A capital market split between federal power and rural outskirts
The Washington-Hagerstown market pairs the nation's most politically scrutinized metro with the conservative rural corridors of western Maryland and the Eastern Panhandle of West Virginia, producing a media audience unusually wide in its partisan range.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfax | 1.1M | D+35.0 | 386,438 | 181,895 | 584,387 | 4.1% |
| Fairfax | 1.1M | D+35.0 | 386,438 | 181,895 | 584,387 | 4.1% |
| Montgomery | 1.1M | D+52.8 | 386,581 | 112,637 | 519,221 | 3.6% |
| Montgomery | 1.0M | D+52.8 | 386,581 | 112,637 | 519,221 | 3.6% |
| Fairfax | 1.0M | D+35.0 | 386,438 | 181,895 | 584,387 | 4.1% |
| Fairfax | 970K | D+35.0 | 386,438 | 181,895 | 584,387 | 4.1% |
| Prince George'S | 960K | D+74.8 | 347,038 | 45,008 | 404,009 | 2.8% |
| Montgomery | 946K | D+52.8 | 386,581 | 112,637 | 519,221 | 3.6% |
| Prince George'S | 898K | D+74.8 | 347,038 | 45,008 | 404,009 | 2.8% |
| Montgomery | 873K | D+52.8 | 386,581 | 112,637 | 519,221 | 3.6% |
| Prince George'S | 835K | D+74.8 | 347,038 | 45,008 | 404,009 | 2.8% |
| Prince George'S | 802K | D+74.8 | 347,038 | 45,008 | 404,009 | 2.8% |
| District of Columbia | 681K | D+83.8 | 294,185 | 21,076 | 325,879 | 2.3% |
| District of Columbia | 659K | D+83.8 | 294,185 | 21,076 | 325,879 | 2.3% |
| District of Columbia | 588K | D+83.8 | 294,185 | 21,076 | 325,879 | 2.3% |
| District of Columbia | 572K | D+83.8 | 294,185 | 21,076 | 325,879 | 2.3% |
| Prince William | 489K | D+18.0 | 131,128 | 90,203 | 227,591 | 1.6% |
| Prince William | 444K | D+18.0 | 131,128 | 90,203 | 227,591 | 1.6% |
| Loudoun | 433K | D+16.3 | 129,280 | 92,107 | 228,208 | 1.6% |
| Loudoun | 362K | D+16.3 | 129,280 | 92,107 | 228,208 | 1.6% |
| Prince William | 361K | D+18.0 | 131,128 | 90,203 | 227,591 | 1.6% |
| Frederick | 287K | D+8.8 | 82,409 | 68,753 | 156,114 | 1.1% |
| Prince William | 281K | D+18.0 | 131,128 | 90,203 | 227,591 | 1.6% |
| Loudoun | 277K | D+16.3 | 129,280 | 92,107 | 228,208 | 1.6% |
| Frederick | 243K | D+8.8 | 82,409 | 68,753 | 156,114 | 1.1% |
| Arlington | 236K | D+58.6 | 100,446 | 25,223 | 128,362 | 0.9% |
| Arlington | 226K | D+58.6 | 100,446 | 25,223 | 128,362 | 0.9% |
| Frederick | 224K | D+8.8 | 82,409 | 68,753 | 156,114 | 1.1% |
| Arlington | 206K | D+58.6 | 100,446 | 25,223 | 128,362 | 0.9% |
| Frederick | 195K | D+8.8 | 82,409 | 68,753 | 156,114 | 1.1% |
| Arlington | 189K | D+58.6 | 100,446 | 25,223 | 128,362 | 0.9% |
| Charles | 171K | D+40.5 | 63,454 | 26,145 | 92,097 | 0.6% |
| Loudoun | 170K | D+16.3 | 129,280 | 92,107 | 228,208 | 1.6% |
| Stafford | 163K | D+0.8 | 41,252 | 40,590 | 83,123 | 0.6% |
| Alexandria City | 157K | D+57.7 | 62,326 | 16,112 | 80,062 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 156K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 0.5% |
| Charles | 154K | D+40.5 | 63,454 | 26,145 | 92,097 | 0.6% |
| Alexandria City | 151K | D+57.7 | 62,326 | 16,112 | 80,062 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 150K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 0.5% |
| Spotsylvania | 147K | R+8.6 | 35,747 | 42,531 | 79,209 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 144K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 0.5% |
| Alexandria City | 142K | D+57.7 | 62,326 | 16,112 | 80,062 | 0.6% |
| Charles | 140K | D+40.5 | 63,454 | 26,145 | 92,097 | 0.6% |
| Stafford | 140K | D+0.8 | 41,252 | 40,590 | 83,123 | 0.6% |
| Washington | 132K | R+22.9 | 27,260 | 44,054 | 73,332 | 0.5% |
| Berkeley | 130K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 0.4% |
| Spotsylvania | 129K | R+8.6 | 35,747 | 42,531 | 79,209 | 0.6% |
| Alexandria City | 128K | D+57.7 | 62,326 | 16,112 | 80,062 | 0.6% |
| Charles | 121K | D+40.5 | 63,454 | 26,145 | 92,097 | 0.6% |
| Stafford | 120K | D+0.8 | 41,252 | 40,590 | 83,123 | 0.6% |
| Spotsylvania | 119K | R+8.6 | 35,747 | 42,531 | 79,209 | 0.6% |
| St. Mary'S | 115K | R+17.1 | 23,531 | 33,582 | 58,954 | 0.4% |
| St. Mary'S | 111K | R+17.1 | 23,531 | 33,582 | 58,954 | 0.4% |
| Berkeley | 110K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 0.4% |
| St. Mary'S | 100K | R+17.1 | 23,531 | 33,582 | 58,954 | 0.4% |
| Berkeley | 99K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 0.4% |
| Frederick | 95K | R+28.4 | 18,331 | 33,117 | 52,040 | 0.4% |
| Calvert | 94K | R+10.9 | 23,438 | 29,361 | 54,191 | 0.4% |
| Stafford | 92K | D+0.8 | 41,252 | 40,590 | 83,123 | 0.6% |
| Calvert | 91K | R+10.9 | 23,438 | 29,361 | 54,191 | 0.4% |
| Spotsylvania | 90K | R+8.6 | 35,747 | 42,531 | 79,209 | 0.6% |
| Calvert | 88K | R+10.9 | 23,438 | 29,361 | 54,191 | 0.4% |
| St. Mary'S | 86K | R+17.1 | 23,531 | 33,582 | 58,954 | 0.4% |
| Frederick | 82K | R+28.4 | 18,331 | 33,117 | 52,040 | 0.4% |
| Berkeley | 76K | R+35.8 | 17,500 | 37,580 | 56,102 | 0.4% |
| Allegany | 75K | R+40.2 | 9,231 | 22,141 | 32,137 | 0.2% |
| Fauquier | 75K | R+21.7 | 17,180 | 26,825 | 44,537 | 0.3% |
| Calvert | 75K | R+10.9 | 23,438 | 29,361 | 54,191 | 0.4% |
| Allegany | 73K | R+40.2 | 9,231 | 22,141 | 32,137 | 0.2% |
| Allegany | 73K | R+40.2 | 9,231 | 22,141 | 32,137 | 0.2% |
| Frederick | 72K | R+28.4 | 18,331 | 33,117 | 52,040 | 0.4% |
| Fauquier | 68K | R+21.7 | 17,180 | 26,825 | 44,537 | 0.3% |
| Allegany | 67K | R+40.2 | 9,231 | 22,141 | 32,137 | 0.2% |
| Fauquier | 66K | R+21.7 | 17,180 | 26,825 | 44,537 | 0.3% |
| Jefferson | 59K | R+15.7 | 11,967 | 16,573 | 29,317 | 0.2% |
| Frederick | 59K | R+28.4 | 18,331 | 33,117 | 52,040 | 0.4% |
| Jefferson | 56K | R+15.7 | 11,967 | 16,573 | 29,317 | 0.2% |
| Fauquier | 55K | R+21.7 | 17,180 | 26,825 | 44,537 | 0.3% |
| Culpeper | 54K | R+25.0 | 10,557 | 17,685 | 28,553 | 0.2% |
| Jefferson | 51K | R+15.7 | 11,967 | 16,573 | 29,317 | 0.2% |
| Culpeper | 49K | R+25.0 | 10,557 | 17,685 | 28,553 | 0.2% |
| Shenandoah | 45K | R+42.3 | 6,914 | 17,215 | 24,380 | 0.2% |
| Culpeper | 45K | R+25.0 | 10,557 | 17,685 | 28,553 | 0.2% |
| Manassas City | 43K | D+14.8 | 9,048 | 6,670 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
| Shenandoah | 43K | R+42.3 | 6,914 | 17,215 | 24,380 | 0.2% |
| Jefferson | 42K | R+15.7 | 11,967 | 16,573 | 29,317 | 0.2% |
| Warren | 42K | R+37.6 | 6,910 | 15,400 | 22,561 | 0.2% |
| Manassas City | 41K | D+14.8 | 9,048 | 6,670 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
| Shenandoah | 40K | R+42.3 | 6,914 | 17,215 | 24,380 | 0.2% |
| Warren | 39K | R+37.6 | 6,910 | 15,400 | 22,561 | 0.2% |
| Warren | 36K | R+37.6 | 6,910 | 15,400 | 22,561 | 0.2% |
| Manassas City | 36K | D+14.8 | 9,048 | 6,670 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
| Manassas City | 35K | D+14.8 | 9,048 | 6,670 | 16,021 | 0.1% |
| Shenandoah | 35K | R+42.3 | 6,914 | 17,215 | 24,380 | 0.2% |
| Culpeper | 34K | R+25.0 | 10,557 | 17,685 | 28,553 | 0.2% |
| Warren | 32K | R+37.6 | 6,910 | 15,400 | 22,561 | 0.2% |
| Fredericksburg City | 29K | D+31.7 | 8,760 | 4,480 | 13,495 | 0.1% |
| Winchester City | 28K | D+9.8 | 6,407 | 5,252 | 11,822 | 0.1% |
| King George | 28K | R+25.0 | 5,657 | 9,500 | 15,362 | 0.1% |
| Fredericksburg City | 28K | D+31.7 | 8,760 | 4,480 | 13,495 | 0.1% |
| Mineral | 28K | R+60.2 | 2,483 | 10,247 | 12,904 | 0.1% |
| Winchester City | 27K | D+9.8 | 6,407 | 5,252 | 11,822 | 0.1% |
| Mineral | 27K | R+60.2 | 2,483 | 10,247 | 12,904 | 0.1% |
| Mineral | 27K | R+60.2 | 2,483 | 10,247 | 12,904 | 0.1% |
| Mineral | 27K | R+60.2 | 2,483 | 10,247 | 12,904 | 0.1% |
| Winchester City | 26K | D+9.8 | 6,407 | 5,252 | 11,822 | 0.1% |
| King George | 25K | R+25.0 | 5,657 | 9,500 | 15,362 | 0.1% |
| Fairfax City | 25K | D+33.4 | 8,797 | 4,302 | 13,445 | 0.1% |
| Page | 24K | R+54.1 | 2,976 | 10,123 | 13,211 | 0.1% |
| Page | 24K | R+54.1 | 2,976 | 10,123 | 13,211 | 0.1% |
| Page | 24K | R+54.1 | 2,976 | 10,123 | 13,211 | 0.1% |
| Fairfax City | 24K | D+33.4 | 8,797 | 4,302 | 13,445 | 0.1% |
| Winchester City | 24K | D+9.8 | 6,407 | 5,252 | 11,822 | 0.1% |
| Hampshire | 23K | R+62.5 | 1,890 | 8,464 | 10,520 | 0.1% |
| Hampshire | 23K | R+62.5 | 1,890 | 8,464 | 10,520 | 0.1% |
| Fairfax City | 23K | D+33.4 | 8,797 | 4,302 | 13,445 | 0.1% |
| Page | 23K | R+54.1 | 2,976 | 10,123 | 13,211 | 0.1% |
| Hampshire | 22K | R+62.5 | 1,890 | 8,464 | 10,520 | 0.1% |
| Fredericksburg City | 22K | D+31.7 | 8,760 | 4,480 | 13,495 | 0.1% |
| King George | 22K | R+25.0 | 5,657 | 9,500 | 15,362 | 0.1% |
| Fairfax City | 21K | D+33.4 | 8,797 | 4,302 | 13,445 | 0.1% |
| Hampshire | 20K | R+62.5 | 1,890 | 8,464 | 10,520 | 0.1% |
| Fredericksburg City | 19K | D+31.7 | 8,760 | 4,480 | 13,495 | 0.1% |
| Westmoreland | 19K | R+14.3 | 4,491 | 6,003 | 10,581 | 0.1% |
| Westmoreland | 18K | R+14.3 | 4,491 | 6,003 | 10,581 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 18K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 17K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 0.1% |
| Westmoreland | 17K | R+14.3 | 4,491 | 6,003 | 10,581 | 0.1% |
| King George | 17K | R+25.0 | 5,657 | 9,500 | 15,362 | 0.1% |
| Manassas Park City | 17K | D+20.0 | 3,506 | 2,314 | 5,967 | 0.0% |
| Westmoreland | 17K | R+14.3 | 4,491 | 6,003 | 10,581 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 16K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 0.1% |
| Manassas Park City | 16K | D+20.0 | 3,506 | 2,314 | 5,967 | 0.0% |
| Clarke | 15K | R+16.9 | 3,993 | 5,641 | 9,782 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 15K | R+55.4 | 1,947 | 7,009 | 9,134 | 0.1% |
| Fulton | 15K | R+72.6 | 1,102 | 7,039 | 8,177 | 0.1% |
| Falls Church City | 15K | D+62.2 | 7,200 | 1,620 | 8,969 | 0.1% |
| Fulton | 15K | R+72.6 | 1,102 | 7,039 | 8,177 | 0.1% |
| Fulton | 15K | R+72.6 | 1,102 | 7,039 | 8,177 | 0.1% |
| Clarke | 14K | R+16.9 | 3,993 | 5,641 | 9,782 | 0.1% |
| Clarke | 14K | R+16.9 | 3,993 | 5,641 | 9,782 | 0.1% |
| Fulton | 14K | R+72.6 | 1,102 | 7,039 | 8,177 | 0.1% |
| Hardy | 14K | R+57.7 | 1,297 | 4,997 | 6,412 | 0.0% |
| Hardy | 14K | R+57.7 | 1,297 | 4,997 | 6,412 | 0.0% |
| Falls Church City | 14K | D+62.2 | 7,200 | 1,620 | 8,969 | 0.1% |
| Hardy | 13K | R+57.7 | 1,297 | 4,997 | 6,412 | 0.0% |
| Hardy | 13K | R+57.7 | 1,297 | 4,997 | 6,412 | 0.0% |
| Clarke | 13K | R+16.9 | 3,993 | 5,641 | 9,782 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 12K | R+79.0 | 552 | 4,949 | 5,569 | 0.0% |
| Grant | 12K | R+79.0 | 552 | 4,949 | 5,569 | 0.0% |
| Manassas Park City | 12K | D+20.0 | 3,506 | 2,314 | 5,967 | 0.0% |
| Grant | 11K | R+79.0 | 552 | 4,949 | 5,569 | 0.0% |
| Falls Church City | 11K | D+62.2 | 7,200 | 1,620 | 8,969 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 11K | R+79.0 | 552 | 4,949 | 5,569 | 0.0% |
| Falls Church City | 10K | D+62.2 | 7,200 | 1,620 | 8,969 | 0.1% |
| Manassas Park City | 10K | D+20.0 | 3,506 | 2,314 | 5,967 | 0.0% |
| Rappahannock | 7K | R+17.9 | 2,041 | 2,943 | 5,038 | 0.0% |
| Rappahannock | 7K | R+17.9 | 2,041 | 2,943 | 5,038 | 0.0% |
| Rappahannock | 7K | R+17.9 | 2,041 | 2,943 | 5,038 | 0.0% |
| Rappahannock | 7K | R+17.9 | 2,041 | 2,943 | 5,038 | 0.0% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 52.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 23.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 12.7% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 8.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.1% | 33.3% | — | — | |
| 12.5% | 27.6% | — | — | |
| 7.1% | 15.6% | — | — | |
| 7.0% | 15.4% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 6.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.5% | — | — |
| 0.8% | 1.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 54.7% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Washington, DC (Hagerstown) media market? 25,599,080 residents across 160 counties.
45% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | D+32.2 | R+39.1 | 71.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | D+18.7 | R+39.1 | 57.8pp |
| President vs Senate | D+32.2 | D+18.7 | 13.5pp |