How did Fairbanks vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fairbanks voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+17.9. Kamala D Harris received 17,070 votes and Donald Trump received 24,887 out of 43,760 total votes cast, a 3.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Fairbanks's political history?

Fairbanks has 3 presidential elections on record, spanning 2016 to 2024. Democrats have won 0 and Republicans 3 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 5.9 points in 2020.

What are the demographics of Fairbanks?

Fairbanks has a population of 375,293 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 71.9% non-Hispanic white, 6.7% Hispanic, 4.9% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $70,144.

Which places are most similar to Fairbanks?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Fairbanks are Anchorage, Juneau, Mankato. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Fairbanks

Alaska's interior hub, where vast distances shape every campaign calculus

The Fairbanks media market spans remote Interior and Arctic communities where turnout logistics rival candidate messaging in importance, and Native Alaskan voters represent a decisive share of the electorate in many district-level races.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 745

Population375K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

30.5y▼ 8.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

30.1%▼ 4.9

White71.9%
Two or more8.7%
Hispanic6.7%
Native6.6%
Black4.9%
Asian2.6%
Other1.8%

Trajectory · 2016–2024

FairbanksBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Anchorage, Juneau, and Mankato.

8 visible matches

Anchorage

Small-town rural republican 3

R+16.4

Similarity score88%

Juneau

Educated rural competitive

D+25.8

Similarity score79%

Mankato

Small-town rural republican 3

Small-town rural republican 3

R+19.6

Similarity score75%

Colorado Springs-Pueblo

Small-town rural republican 3

R+12.3

Similarity score74%

Butte-Bozeman

Educated rural competitive

R+5.7

Similarity score74%

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers

Rural Republican 2

R+31.5

Similarity score73%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fairbanks

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Fairbanks North Star Borough	100K	R+17.9	17,070	24,887	43,760	25.0%
Fairbanks North Star Borough	97K	R+17.9	17,070	24,887	43,760	25.0%
Fairbanks North Star Borough	95K	R+17.9	17,070	24,887	43,760	25.0%
Fairbanks North Star Borough	83K	R+17.9	17,070	24,887	43,760	25.0%

4 countiesTotal votes: 175,040

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fairbanks's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fairbanks media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

FairbanksCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 71.9%Multiracial 7.1%Hispanic 6.7%Native American 6.6%Black 4.9%Asian 2.6%

Group	Fairbanks	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	71.9%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	7.1%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	6.7%	19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	6.6%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(9)	4.9%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.3%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4)	0.2%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

30.3%(28.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	17.3%	57.1%	—	—
Other	5.4%	17.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	4.4%	14.7%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.0%	9.9%	—	—
Catholic	2.4%	8.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.1%	7.0%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	69.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fairbanks media market? 375,293 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Fairbanks vs National375K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

375K

local

375KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.11%

local

0.11%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.4%

local

37.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$70,144

local

$70,144National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

7.4%

local

7.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.1%

local

30.1%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

58.8%

local

58.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.5 yrs

local

30.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

18.4%

local

18.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.8%

local

6.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.0%

local

5.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.8%

local

9.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

90.2%

local

90.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fairbanks

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

62.0%

vs Previous

-2.2pp

Eligible Non-Voters

27K · 38.0%

Citizen VAP

70,538

History

2016–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fairbanks split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+77.8	R+36.0	41.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 41.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fairbanks sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Alaska(State)

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