Fast-growing Sun Belt market where suburban realignment reshapes margins
The Charlotte DMA spans the Carolina Piedmont and has added nearly a million residents since 2010, making its fast-growing outer suburbs among the most closely watched bellwether zones in statewide contests for both North and South Carolina.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mecklenburg | 1.2M | D+32.7 | 376,454 | 187,770 | 577,505 | 8.0% |
| Mecklenburg | 1.0M | D+32.7 | 376,454 | 187,770 | 577,505 | 8.0% |
| Mecklenburg | 861K | D+32.7 | 376,454 | 187,770 | 577,505 | 8.0% |
| Mecklenburg | 695K | D+32.7 | 376,454 | 187,770 | 577,505 | 8.0% |
| York | 294K | R+19.1 | 59,600 | 88,239 | 150,059 | 2.1% |
| Union | 251K | R+25.2 | 51,168 | 86,271 | 139,355 | 1.9% |
| York | 246K | R+19.1 | 59,600 | 88,239 | 150,059 | 2.1% |
| Cabarrus | 236K | R+7.7 | 54,494 | 63,746 | 120,202 | 1.7% |
| Gaston | 235K | R+25.0 | 44,062 | 73,828 | 119,256 | 1.6% |
| Union | 218K | R+25.2 | 51,168 | 86,271 | 139,355 | 1.9% |
| Gaston | 212K | R+25.0 | 44,062 | 73,828 | 119,256 | 1.6% |
| York | 209K | R+19.1 | 59,600 | 88,239 | 150,059 | 2.1% |
| Gaston | 202K | R+25.0 | 44,062 | 73,828 | 119,256 | 1.6% |
| Iredell | 197K | R+32.5 | 36,739 | 72,801 | 110,875 | 1.5% |
| Cabarrus | 192K | R+7.7 | 54,494 | 63,746 | 120,202 | 1.7% |
| Gaston | 190K | R+25.0 | 44,062 | 73,828 | 119,256 | 1.6% |
| Union | 182K | R+25.2 | 51,168 | 86,271 | 139,355 | 1.9% |
| Iredell | 167K | R+32.5 | 36,739 | 72,801 | 110,875 | 1.5% |
| York | 165K | R+19.1 | 59,600 | 88,239 | 150,059 | 2.1% |
| Catawba | 164K | R+37.9 | 26,569 | 59,577 | 87,109 | 1.2% |
| Cabarrus | 161K | R+7.7 | 54,494 | 63,746 | 120,202 | 1.7% |
| Catawba | 155K | R+37.9 | 26,569 | 59,577 | 87,109 | 1.2% |
| Catawba | 155K | R+37.9 | 26,569 | 59,577 | 87,109 | 1.2% |
| Iredell | 150K | R+32.5 | 36,739 | 72,801 | 110,875 | 1.5% |
| Rowan | 150K | R+35.8 | 23,788 | 50,807 | 75,394 | 1.0% |
| Catawba | 142K | R+37.9 | 26,569 | 59,577 | 87,109 | 1.2% |
| Rowan | 139K | R+35.8 | 23,788 | 50,807 | 75,394 | 1.0% |
| Rowan | 137K | R+35.8 | 23,788 | 50,807 | 75,394 | 1.0% |
| Cabarrus | 131K | R+7.7 | 54,494 | 63,746 | 120,202 | 1.7% |
| Rowan | 130K | R+35.8 | 23,788 | 50,807 | 75,394 | 1.0% |
| Union | 124K | R+25.2 | 51,168 | 86,271 | 139,355 | 1.9% |
| Iredell | 123K | R+32.5 | 36,739 | 72,801 | 110,875 | 1.5% |
| Lancaster | 104K | R+24.8 | 20,146 | 33,623 | 54,427 | 0.8% |
| Cleveland | 101K | R+34.9 | 16,603 | 34,654 | 51,706 | 0.7% |
| Cleveland | 98K | R+34.9 | 16,603 | 34,654 | 51,706 | 0.7% |
| Cleveland | 97K | R+34.9 | 16,603 | 34,654 | 51,706 | 0.7% |
| Cleveland | 96K | R+34.9 | 16,603 | 34,654 | 51,706 | 0.7% |
| Lincoln | 93K | R+45.6 | 14,842 | 40,183 | 55,582 | 0.8% |
| Burke | 89K | R+41.1 | 13,272 | 32,130 | 45,847 | 0.6% |
| Burke | 89K | R+41.1 | 13,272 | 32,130 | 45,847 | 0.6% |
| Burke | 89K | R+41.1 | 13,272 | 32,130 | 45,847 | 0.6% |
| Burke | 88K | R+41.1 | 13,272 | 32,130 | 45,847 | 0.6% |
| Lancaster | 84K | R+24.8 | 20,146 | 33,623 | 54,427 | 0.8% |
| Caldwell | 82K | R+52.5 | 10,146 | 33,009 | 43,540 | 0.6% |
| Caldwell | 81K | R+52.5 | 10,146 | 33,009 | 43,540 | 0.6% |
| Lincoln | 80K | R+45.6 | 14,842 | 40,183 | 55,582 | 0.8% |
| Caldwell | 79K | R+52.5 | 10,146 | 33,009 | 43,540 | 0.6% |
| Caldwell | 77K | R+52.5 | 10,146 | 33,009 | 43,540 | 0.6% |
| Lancaster | 74K | R+24.8 | 20,146 | 33,623 | 54,427 | 0.8% |
| Lincoln | 73K | R+45.6 | 14,842 | 40,183 | 55,582 | 0.8% |
| Stanly | 65K | R+50.8 | 8,881 | 27,518 | 36,714 | 0.5% |
| Lincoln | 64K | R+45.6 | 14,842 | 40,183 | 55,582 | 0.8% |
| Lancaster | 61K | R+24.8 | 20,146 | 33,623 | 54,427 | 0.8% |
| Stanly | 61K | R+50.8 | 8,881 | 27,518 | 36,714 | 0.5% |
| Stanly | 59K | R+50.8 | 8,881 | 27,518 | 36,714 | 0.5% |
| Stanly | 58K | R+50.8 | 8,881 | 27,518 | 36,714 | 0.5% |
| Watauga | 55K | D+6.0 | 17,225 | 15,254 | 33,095 | 0.5% |
| Watauga | 53K | D+6.0 | 17,225 | 15,254 | 33,095 | 0.5% |
| Richmond | 47K | R+20.9 | 7,787 | 11,931 | 19,873 | 0.3% |
| Chesterfield | 46K | R+28.1 | 6,520 | 11,682 | 18,391 | 0.3% |
| Richmond | 46K | R+20.9 | 7,787 | 11,931 | 19,873 | 0.3% |
| Richmond | 46K | R+20.9 | 7,787 | 11,931 | 19,873 | 0.3% |
| Watauga | 45K | D+6.0 | 17,225 | 15,254 | 33,095 | 0.5% |
| Chesterfield | 44K | R+28.1 | 6,520 | 11,682 | 18,391 | 0.3% |
| Chesterfield | 43K | R+28.1 | 6,520 | 11,682 | 18,391 | 0.3% |
| Chesterfield | 43K | R+28.1 | 6,520 | 11,682 | 18,391 | 0.3% |
| Watauga | 43K | D+6.0 | 17,225 | 15,254 | 33,095 | 0.5% |
| Richmond | 42K | R+20.9 | 7,787 | 11,931 | 19,873 | 0.3% |
| Alexander | 37K | R+59.7 | 4,060 | 16,404 | 20,677 | 0.3% |
| Alexander | 36K | R+59.7 | 4,060 | 16,404 | 20,677 | 0.3% |
| Alexander | 36K | R+59.7 | 4,060 | 16,404 | 20,677 | 0.3% |
| Chester | 34K | R+17.2 | 6,353 | 9,030 | 15,556 | 0.2% |
| Alexander | 34K | R+59.7 | 4,060 | 16,404 | 20,677 | 0.3% |
| Chester | 33K | R+17.2 | 6,353 | 9,030 | 15,556 | 0.2% |
| Chester | 32K | R+17.2 | 6,353 | 9,030 | 15,556 | 0.2% |
| Chester | 32K | R+17.2 | 6,353 | 9,030 | 15,556 | 0.2% |
| Ashe | 27K | R+44.3 | 4,431 | 11,629 | 16,253 | 0.2% |
| Ashe | 27K | R+44.3 | 4,431 | 11,629 | 16,253 | 0.2% |
| Anson | 26K | R+2.5 | 5,253 | 5,525 | 10,875 | 0.2% |
| Ashe | 25K | R+44.3 | 4,431 | 11,629 | 16,253 | 0.2% |
| Anson | 25K | R+2.5 | 5,253 | 5,525 | 10,875 | 0.2% |
| Anson | 25K | R+2.5 | 5,253 | 5,525 | 10,875 | 0.2% |
| Ashe | 24K | R+44.3 | 4,431 | 11,629 | 16,253 | 0.2% |
| Anson | 22K | R+2.5 | 5,253 | 5,525 | 10,875 | 0.2% |
| Avery | 18K | R+52.3 | 2,220 | 7,181 | 9,489 | 0.1% |
| Avery | 18K | R+52.3 | 2,220 | 7,181 | 9,489 | 0.1% |
| Avery | 18K | R+52.3 | 2,220 | 7,181 | 9,489 | 0.1% |
| Avery | 17K | R+52.3 | 2,220 | 7,181 | 9,489 | 0.1% |
| Group | Charlotte | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 67.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 19.3% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 8.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.8% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -36.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27.8% | 51.1% | — | — | |
| 10.2% | 18.8% | — | — | |
| 9.5% | 17.4% | — | — | |
| 3.6% | 6.5% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 5.7% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.3% | — | — |
| 0.3% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 45.5% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Charlotte media market? 11,820,216 residents across 88 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+9.0 | D+10.7 | 19.6pp |