How did Richmond-Petersburg vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Richmond-Petersburg voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+9.3. Kamala D Harris received 459,176 votes and Donald Trump received 379,827 out of 850,091 total votes cast, a 1.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Richmond-Petersburg's political history?

Richmond-Petersburg has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 2008. The largest single-election swing was 49.9 points in 1928.

What are the demographics of Richmond-Petersburg?

Richmond-Petersburg has a population of 5,656,765 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 59.5% non-Hispanic white, 4.9% Hispanic, 30.1% Black. About 32% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $63,121.

Which places are most similar to Richmond-Petersburg?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Richmond-Petersburg are Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, Baltimore, Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville). Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Richmond-Petersburg

Virginia's most competitive media market anchors the capital region

Richmond-Petersburg straddles a persistent partisan fault line, blending the Democratic-leaning city core with battleground exurbs that have shifted measurably toward competitive margins in recent statewide cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 556

Population5.7M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.4y▼ 0.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

31.8%▼ 3.2

White59.5%
Black30.1%
Hispanic4.9%
Two or more3.4%
Asian2.8%
Other1.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Richmond-PetersburgBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, Baltimore, and Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville).

8 visible matches

Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News

Educated rural competitive

D+8.0

Similarity score94%

Baltimore

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score93%

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)

Educated rural competitive

D+14.7

Similarity score92%

Minneapolis-St. Paul

Educated rural competitive

D+5.5

Similarity score88%

Charlotte

Small-town rural republican 3

R+8.9

Similarity score88%

Detroit

Educated rural competitive

D+8.5

Similarity score87%

Milwaukee

Educated rural competitive

D+1.7

Similarity score87%

Atlanta

Educated rural competitive

D+4.7

Similarity score86%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Richmond-Petersburg

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Chesterfield	378K	D+9.0	112,869	94,030	209,730	6.2%
Henrico	336K	D+28.9	115,040	62,882	180,642	5.3%
Chesterfield	332K	D+9.0	112,869	94,030	209,730	6.2%
Henrico	322K	D+28.9	115,040	62,882	180,642	5.3%
Chesterfield	298K	D+9.0	112,869	94,030	209,730	6.2%
Henrico	289K	D+28.9	115,040	62,882	180,642	5.3%
Henrico	262K	D+28.9	115,040	62,882	180,642	5.3%
Chesterfield	260K	D+9.0	112,869	94,030	209,730	6.2%
Richmond City	229K	D+66.3	88,710	17,041	108,143	3.2%
Richmond City	217K	D+66.3	88,710	17,041	108,143	3.2%
Richmond City	201K	D+66.3	88,710	17,041	108,143	3.2%
Richmond City	198K	D+66.3	88,710	17,041	108,143	3.2%
Hanover	113K	R+25.8	26,733	45,569	73,087	2.1%
Hanover	102K	R+25.8	26,733	45,569	73,087	2.1%
Hanover	99K	R+25.8	26,733	45,569	73,087	2.1%
Hanover	86K	R+25.8	26,733	45,569	73,087	2.1%
Prince George	43K	R+21.3	6,842	10,590	17,596	0.5%
Louisa	40K	R+26.2	8,779	15,084	24,067	0.7%
Prince George	38K	R+21.3	6,842	10,590	17,596	0.5%
Prince George	36K	R+21.3	6,842	10,590	17,596	0.5%
Louisa	34K	R+26.2	8,779	15,084	24,067	0.7%
Petersburg City	34K	D+72.8	11,219	1,702	13,077	0.4%
Petersburg City	34K	D+72.8	11,219	1,702	13,077	0.4%
Prince George	33K	R+21.3	6,842	10,590	17,596	0.5%
Petersburg City	33K	D+72.8	11,219	1,702	13,077	0.4%
Caroline	32K	R+8.8	7,957	9,511	17,653	0.5%
Petersburg City	32K	D+72.8	11,219	1,702	13,077	0.4%
Louisa	32K	R+26.2	8,779	15,084	24,067	0.7%
Powhatan	32K	R+44.1	5,734	14,918	20,841	0.6%
Caroline	30K	R+8.8	7,957	9,511	17,653	0.5%
Powhatan	28K	R+44.1	5,734	14,918	20,841	0.6%
Dinwiddie	28K	R+23.1	5,942	9,549	15,589	0.5%
Dinwiddie	28K	R+23.1	5,942	9,549	15,589	0.5%
Powhatan	27K	R+44.1	5,734	14,918	20,841	0.6%
Caroline	27K	R+8.8	7,957	9,511	17,653	0.5%
Goochland	26K	R+18.6	7,875	11,521	19,616	0.6%
Dinwiddie	26K	R+23.1	5,942	9,549	15,589	0.5%
Louisa	26K	R+26.2	8,779	15,084	24,067	0.7%
New Kent	25K	R+31.9	5,641	10,974	16,744	0.5%
Dinwiddie	25K	R+23.1	5,942	9,549	15,589	0.5%
Prince Edward	23K	R+2.6	4,539	4,782	9,424	0.3%
Hopewell City	23K	D+13.8	5,078	3,838	9,006	0.3%
Hopewell City	23K	D+13.8	5,078	3,838	9,006	0.3%
Powhatan	22K	R+44.1	5,734	14,918	20,841	0.6%
Hopewell City	22K	D+13.8	5,078	3,838	9,006	0.3%
Hopewell City	22K	D+13.8	5,078	3,838	9,006	0.3%
Caroline	22K	R+8.8	7,957	9,511	17,653	0.5%
Prince Edward	22K	R+2.6	4,539	4,782	9,424	0.3%
Goochland	22K	R+18.6	7,875	11,521	19,616	0.6%
Prince Edward	22K	R+2.6	4,539	4,782	9,424	0.3%
Goochland	20K	R+18.6	7,875	11,521	19,616	0.6%
New Kent	20K	R+31.9	5,641	10,974	16,744	0.5%
Prince Edward	20K	R+2.6	4,539	4,782	9,424	0.3%
King William	19K	R+40.6	3,388	8,080	11,561	0.3%
Brunswick	18K	D+8.5	4,184	3,523	7,738	0.2%
Colonial Heights City	18K	R+32.5	2,982	5,883	8,941	0.3%
Brunswick	18K	D+8.5	4,184	3,523	7,738	0.2%
Colonial Heights City	18K	R+32.5	2,982	5,883	8,941	0.3%
Colonial Heights City	18K	R+32.5	2,982	5,883	8,941	0.3%
New Kent	17K	R+31.9	5,641	10,974	16,744	0.5%
Buckingham	17K	R+23.5	2,988	4,847	7,915	0.2%
Buckingham	17K	R+23.5	2,988	4,847	7,915	0.2%
Colonial Heights City	17K	R+32.5	2,982	5,883	8,941	0.3%
Goochland	17K	R+18.6	7,875	11,521	19,616	0.6%
Brunswick	17K	D+8.5	4,184	3,523	7,738	0.2%
King William	16K	R+40.6	3,388	8,080	11,561	0.3%
Buckingham	16K	R+23.5	2,988	4,847	7,915	0.2%
Brunswick	16K	D+8.5	4,184	3,523	7,738	0.2%
Nottoway	16K	R+22.4	2,636	4,168	6,853	0.2%
Nottoway	16K	R+22.4	2,636	4,168	6,853	0.2%
Nottoway	16K	R+22.4	2,636	4,168	6,853	0.2%
Buckingham	16K	R+23.5	2,988	4,847	7,915	0.2%
Nottoway	16K	R+22.4	2,636	4,168	6,853	0.2%
King William	15K	R+40.6	3,388	8,080	11,561	0.3%
New Kent	13K	R+31.9	5,641	10,974	16,744	0.5%
Amelia	13K	R+44.4	2,214	5,776	8,032	0.2%
Lunenburg	13K	R+22.8	2,253	3,594	5,879	0.2%
King William	13K	R+40.6	3,388	8,080	11,561	0.3%
Lunenburg	13K	R+22.8	2,253	3,594	5,879	0.2%
Northumberland	13K	R+21.2	3,202	4,938	8,205	0.2%
Amelia	13K	R+44.4	2,214	5,776	8,032	0.2%
Amelia	13K	R+44.4	2,214	5,776	8,032	0.2%
Sussex	13K	D+4.4	2,539	2,322	4,892	0.1%
Lunenburg	12K	R+22.8	2,253	3,594	5,879	0.2%
Northumberland	12K	R+21.2	3,202	4,938	8,205	0.2%
Northumberland	12K	R+21.2	3,202	4,938	8,205	0.2%
Northumberland	12K	R+21.2	3,202	4,938	8,205	0.2%
Sussex	12K	D+4.4	2,539	2,322	4,892	0.1%
Lunenburg	12K	R+22.8	2,253	3,594	5,879	0.2%
Greensville	12K	D+9.3	2,334	1,936	4,296	0.1%
Sussex	12K	D+4.4	2,539	2,322	4,892	0.1%
Greensville	12K	D+9.3	2,334	1,936	4,296	0.1%
Lancaster	12K	R+7.0	3,355	3,866	7,279	0.2%
Greensville	12K	D+9.3	2,334	1,936	4,296	0.1%
Lancaster	11K	R+7.0	3,355	3,866	7,279	0.2%
Amelia	11K	R+44.4	2,214	5,776	8,032	0.2%
Greensville	11K	D+9.3	2,334	1,936	4,296	0.1%
Essex	11K	R+7.8	2,775	3,245	6,064	0.2%
Lancaster	11K	R+7.0	3,355	3,866	7,279	0.2%
Lancaster	11K	R+7.0	3,355	3,866	7,279	0.2%
Middlesex	11K	R+27.4	2,473	4,357	6,882	0.2%
Essex	11K	R+7.8	2,775	3,245	6,064	0.2%
Sussex	11K	D+4.4	2,539	2,322	4,892	0.1%
Middlesex	11K	R+27.4	2,473	4,357	6,882	0.2%
Middlesex	11K	R+27.4	2,473	4,357	6,882	0.2%
Essex	11K	R+7.8	2,775	3,245	6,064	0.2%
Essex	10K	R+7.8	2,775	3,245	6,064	0.2%
Middlesex	10K	R+27.4	2,473	4,357	6,882	0.2%
Cumberland	10K	R+22.2	2,117	3,335	5,486	0.2%
Cumberland	10K	R+22.2	2,117	3,335	5,486	0.2%
Cumberland	10K	R+22.2	2,117	3,335	5,486	0.2%
Richmond	9K	R+30.2	1,439	2,697	4,161	0.1%
Richmond	9K	R+30.2	1,439	2,697	4,161	0.1%
Cumberland	9K	R+22.2	2,117	3,335	5,486	0.2%
Richmond	9K	R+30.2	1,439	2,697	4,161	0.1%
Richmond	9K	R+30.2	1,439	2,697	4,161	0.1%
Charles City	7K	D+10.8	2,384	1,917	4,341	0.1%
King and Queen	7K	R+25.7	1,536	2,608	4,173	0.1%
Charles City	7K	D+10.8	2,384	1,917	4,341	0.1%
Charles City	7K	D+10.8	2,384	1,917	4,341	0.1%
King and Queen	7K	R+25.7	1,536	2,608	4,173	0.1%
King and Queen	7K	R+25.7	1,536	2,608	4,173	0.1%
King and Queen	7K	R+25.7	1,536	2,608	4,173	0.1%
Charles City	7K	D+10.8	2,384	1,917	4,341	0.1%
Emporia City	6K	D+31.0	1,419	744	2,178	0.1%
Emporia City	6K	D+31.0	1,419	744	2,178	0.1%
Emporia City	6K	D+31.0	1,419	744	2,178	0.1%
Emporia City	6K	D+31.0	1,419	744	2,178	0.1%

128 countiesTotal votes: 3,400,364

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Richmond-Petersburg's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Richmond-Petersburg media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Richmond-PetersburgCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 59.5%Black 30.1%Hispanic 4.9%Asian 2.8%Multiracial 2.4%Native American 0.4%

Group	Richmond-Petersburg	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	59.5%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	30.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	4.9%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.8%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.7%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

50.7%(799.1K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -27.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	22.4%	44.3%	—	—
Catholic	10.7%	21.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	9.0%	17.8%	—	—
Other	5.2%	10.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.0%	5.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	1.7%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	49.3%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Richmond-Petersburg media market? 5,656,765 residents across 128 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Richmond-Petersburg vs National5.7M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7M

local

5.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.69%

local

1.69%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.4%

local

40.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$63,121

local

$63,121National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

31.8%

local

31.8%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

68.5%

local

68.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.4 yrs

local

38.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.2%

local

6.2%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.6%

local

8.6%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.4%

local

91.4%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Richmond-Petersburg

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

71.4%

vs Previous

+0.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

340K · 28.6%

Citizen VAP

1,190,447

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Richmond-Petersburg split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (63/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+9.3	D+18.0	8.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 7.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Richmond-Petersburg sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Virginia(State)

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