How did Chicago vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Chicago voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+23.1. Kamala D Harris received 2,518,309 votes and Donald Trump received 1,554,365 out of 4,165,419 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Chicago's political history?

Chicago has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 62.0 points in 1876.

What are the demographics of Chicago?

Chicago has a population of 38,300,684 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 55.3% non-Hispanic white, 20.0% Hispanic, 17.1% Black. About 34% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $67,042.

Which places are most similar to Chicago?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Chicago are San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, Philadelphia, New York. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Chicago

A media market where Cook County's margins routinely offset downstate returns

Chicago's designated market area delivers the state's largest television audience and anchors Illinois Democrats' statewide math, with Cook County alone casting roughly 40% of the state's total votes in most election cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 602

Population38.3M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

36.2y▼ 2.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

34.4%▼ 0.6

White55.3%
Hispanic20.0%
Black17.1%
Other8.8%
Asian5.6%
Two or more4.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

ChicagoBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose, Philadelphia, and New York.

8 visible matches

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score95%

Philadelphia

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score94%

New York

Educated rural democratic

D+13.9

Similarity score93%

Washington, DC (Hagerstown)

Educated rural democratic

D+32.2

Similarity score92%

Los Angeles

Educated rural democratic

D+17.9

Similarity score91%

Boston (Manchester)

Educated rural democratic

D+22.8

Similarity score91%

Sacramnto-Stkton-Modesto

Educated rural democratic

D+5.7

Similarity score90%

Providence-New Bedford

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Chicago

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Cook	5.4M	D+41.5	1,447,821	583,852	2,079,239	12.5%
Cook	5.3M	D+41.5	1,447,821	583,852	2,079,239	12.5%
Cook	5.2M	D+41.5	1,447,821	583,852	2,079,239	12.5%
Cook	5.2M	D+41.5	1,447,821	583,852	2,079,239	12.5%
DuPage	931K	D+13.1	251,164	191,243	456,882	2.7%
DuPage	930K	D+13.1	251,164	191,243	456,882	2.7%
DuPage	926K	D+13.1	251,164	191,243	456,882	2.7%
DuPage	904K	D+13.1	251,164	191,243	456,882	2.7%
Lake	714K	D+20.7	184,642	120,402	310,913	1.9%
Lake	703K	D+20.7	184,642	120,402	310,913	1.9%
Lake	703K	D+20.7	184,642	120,402	310,913	1.9%
Will	701K	D+1.6	162,874	157,672	327,604	2.0%
Will	685K	D+1.6	162,874	157,672	327,604	2.0%
Will	664K	D+1.6	162,874	157,672	327,604	2.0%
Lake	644K	D+20.7	184,642	120,402	310,913	1.9%
Kane	527K	D+9.3	120,077	99,260	223,534	1.3%
Kane	517K	D+9.3	120,077	99,260	223,534	1.3%
Will	502K	D+1.6	162,874	157,672	327,604	2.0%
Lake	500K	D+5.6	109,086	97,270	209,551	1.3%
Kane	494K	D+9.3	120,077	99,260	223,534	1.3%
Lake	491K	D+5.6	109,086	97,270	209,551	1.3%
Lake	490K	D+5.6	109,086	97,270	209,551	1.3%
Lake	485K	D+5.6	109,086	97,270	209,551	1.3%
Kane	404K	D+9.3	120,077	99,260	223,534	1.3%
McHenry	313K	R+5.3	75,370	83,933	162,283	1.0%
McHenry	313K	R+5.3	75,370	83,933	162,283	1.0%
McHenry	307K	R+5.3	75,370	83,933	162,283	1.0%
McHenry	260K	R+5.3	75,370	83,933	162,283	1.0%
Porter	175K	R+10.5	37,213	46,109	84,969	0.5%
Porter	167K	R+10.5	37,213	46,109	84,969	0.5%
Porter	160K	R+10.5	37,213	46,109	84,969	0.5%
Porter	147K	R+10.5	37,213	46,109	84,969	0.5%
Kendall	138K	D+1.5	32,977	31,970	66,397	0.4%
Kendall	121K	D+1.5	32,977	31,970	66,397	0.4%
LaSalle	112K	R+18.4	21,029	30,717	52,508	0.3%
LaSalle	112K	R+18.4	21,029	30,717	52,508	0.3%
LaPorte	112K	R+14.1	20,007	26,726	47,553	0.3%
LaSalle	112K	R+18.4	21,029	30,717	52,508	0.3%
Kankakee	111K	R+20.8	18,399	28,285	47,569	0.3%
Kankakee	111K	R+20.8	18,399	28,285	47,569	0.3%
LaPorte	111K	R+14.1	20,007	26,726	47,553	0.3%
LaPorte	110K	R+14.1	20,007	26,726	47,553	0.3%
LaPorte	110K	R+14.1	20,007	26,726	47,553	0.3%
LaSalle	109K	R+18.4	21,029	30,717	52,508	0.3%
Kankakee	107K	R+20.8	18,399	28,285	47,569	0.3%
DeKalb	104K	D+2.0	23,648	22,716	47,401	0.3%
DeKalb	104K	D+2.0	23,648	22,716	47,401	0.3%
Kankakee	104K	R+20.8	18,399	28,285	47,569	0.3%
DeKalb	101K	D+2.0	23,648	22,716	47,401	0.3%
Kendall	94K	D+1.5	32,977	31,970	66,397	0.4%
DeKalb	89K	D+2.0	23,648	22,716	47,401	0.3%
Kendall	55K	D+1.5	32,977	31,970	66,397	0.4%
Grundy	53K	R+29.5	9,143	16,997	26,589	0.2%
Grundy	50K	R+29.5	9,143	16,997	26,589	0.2%
Grundy	47K	R+29.5	9,143	16,997	26,589	0.2%
Grundy	38K	R+29.5	9,143	16,997	26,589	0.2%
Jasper	33K	R+54.3	3,489	12,082	15,826	0.1%
Jasper	33K	R+54.3	3,489	12,082	15,826	0.1%
Jasper	32K	R+54.3	3,489	12,082	15,826	0.1%
Jasper	30K	R+54.3	3,489	12,082	15,826	0.1%
Newton	15K	R+57.0	1,370	5,131	6,601	0.0%
Newton	14K	R+57.0	1,370	5,131	6,601	0.0%
Newton	14K	R+57.0	1,370	5,131	6,601	0.0%
Newton	14K	R+57.0	1,370	5,131	6,601	0.0%

64 countiesTotal votes: 16,661,676

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Chicago's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Chicago media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

ChicagoCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 55.3%Hispanic 20.0%Black 17.1%Asian 5.6%Multiracial 1.5%Native American 0.4%

Group	Chicago	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	55.3%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	20.0%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	17.1%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	5.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.5%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

52.7%(5.1M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +33.9pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	28.6%	54.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.4%	16.0%	—	—
Other	7.5%	14.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.8%	7.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.6%	6.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.7%	1.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.3%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	47.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Chicago media market? 38,300,684 residents across 64 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Chicago vs National38.3M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.3M

local

38.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.44%

local

11.44%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.2%

local

38.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$67,042

local

$67,042National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.9%

local

11.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.4%

local

34.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.0%

local

66.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.2 yrs

local

36.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.1%

local

10.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

27.5%

local

27.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Chicago

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.3%

vs Previous

-5.0pp

Eligible Non-Voters

2.6M · 38.7%

Citizen VAP

6,800,571

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Chicago split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+23.1	R+2.7	25.8pp
President vs Governor	D+23.1	D+0.1	23.0pp
Senate vs Governor	R+2.7	D+0.1	2.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 17.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Chicago sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)Indiana(State)

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