How did Rockford vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Rockford voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+8.7. Kamala D Harris received 93,367 votes and Donald Trump received 111,407 out of 208,510 total votes cast, a 2.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Rockford's political history?

Rockford has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 5 and Republicans 35 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 62.3 points in 1876.

What are the demographics of Rockford?

Rockford has a population of 1,882,377 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 76.7% non-Hispanic white, 10.6% Hispanic, 8.6% Black. About 21% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $53,726.

Which places are most similar to Rockford?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Rockford are Erie, Alpena, Bangor. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Rockford

Midsize Rust Belt market where union households meet suburban swing voters

The Rockford DMA anchors Illinois's northwest corner, blending deindustrialized Winnebago County precincts with rural collar communities that have shifted markedly toward Republican margins over the past decade.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 610

Population1.9M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.8y▼ 0.1

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

20.6%▼ 14.4

White76.7%
Hispanic10.6%
Black8.6%
Two or more4.2%
Other3.6%
Asian1.7%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

RockfordBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Erie, Alpena, and Bangor.

8 visible matches

Erie

Small-town rural republican 2

R+13.1

Similarity score82%

Alpena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+32.6

Similarity score76%

Bangor

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.4

Similarity score74%

Presque Isle

Small-town rural republican 2

R+26.2

Similarity score73%

Wausau-Rhinelander

Small-town rural republican 2

R+19.2

Similarity score73%

Binghamton

Small-town rural republican 2

R+9.9

Similarity score73%

Flint-Saginaw-Bay City

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.0

Similarity score71%

Medford-Klamath Falls

Small-town rural republican 2

R+18.7

Similarity score71%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Rockford

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Winnebago	296K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	14.5%
Winnebago	289K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	14.5%
Winnebago	283K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	14.5%
Winnebago	278K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	14.5%
Ogle	55K	R+29.3	8,883	16,450	25,799	3.1%
Boone	54K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	2.9%
Boone	53K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	2.9%
Boone	52K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	2.9%
Ogle	52K	R+29.3	8,883	16,450	25,799	3.1%
Ogle	51K	R+29.3	8,883	16,450	25,799	3.1%
Ogle	51K	R+29.3	8,883	16,450	25,799	3.1%
Stephenson	49K	R+19.4	8,278	12,347	20,995	2.5%
Stephenson	47K	R+19.4	8,278	12,347	20,995	2.5%
Stephenson	46K	R+19.4	8,278	12,347	20,995	2.5%
Stephenson	44K	R+19.4	8,278	12,347	20,995	2.5%
Boone	42K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	2.9%
Lee	36K	R+22.2	6,105	9,680	16,113	1.9%
Lee	35K	R+22.2	6,105	9,680	16,113	1.9%
Lee	35K	R+22.2	6,105	9,680	16,113	1.9%
Lee	34K	R+22.2	6,105	9,680	16,113	1.9%

20 countiesTotal votes: 834,040

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Rockford's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Rockford media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

RockfordCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 76.7%Hispanic 10.6%Black 8.6%Multiracial 2.1%Asian 1.7%Native American 0.3%

Group	Rockford	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	76.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	10.6%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(9)	8.6%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.7%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.7%(254.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +8.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	24.4%	44.6%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	17.4%	31.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	8.3%	15.1%	—	—
Other	2.6%	4.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.9%	3.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	45.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Rockford media market? 1,882,377 residents across 20 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Rockford vs National1.9M residents

21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.9M

local

1.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.56%

local

0.56%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.5%

local

37.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$53,726

local

$53,726National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.6%

local

20.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

70.9%

local

70.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.8 yrs

local

38.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.8%

local

10.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.6%

local

6.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.9%

local

88.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Rockford

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

60.8%

vs Previous

-3.2pp

Eligible Non-Voters

134K · 39.2%

Citizen VAP

342,710

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Rockford split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (51/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+8.3	R+11.0	2.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Rockford sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)

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