How did Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+24.5. Kamala D Harris received 288,859 votes and Donald Trump received 478,752 out of 774,096 total votes cast, a 3.6-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn's political history?

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 12 and Republicans 28 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 35.7 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn?

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn has a population of 6,001,034 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 88.8% non-Hispanic white, 5.2% Hispanic, 3.5% Black. About 20% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $48,837.

Which places are most similar to Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn are Traverse City-Cadillac, Wausau-Rhinelander, Johnstown-Altoona-State College. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn

A blue-collar corridor where presidential margins have swung 20+ points in a decade

Anchored by the deindustrialized Wyoming Valley and the Lackawanna County seat, this Northeastern Pennsylvania media market has shifted sharply rightward in presidential cycles while retaining competitive down-ballot races driven by union household legacy and Catholic voter density.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 577

Population6.0M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.7y▲ 2.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

20.0%▼ 15.0

White88.8%
Hispanic5.2%
Black3.5%
Two or more2.7%
Other1.7%
Asian1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-HztnBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Traverse City-Cadillac, Wausau-Rhinelander, and Johnstown-Altoona-State College.

8 visible matches

Traverse City-Cadillac

Small-town rural republican 2

R+22.9

Similarity score92%

Wausau-Rhinelander

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.2

Similarity score90%

Johnstown-Altoona-State College

Small-town rural republican

R+39.0

Similarity score88%

Bangor

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.4

Similarity score86%

Clarksburg-Weston

Small-town rural republican

R+47.0

Similarity score86%

Alpena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score86%

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.0

Similarity score86%

Wheeling-Steubenville

Small-town rural republican

R+45.6

Similarity score85%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Luzerne	328K	R+19.2	62,504	92,444	156,150	5.0%
Luzerne	319K	R+19.2	62,504	92,444	156,150	5.0%
Luzerne	319K	R+19.2	62,504	92,444	156,150	5.0%
Luzerne	312K	R+19.2	62,504	92,444	156,150	5.0%
Lackawanna	216K	D+2.8	59,510	56,261	116,590	3.8%
Lackawanna	213K	D+2.8	59,510	56,261	116,590	3.8%
Lackawanna	213K	D+2.8	59,510	56,261	116,590	3.8%
Lackawanna	209K	D+2.8	59,510	56,261	116,590	3.8%
Monroe	168K	R+0.8	42,007	42,676	85,525	2.8%
Monroe	167K	R+0.8	42,007	42,676	85,525	2.8%
Monroe	164K	R+0.8	42,007	42,676	85,525	2.8%
Schuylkill	150K	R+42.1	20,882	51,665	73,184	2.4%
Schuylkill	147K	R+42.1	20,882	51,665	73,184	2.4%
Schuylkill	146K	R+42.1	20,882	51,665	73,184	2.4%
Schuylkill	144K	R+42.1	20,882	51,665	73,184	2.4%
Monroe	139K	R+0.8	42,007	42,676	85,525	2.8%
Lycoming	120K	R+41.5	17,216	41,961	59,685	1.9%
Lycoming	117K	R+41.5	17,216	41,961	59,685	1.9%
Lycoming	116K	R+41.5	17,216	41,961	59,685	1.9%
Lycoming	113K	R+41.5	17,216	41,961	59,685	1.9%
Northumberland	95K	R+39.9	12,863	30,240	43,522	1.4%
Northumberland	94K	R+39.9	12,863	30,240	43,522	1.4%
Northumberland	91K	R+39.9	12,863	30,240	43,522	1.4%
Northumberland	91K	R+39.9	12,863	30,240	43,522	1.4%
Columbia	67K	R+31.0	11,083	21,190	32,576	1.1%
Carbon	65K	R+34.8	11,394	23,708	35,395	1.1%
Columbia	65K	R+31.0	11,083	21,190	32,576	1.1%
Columbia	65K	R+31.0	11,083	21,190	32,576	1.1%
Carbon	64K	R+34.8	11,394	23,708	35,395	1.1%
Columbia	64K	R+31.0	11,083	21,190	32,576	1.1%
Carbon	63K	R+34.8	11,394	23,708	35,395	1.1%
Bradford	63K	R+47.9	7,990	22,937	31,192	1.0%
Bradford	62K	R+47.9	7,990	22,937	31,192	1.0%
Bradford	61K	R+47.9	7,990	22,937	31,192	1.0%
Bradford	60K	R+47.9	7,990	22,937	31,192	1.0%
Carbon	59K	R+34.8	11,394	23,708	35,395	1.1%
Wayne	51K	R+37.1	9,150	20,071	29,444	1.0%
Wayne	51K	R+37.1	9,150	20,071	29,444	1.0%
Wayne	51K	R+37.1	9,150	20,071	29,444	1.0%
Wayne	48K	R+37.1	9,150	20,071	29,444	1.0%
Union	45K	R+23.4	8,015	12,969	21,188	0.7%
Union	43K	R+23.4	8,015	12,969	21,188	0.7%
Union	42K	R+23.4	8,015	12,969	21,188	0.7%
Susquehanna	42K	R+44.7	6,093	16,114	22,404	0.7%
Susquehanna	42K	R+44.7	6,093	16,114	22,404	0.7%
Union	42K	R+23.4	8,015	12,969	21,188	0.7%
Susquehanna	41K	R+44.7	6,093	16,114	22,404	0.7%
Snyder	40K	R+47.0	5,239	14,664	20,038	0.6%
Snyder	40K	R+47.0	5,239	14,664	20,038	0.6%
Clinton	40K	R+40.9	5,395	12,965	18,522	0.6%
Snyder	38K	R+47.0	5,239	14,664	20,038	0.6%
Susquehanna	38K	R+44.7	6,093	16,114	22,404	0.7%
Clinton	38K	R+40.9	5,395	12,965	18,522	0.6%
Clinton	38K	R+40.9	5,395	12,965	18,522	0.6%
Snyder	38K	R+47.0	5,239	14,664	20,038	0.6%
Clinton	37K	R+40.9	5,395	12,965	18,522	0.6%
Wyoming	28K	R+36.8	4,680	10,222	15,052	0.5%
Wyoming	28K	R+36.8	4,680	10,222	15,052	0.5%
Wyoming	28K	R+36.8	4,680	10,222	15,052	0.5%
Wyoming	26K	R+36.8	4,680	10,222	15,052	0.5%
Montour	18K	R+21.0	3,862	5,944	9,908	0.3%
Montour	18K	R+21.0	3,862	5,944	9,908	0.3%
Montour	18K	R+21.0	3,862	5,944	9,908	0.3%
Montour	18K	R+21.0	3,862	5,944	9,908	0.3%
Sullivan	7K	R+46.9	976	2,721	3,721	0.1%
Sullivan	6K	R+46.9	976	2,721	3,721	0.1%
Sullivan	6K	R+46.9	976	2,721	3,721	0.1%
Sullivan	6K	R+46.9	976	2,721	3,721	0.1%

68 countiesTotal votes: 3,096,384

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-HztnCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 88.8%Hispanic 5.2%Black 3.5%Multiracial 1.3%Asian 1.0%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	88.8%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	5.2%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(14)	3.5%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	1.3%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.8%(690.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +28.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	23.2%	50.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	11.5%	25.2%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.0%	17.5%	—	—
Other	2.6%	5.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.2%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn media market? 6,001,034 residents across 68 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn vs National6.0M residents

20% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 13pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.0M

local

6.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.79%

local

1.79%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.3%

local

38.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$48,837

local

$48,837National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.6%

local

12.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.0%

local

20.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.7 yrs

local

41.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.7%

local

3.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.1%

local

7.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

92.9%

local

92.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

65.7%

vs Previous

+1.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

405K · 34.3%

Citizen VAP

1,178,728

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (58/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+24.5	R+20.8	3.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Pennsylvania(State)

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