How did Butte-Bozeman vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Butte-Bozeman voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+5.7. Kamala D Harris received 53,158 votes and Donald Trump received 59,817 out of 116,821 total votes cast, a 5.1-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Butte-Bozeman's political history?

Butte-Bozeman has 34 presidential elections on record, spanning 1892 to 2024. Democrats have won 17 and Republicans 17 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 80.1 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Butte-Bozeman?

Butte-Bozeman has a population of 693,216 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 91.8% non-Hispanic white, 3.3% Hispanic. About 38% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $55,973.

Which places are most similar to Butte-Bozeman?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Butte-Bozeman are Charlottesville, Mankato, Lansing. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Butte-Bozeman

Two cities, one market — with sharply different political centers of gravity

Bozeman's rapid in-migration of college-educated professionals has shifted Gallatin County's margins noticeably leftward, while Butte's working-class, union-rooted electorate maintains a distinct Democratic lean unusual for rural Montana.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 754

Population693K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.2y▼ 1.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

37.6%▲ 2.6

White91.8%
Hispanic3.3%
Two or more3.1%
Native1.3%
Asian0.9%
Other0.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Butte-BozemanBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Charlottesville, Mankato, and Lansing.

8 visible matches

Charlottesville

Educated rural competitive

D+17.6

Similarity score86%

Mankato

Small-town rural republican 3

R+13.1

Similarity score86%

Lansing

Educated rural competitive

D+1.9

Similarity score85%

Madison

Educated rural competitive

D+28.2

Similarity score83%

Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque

Small-town rural republican 3

R+1.7

Similarity score82%

Missoula

Small-town rural republican 2

R+14.3

Similarity score82%

Syracuse

Educated rural competitive

D+8.5

Similarity score82%

Helena

Small-town rural republican 2

R+11.3

Similarity score79%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Butte-Bozeman

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Gallatin	124K	D+3.2	34,938	32,695	69,897	15.0%
Gallatin	98K	D+3.2	34,938	32,695	69,897	15.0%
Gallatin	87K	D+3.2	34,938	32,695	69,897	15.0%
Gallatin	68K	D+3.2	34,938	32,695	69,897	15.0%
Silver Bow	36K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	3.9%
Silver Bow	35K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	3.9%
Silver Bow	35K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	3.9%
Silver Bow	33K	D+7.0	9,386	8,110	18,226	3.9%
Jefferson	13K	R+36.5	2,516	5,544	8,291	1.8%
Jefferson	12K	R+36.5	2,516	5,544	8,291	1.8%
Jefferson	11K	R+36.5	2,516	5,544	8,291	1.8%
Jefferson	10K	R+36.5	2,516	5,544	8,291	1.8%
Beaverhead	10K	R+43.4	1,543	4,058	5,794	1.2%
Deer Lodge	10K	D+1.0	2,376	2,329	4,870	1.0%
Deer Lodge	9K	D+1.0	2,376	2,329	4,870	1.0%
Beaverhead	9K	R+43.4	1,543	4,058	5,794	1.2%
Madison	9K	R+45.3	1,689	4,615	6,461	1.4%
Beaverhead	9K	R+43.4	1,543	4,058	5,794	1.2%
Deer Lodge	9K	D+1.0	2,376	2,329	4,870	1.0%
Beaverhead	9K	R+43.4	1,543	4,058	5,794	1.2%
Deer Lodge	9K	D+1.0	2,376	2,329	4,870	1.0%
Madison	8K	R+45.3	1,689	4,615	6,461	1.4%
Madison	7K	R+45.3	1,689	4,615	6,461	1.4%
Powell	7K	R+53.5	710	2,466	3,282	0.7%
Powell	7K	R+53.5	710	2,466	3,282	0.7%
Powell	7K	R+53.5	710	2,466	3,282	0.7%
Powell	7K	R+53.5	710	2,466	3,282	0.7%
Madison	7K	R+45.3	1,689	4,615	6,461	1.4%

28 countiesTotal votes: 467,284

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Butte-Bozeman's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Butte-Bozeman media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Butte-BozemanCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 91.8%Hispanic 3.3%Multiracial 2.3%Native American 1.3%Asian 0.9%Black 0.3%

Group	Butte-Bozeman	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	91.8%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	3.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.3%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7)	1.3%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	0.9%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(7)	0.3%	12.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

31.6%(65.7K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +6.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	12.6%	40.0%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	9.2%	29.1%	—	—
Other	6.7%	21.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	4.8%	15.3%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.9%	9.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	68.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Butte-Bozeman media market? 693,216 residents across 28 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Butte-Bozeman vs National693K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

693K

local

693KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.21%

local

0.21%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.6%

local

42.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$55,973

local

$55,973National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.1%

local

13.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.6%

local

37.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.2%

local

66.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.2 yrs

local

37.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.7%

local

16.7%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.6%

local

2.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.2%

local

4.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.8%

local

95.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Butte-Bozeman

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

70.0%

vs Previous

-0.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

50K · 30.0%

Citizen VAP

166,889

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Butte-Bozeman split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (25/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+5.7	D+7.0	12.7pp
Senate vs Governor	D+7.0	R+4.7	11.6pp
President vs Governor	R+5.7	R+4.7	1.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Butte-Bozeman sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Montana(State)

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