How did Milwaukee vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Milwaukee voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+1.7. Kamala D Harris received 660,683 votes and Donald Trump received 637,927 out of 1,321,744 total votes cast, a 1.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Milwaukee's political history?

Milwaukee has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 46.2 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Milwaukee?

Milwaukee has a population of 9,154,359 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 73.6% non-Hispanic white, 9.1% Hispanic, 12.4% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $59,916.

Which places are most similar to Milwaukee?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Milwaukee are Madison, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), Richmond-Petersburg. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Milwaukee

A lakefront anchor where turnout margins routinely decide statewide races

The Milwaukee media market spans southeastern Wisconsin's dense urban core and surrounding exurbs, creating a battleground where the city's high-density wards and collar-county suburbs often pull in opposite directions on election night.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 617

Population9.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.6y▼ 1.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.6%▼ 5.4

White73.6%
Black12.4%
Hispanic9.1%
Two or more3.9%
Other3.1%
Asian2.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

MilwaukeeBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Madison, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville), and Richmond-Petersburg.

8 visible matches

Madison

Educated rural competitive

D+28.2

Similarity score91%

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)

Educated rural competitive

D+14.7

Similarity score87%

Richmond-Petersburg

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score87%

Columbus, OH

Small-town rural republican 3

R+3.2

Similarity score86%

Portland, OR

Educated rural competitive

D+18.1

Similarity score85%

Seattle-Tacoma

Educated rural democratic

D+28.6

Similarity score85%

Charlottesville

Educated rural competitive

D+17.6

Similarity score83%

Charlotte

Small-town rural republican 3

R+8.9

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Milwaukee

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Milwaukee	955K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	8.8%
Milwaukee	954K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	8.8%
Milwaukee	940K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	8.8%
Milwaukee	926K	D+38.4	316,292	138,022	464,107	8.8%
Waukesha	412K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	5.2%
Waukesha	395K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	5.2%
Waukesha	379K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	5.2%
Waukesha	361K	R+19.7	108,478	162,768	275,787	5.2%
Racine	199K	R+6.2	49,721	56,347	107,686	2.0%
Racine	198K	R+6.2	49,721	56,347	107,686	2.0%
Racine	195K	R+6.2	49,721	56,347	107,686	2.0%
Racine	189K	R+6.2	49,721	56,347	107,686	2.0%
Kenosha	168K	R+6.2	41,826	47,478	90,680	1.7%
Kenosha	168K	R+6.2	41,826	47,478	90,680	1.7%
Kenosha	163K	R+6.2	41,826	47,478	90,680	1.7%
Kenosha	150K	R+6.2	41,826	47,478	90,680	1.7%
Washington	138K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	1.7%
Washington	133K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	1.7%
Washington	128K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	1.7%
Sheboygan	118K	R+16.3	27,735	38,763	67,562	1.3%
Washington	117K	R+36.2	28,504	61,604	91,407	1.7%
Sheboygan	115K	R+16.3	27,735	38,763	67,562	1.3%
Sheboygan	114K	R+16.3	27,735	38,763	67,562	1.3%
Sheboygan	113K	R+16.3	27,735	38,763	67,562	1.3%
Walworth	106K	R+22.2	23,161	36,603	60,597	1.1%
Walworth	103K	R+22.2	23,161	36,603	60,597	1.1%
Walworth	100K	R+22.2	23,161	36,603	60,597	1.1%
Walworth	94K	R+22.2	23,161	36,603	60,597	1.1%
Ozaukee	93K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.2%
Dodge	89K	R+32.9	16,518	33,067	50,300	1.0%
Dodge	88K	R+32.9	16,518	33,067	50,300	1.0%
Ozaukee	88K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.2%
Dodge	88K	R+32.9	16,518	33,067	50,300	1.0%
Jefferson	86K	R+16.4	20,574	28,771	50,146	0.9%
Dodge	86K	R+32.9	16,518	33,067	50,300	1.0%
Ozaukee	86K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.2%
Jefferson	85K	R+16.4	20,574	28,771	50,146	0.9%
Ozaukee	82K	R+10.4	27,874	34,504	63,472	1.2%
Jefferson	80K	R+16.4	20,574	28,771	50,146	0.9%
Jefferson	74K	R+16.4	20,574	28,771	50,146	0.9%

40 countiesTotal votes: 5,286,976

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Milwaukee's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Milwaukee media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

MilwaukeeCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 73.6%Black 12.4%Hispanic 9.1%Asian 2.6%Multiracial 1.9%Native American 0.4%

Group	Milwaukee	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.6%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	12.4%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	9.1%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.6%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	1.9%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

51.5%(1.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +8.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	22.7%	44.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	16.0%	31.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.0%	11.6%	—	—
Other	4.1%	7.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.4%	4.7%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.4%	0.8%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	48.5%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Milwaukee media market? 9,154,359 residents across 40 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Milwaukee vs National9.2M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.2M

local

9.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.73%

local

2.73%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.2%

local

38.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$59,916

local

$59,916National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.6%

local

29.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.1%

local

64.1%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.6 yrs

local

37.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.2%

local

11.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.1%

local

6.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.9%

local

88.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Milwaukee

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

75.9%

vs Previous

+1.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

420K · 24.1%

Citizen VAP

1,741,314

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Milwaukee split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (51/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+1.7	D+2.4	0.6pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Milwaukee sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Wisconsin(State)

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