% |
| Mercer | 351K | D+33.9 | 107,558 | 52,274 | 163,270 | 0.9% |
| Lehigh | 337K | D+2.7 | 96,317 | 91,207 | 189,810 | 1.1% |
| Northampton | 319K | R+1.8 | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,215 | 1.0% |
| Lehigh | 312K | D+2.7 | 96,317 | 91,207 | 189,810 | 1.1% |
| Gloucester | 307K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 1.0% |
| Northampton | 301K | R+1.8 | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,215 | 1.0% |
| Northampton | 294K | R+1.8 | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,215 | 1.0% |
| Gloucester | 291K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 1.0% |
| Gloucester | 285K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 1.0% |
| Atlantic | 276K | R+3.0 | 61,879 | 65,817 | 129,759 | 0.8% |
| Atlantic | 274K | R+3.0 | 61,879 | 65,817 | 129,759 | 0.8% |
| Atlantic | 270K | R+3.0 | 61,879 | 65,817 | 129,759 | 0.8% |
| Northampton | 267K | R+1.8 | 86,655 | 89,817 | 178,215 | 1.0% |
| Gloucester | 255K | R+2.8 | 78,708 | 83,326 | 164,635 | 1.0% |
| Atlantic | 253K | R+3.0 | 61,879 | 65,817 | 129,759 | 0.8% |
| Kent | 188K | D+2.0 | 44,222 | 42,458 | 88,141 | 0.5% |
| Kent | 171K | D+2.0 | 44,222 | 42,458 | 88,141 | 0.5% |
| Cumberland | 156K | R+3.8 | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,885 | 0.3% |
| Cumberland | 155K | R+3.8 | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,885 | 0.3% |
| Cumberland | 153K | R+3.8 | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,885 | 0.3% |
| Kent | 151K | D+2.0 | 44,222 | 42,458 | 88,141 | 0.5% |
| Cumberland | 146K | R+3.8 | 26,577 | 28,675 | 55,885 | 0.3% |
| Kent | 127K | D+2.0 | 44,222 | 42,458 | 88,141 | 0.5% |
| Cape May | 102K | R+19.3 | 21,648 | 32,151 | 54,568 | 0.3% |
| Cape May | 97K | R+19.3 | 21,648 | 32,151 | 54,568 | 0.3% |
| Cape May | 95K | R+19.3 | 21,648 | 32,151 | 54,568 | 0.3% |
| Cape May | 95K | R+19.3 | 21,648 | 32,151 | 54,568 | 0.3% |
| Salem | 66K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.2% |
| Salem | 65K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.2% |
| Salem | 65K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.2% |
| Salem | 64K | R+19.2 | 12,275 | 18,229 | 31,001 | 0.2% |
| Group | Philadelphia | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 65.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 18.1% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 10.0% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.7% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.8% | 53.6% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 15.7% | — | — | |
| 7.2% | 14.9% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 11.0% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 3.9% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.3% | 0.7% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Philadelphia media market? 31,896,111 residents across 72 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+20.2 | D+21.8 | 1.6pp |
| President vs Senate | D+20.2 | D+21.5 | 1.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+21.5 | D+21.8 | 0.3pp |