How did Traverse City-Cadillac vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Traverse City-Cadillac voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+22.9. Kamala D Harris received 147,328 votes and Donald Trump received 236,801 out of 389,943 total votes cast, a 0.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Traverse City-Cadillac's political history?

Traverse City-Cadillac has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 78.5 points in 1872.

What are the demographics of Traverse City-Cadillac?

Traverse City-Cadillac has a population of 2,447,129 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.4% non-Hispanic white, 2.0% Hispanic, 1.5% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $48,110.

Which places are most similar to Traverse City-Cadillac?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Traverse City-Cadillac are Wausau-Rhinelander, Bangor, Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Traverse City-Cadillac

Where resort-town tourism meets working-class manufacturing heritage

This northwest Michigan media market spans a cultural fault line between affluent lakeside communities and rural industrial towns, producing competitive margins in statewide races that neither party can take for granted.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 540

Population2.4M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

43.8y▲ 4.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.6%▼ 13.3

White91.4%
Two or more3.0%
Native2.1%
Hispanic2.0%
Black1.5%
Asian0.5%
Other0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Traverse City-CadillacBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Wausau-Rhinelander, Bangor, and Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn.

8 visible matches

Wausau-Rhinelander

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.2

Similarity score96%

Bangor

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.4

Similarity score94%

Wilkes Barre-Scranton-Hztn

Small-town rural republican 2

R+24.5

Similarity score92%

Alpena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score92%

Marquette

Small-town rural republican 2

R+16.7

Similarity score91%

Wilmington

Small-town rural republican 2

R+15.8

Similarity score89%

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.0

Similarity score89%

Green Bay-Appleton

Small-town rural republican 3

R+17.3

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Traverse City-Cadillac

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Grand Traverse	96K	R+1.7	30,339	31,423	62,772	4.0%
Grand Traverse	91K	R+1.7	30,339	31,423	62,772	4.0%
Grand Traverse	85K	R+1.7	30,339	31,423	62,772	4.0%
Grand Traverse	78K	R+1.7	30,339	31,423	62,772	4.0%
Mecosta	43K	R+30.1	7,688	14,445	22,489	1.4%
Mecosta	42K	R+30.1	7,688	14,445	22,489	1.4%
Mecosta	41K	R+30.1	7,688	14,445	22,489	1.4%
Mecosta	41K	R+30.1	7,688	14,445	22,489	1.4%
Chippewa	39K	R+24.3	6,796	11,249	18,365	1.2%
Chippewa	39K	R+24.3	6,796	11,249	18,365	1.2%
Chippewa	38K	R+24.3	6,796	11,249	18,365	1.2%
Chippewa	36K	R+24.3	6,796	11,249	18,365	1.2%
Emmet	34K	R+10.8	10,005	12,465	22,851	1.5%
Wexford	34K	R+34.6	6,224	12,968	19,476	1.2%
Emmet	33K	R+10.8	10,005	12,465	22,851	1.5%
Emmet	33K	R+10.8	10,005	12,465	22,851	1.5%
Wexford	33K	R+34.6	6,224	12,968	19,476	1.2%
Wexford	32K	R+34.6	6,224	12,968	19,476	1.2%
Emmet	31K	R+10.8	10,005	12,465	22,851	1.5%
Clare	31K	R+37.6	5,273	11,772	17,288	1.1%
Clare	31K	R+37.6	5,273	11,772	17,288	1.1%
Clare	31K	R+37.6	5,273	11,772	17,288	1.1%
Clare	31K	R+37.6	5,273	11,772	17,288	1.1%
Wexford	30K	R+34.6	6,224	12,968	19,476	1.2%
Mason	29K	R+21.4	6,973	10,830	18,064	1.2%
Mason	29K	R+21.4	6,973	10,830	18,064	1.2%
Mason	29K	R+21.4	6,973	10,830	18,064	1.2%
Mason	28K	R+21.4	6,973	10,830	18,064	1.2%
Cheboygan	27K	R+31.1	5,543	10,653	16,423	1.1%
Cheboygan	26K	R+31.1	5,543	10,653	16,423	1.1%
Charlevoix	26K	R+16.9	7,197	10,183	17,661	1.1%
Charlevoix	26K	R+16.9	7,197	10,183	17,661	1.1%
Charlevoix	26K	R+16.9	7,197	10,183	17,661	1.1%
Charlevoix	26K	R+16.9	7,197	10,183	17,661	1.1%
Cheboygan	26K	R+31.1	5,543	10,653	16,423	1.1%
Otsego	26K	R+35.3	5,052	10,693	15,971	1.0%
Cheboygan	26K	R+31.1	5,543	10,653	16,423	1.1%
Roscommon	25K	R+32.9	5,290	10,582	16,068	1.0%
Manistee	25K	R+15.9	6,309	8,748	15,297	1.0%
Roscommon	25K	R+32.9	5,290	10,582	16,068	1.0%
Manistee	25K	R+15.9	6,309	8,748	15,297	1.0%
Manistee	25K	R+15.9	6,309	8,748	15,297	1.0%
Manistee	24K	R+15.9	6,309	8,748	15,297	1.0%
Otsego	24K	R+35.3	5,052	10,693	15,971	1.0%
Antrim	24K	R+23.8	6,330	10,341	16,883	1.1%
Antrim	24K	R+23.8	6,330	10,341	16,883	1.1%
Otsego	24K	R+35.3	5,052	10,693	15,971	1.0%
Roscommon	24K	R+32.9	5,290	10,582	16,068	1.0%
Roscommon	24K	R+32.9	5,290	10,582	16,068	1.0%
Otsego	23K	R+35.3	5,052	10,693	15,971	1.0%
Osceola	23K	R+47.9	3,326	9,639	13,184	0.8%
Antrim	23K	R+23.8	6,330	10,341	16,883	1.1%
Osceola	23K	R+47.9	3,326	9,639	13,184	0.8%
Osceola	23K	R+47.9	3,326	9,639	13,184	0.8%
Antrim	23K	R+23.8	6,330	10,341	16,883	1.1%
Osceola	23K	R+47.9	3,326	9,639	13,184	0.8%
Leelanau	23K	D+7.8	9,406	8,035	17,685	1.1%
Leelanau	22K	D+7.8	9,406	8,035	17,685	1.1%
Leelanau	22K	D+7.8	9,406	8,035	17,685	1.1%
Leelanau	21K	D+7.8	9,406	8,035	17,685	1.1%
Benzie	18K	R+8.7	5,780	6,895	12,846	0.8%
Kalkaska	18K	R+42.9	3,206	8,149	11,529	0.7%
Benzie	17K	R+8.7	5,780	6,895	12,846	0.8%
Benzie	17K	R+8.7	5,780	6,895	12,846	0.8%
Kalkaska	17K	R+42.9	3,206	8,149	11,529	0.7%
Kalkaska	17K	R+42.9	3,206	8,149	11,529	0.7%
Kalkaska	17K	R+42.9	3,206	8,149	11,529	0.7%
Benzie	16K	R+8.7	5,780	6,895	12,846	0.8%
Missaukee	15K	R+56.0	1,945	7,066	9,152	0.6%
Missaukee	15K	R+56.0	1,945	7,066	9,152	0.6%
Missaukee	15K	R+56.0	1,945	7,066	9,152	0.6%
Crawford	15K	R+33.8	2,752	5,613	8,476	0.5%
Missaukee	14K	R+56.0	1,945	7,066	9,152	0.6%
Presque Isle	14K	R+29.0	3,036	5,568	8,742	0.6%
Crawford	14K	R+33.8	2,752	5,613	8,476	0.5%
Crawford	14K	R+33.8	2,752	5,613	8,476	0.5%
Presque Isle	14K	R+29.0	3,036	5,568	8,742	0.6%
Crawford	13K	R+33.8	2,752	5,613	8,476	0.5%
Presque Isle	13K	R+29.0	3,036	5,568	8,742	0.6%
Presque Isle	13K	R+29.0	3,036	5,568	8,742	0.6%
Lake	13K	R+32.2	2,298	4,523	6,915	0.4%
Mackinac	12K	R+24.9	2,675	4,476	7,238	0.5%
Lake	11K	R+32.2	2,298	4,523	6,915	0.4%
Lake	11K	R+32.2	2,298	4,523	6,915	0.4%
Lake	11K	R+32.2	2,298	4,523	6,915	0.4%
Mackinac	11K	R+24.9	2,675	4,476	7,238	0.5%
Mackinac	11K	R+24.9	2,675	4,476	7,238	0.5%
Mackinac	11K	R+24.9	2,675	4,476	7,238	0.5%
Montmorency	10K	R+45.3	1,702	4,599	6,391	0.4%
Montmorency	10K	R+45.3	1,702	4,599	6,391	0.4%
Montmorency	10K	R+45.3	1,702	4,599	6,391	0.4%
Oscoda	9K	R+44.3	1,414	3,716	5,192	0.3%
Montmorency	9K	R+45.3	1,702	4,599	6,391	0.4%
Oscoda	9K	R+44.3	1,414	3,716	5,192	0.3%
Oscoda	8K	R+44.3	1,414	3,716	5,192	0.3%
Oscoda	8K	R+44.3	1,414	3,716	5,192	0.3%
Luce	7K	R+46.9	769	2,170	2,985	0.2%
Luce	7K	R+46.9	769	2,170	2,985	0.2%
Luce	6K	R+46.9	769	2,170	2,985	0.2%
Luce	6K	R+46.9	769	2,170	2,985	0.2%

100 countiesTotal votes: 1,559,772

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Traverse City-Cadillac's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Traverse City-Cadillac media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Traverse City-CadillacCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.4%Multiracial 2.5%Native American 2.1%Hispanic 2.0%Black 1.5%Asian 0.5%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.4%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	2.1%	0.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	2.0%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(9)	1.5%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	0.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

28.7%(179.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -14.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	12.0%	41.9%	—	—
Catholic	9.2%	32.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	5.7%	20.0%	—	—
Other	1.4%	4.8%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.6%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.4%	1.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	71.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Traverse City-Cadillac media market? 2,447,129 residents across 100 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Traverse City-Cadillac vs National2.4M residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.4M

local

2.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.73%

local

0.73%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.5%

local

39.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$48,110

local

$48,110National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.5%

local

13.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.6%

local

21.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

80.4%

local

80.4%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.8 yrs

local

43.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.1%

local

10.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.1%

local

16.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.8%

local

1.8%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.6%

local

3.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.4%

local

96.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Traverse City-Cadillac

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

77.1%

vs Previous

+3.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

116K · 22.9%

Citizen VAP

505,680

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Traverse City-Cadillac split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (55/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+22.9	R+22.2	0.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Traverse City-Cadillac sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Michigan(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo