Mohawk Valley anchor where manufacturing decline reshaped the electorate
Utica's media market stretches across a post-industrial corridor where refugee resettlement has quietly diversified formerly homogeneous communities, contributing to shifting margins in state and federal races over the past decade.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oneida | 235K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 15.9% |
| Oneida | 233K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 15.9% |
| Oneida | 231K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 15.9% |
| Oneida | 229K | R+21.2 | 39,415 | 60,687 | 100,258 | 15.9% |
| Herkimer | 64K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 4.6% |
| Herkimer | 64K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 4.6% |
| Herkimer | 62K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 4.6% |
| Otsego | 62K | R+7.8 | 13,031 | 15,256 | 28,436 | 4.5% |
| Otsego | 62K | R+7.8 | 13,031 | 15,256 | 28,436 | 4.5% |
| Otsego | 61K | R+7.8 | 13,031 | 15,256 | 28,436 | 4.5% |
| Otsego | 60K | R+7.8 | 13,031 | 15,256 | 28,436 | 4.5% |
| Herkimer | 60K | R+36.4 | 9,110 | 19,557 | 28,725 | 4.6% |
| Group | Utica | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 87.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 4.4% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 4.0% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.8% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +40.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.1% | 58.7% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 17.9% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 13.8% | — | — | |
| 3.9% | 8.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.8% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 53.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Utica media market? 1,423,510 residents across 12 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+21.6 | R+13.8 | 7.8pp |