How did Boston (Manchester) vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Boston (Manchester) voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+22.8. Kamala D Harris received 2,110,672 votes and Donald Trump received 1,310,042 out of 3,510,431 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Boston (Manchester)'s political history?

Boston (Manchester) has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 39.9 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Boston (Manchester)?

Boston (Manchester) has a population of 25,748,489 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 77.0% non-Hispanic white, 8.5% Hispanic, 5.9% Black. About 42% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $78,167.

Live · Media market

Boston (Manchester)

Q: Which places are most similar to Boston (Manchester)?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Boston (Manchester) are Washington, DC (Hagerstown), Providence-New Bedford, Philadelphia. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Where Massachusetts muscle meets New Hampshire's pivotal swing counties

The Boston-Manchester media market spans two states with sharply different political profiles — reliably Democratic Massachusetts anchoring the south while southern New Hampshire's fast-growing suburbs have become among the most closely contested turf in presidential cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 506

Population25.7M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39y▲ 0.1

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

41.6%▲ 6.6

White77.0%
Hispanic8.5%
Black5.9%
Asian5.7%
Two or more4.4%
Other3.8%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Boston (Manchester)Baseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Washington, DC (Hagerstown), Providence-New Bedford, and Philadelphia.

8 visible matches

Washington, DC (Hagerstown)

Educated rural democratic

D+32.2

Similarity score95%

Providence-New Bedford

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score94%

Philadelphia

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score93%

Denver

Educated rural competitive

D+15.6

Similarity score93%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy

Educated rural competitive

D+7.6

Similarity score92%

Portland, OR

Educated rural competitive

D+18.1

Similarity score91%

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score91%

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Boston (Manchester)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Middlesex	1.6M	D+39.2	554,471	235,118	814,832	5.8%
Middlesex	1.6M	D+39.2	554,471	235,118	814,832	5.8%
Middlesex	1.5M	D+39.2	554,471	235,118	814,832	5.8%
Middlesex	1.5M	D+39.2	554,471	235,118	814,832	5.8%
Worcester	868K	D+9.9	225,680	183,802	420,841	3.0%
Worcester	814K	D+9.9	225,680	183,802	420,841	3.0%
Essex	813K	D+20.2	236,624	155,336	401,851	2.9%
Worcester	796K	D+9.9	225,680	183,802	420,841	3.0%
Suffolk	785K	D+52.1	222,280	66,480	299,193	2.1%
Essex	769K	D+20.2	236,624	155,336	401,851	2.9%
Suffolk	768K	D+52.1	222,280	66,480	299,193	2.1%
Worcester	751K	D+9.9	225,680	183,802	420,841	3.0%
Essex	735K	D+20.2	236,624	155,336	401,851	2.9%
Suffolk	731K	D+52.1	222,280	66,480	299,193	2.1%
Norfolk	730K	D+28.5	242,712	132,497	386,447	2.8%
Essex	723K	D+20.2	236,624	155,336	401,851	2.9%
Norfolk	691K	D+28.5	242,712	132,497	386,447	2.8%
Suffolk	690K	D+52.1	222,280	66,480	299,193	2.1%
Norfolk	658K	D+28.5	242,712	132,497	386,447	2.8%
Norfolk	650K	D+28.5	242,712	132,497	386,447	2.8%
Plymouth	535K	D+8.8	159,962	133,544	300,129	2.1%
Plymouth	507K	D+8.8	159,962	133,544	300,129	2.1%
Plymouth	492K	D+8.8	159,962	133,544	300,129	2.1%
Plymouth	473K	D+8.8	159,962	133,544	300,129	2.1%
Hillsborough	426K	D+2.9	118,776	112,057	234,440	1.7%
Hillsborough	405K	D+2.9	118,776	112,057	234,440	1.7%
Hillsborough	403K	D+2.9	118,776	112,057	234,440	1.7%
Hillsborough	381K	D+2.9	118,776	112,057	234,440	1.7%
Rockingham	319K	R+2.4	97,611	102,539	202,922	1.4%
Rockingham	300K	R+2.4	97,611	102,539	202,922	1.4%
Rockingham	297K	R+2.4	97,611	102,539	202,922	1.4%
Rockingham	277K	R+2.4	97,611	102,539	202,922	1.4%
Barnstable	232K	D+20.6	88,129	57,451	148,785	1.1%
Barnstable	223K	D+20.6	88,129	57,451	148,785	1.1%
Barnstable	222K	D+20.6	88,129	57,451	148,785	1.1%
Barnstable	215K	D+20.6	88,129	57,451	148,785	1.1%
Merrimack	156K	D+5.2	48,181	43,364	92,978	0.7%
Merrimack	148K	D+5.2	48,181	43,364	92,978	0.7%
Merrimack	148K	D+5.2	48,181	43,364	92,978	0.7%
Merrimack	136K	D+5.2	48,181	43,364	92,978	0.7%
Strafford	133K	D+12.0	42,373	33,162	76,688	0.5%
Strafford	126K	D+12.0	42,373	33,162	76,688	0.5%
Strafford	122K	D+12.0	42,373	33,162	76,688	0.5%
Strafford	112K	D+12.0	42,373	33,162	76,688	0.5%
Cheshire	77K	D+9.9	24,579	20,083	45,389	0.3%
Cheshire	77K	D+9.9	24,579	20,083	45,389	0.3%
Cheshire	76K	D+9.9	24,579	20,083	45,389	0.3%
Cheshire	74K	D+9.9	24,579	20,083	45,389	0.3%
Belknap	65K	R+13.0	17,469	22,765	40,676	0.3%
Belknap	61K	R+13.0	17,469	22,765	40,676	0.3%
Belknap	60K	R+13.0	17,469	22,765	40,676	0.3%
Belknap	56K	R+13.0	17,469	22,765	40,676	0.3%
Windham	46K	D+42.3	17,904	6,928	25,933	0.2%
Windham	44K	D+42.3	17,904	6,928	25,933	0.2%
Windham	44K	D+42.3	17,904	6,928	25,933	0.2%
Windham	44K	D+42.3	17,904	6,928	25,933	0.2%
Dukes	21K	D+52.4	9,137	2,745	12,209	0.1%
Dukes	17K	D+52.4	9,137	2,745	12,209	0.1%
Dukes	16K	D+52.4	9,137	2,745	12,209	0.1%
Dukes	15K	D+52.4	9,137	2,745	12,209	0.1%
Nantucket	14K	D+36.7	4,784	2,171	7,118	0.1%
Nantucket	11K	D+36.7	4,784	2,171	7,118	0.1%
Nantucket	11K	D+36.7	4,784	2,171	7,118	0.1%
Nantucket	10K	D+36.7	4,784	2,171	7,118	0.1%

64 countiesTotal votes: 14,041,724

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Boston (Manchester)'s political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Boston (Manchester) media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Boston (Manchester)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 77.0%Hispanic 8.5%Black 5.9%Asian 5.7%Multiracial 2.7%

Group	Boston (Manchester)	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	77.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	8.5%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(16)	5.9%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	5.7%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.7%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.3%(3.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +59.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	33.3%	71.9%	—	—
Other	4.8%	10.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	3.8%	8.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.4%	7.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.9%	1.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Boston (Manchester) media market? 25,748,489 residents across 64 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Boston (Manchester) vs National25.7M residents

42% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 9pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.7M

local

25.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.69%

local

7.69%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.9%

local

39.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$78,167

local

$78,167National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.1%

local

9.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.6%

local

41.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.1%

local

64.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.0 yrs

local

39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.7%

local

12.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.6%

local

14.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.0%

local

20.0%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.0%

local

80.0%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Boston (Manchester)

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

69.6%

vs Previous

-2.5pp

Eligible Non-Voters

1.5M · 30.4%

Citizen VAP

5,040,876

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Boston (Manchester) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+22.8	R+11.0	33.8pp
Senate vs Governor	D+21.6	R+11.0	32.7pp
President vs Senate	D+22.8	D+21.6	1.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 25.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Boston (Manchester) sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Massachusetts(State)New Hampshire(State)Vermont(State)

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