How did Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+31.5. Kamala D Harris received 120,225 votes and Donald Trump received 235,021 out of 364,496 total votes cast, a 1.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What are the demographics of Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers?

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers has a population of 3,189,272 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 74.7% non-Hispanic white, 11.7% Hispanic, 2.5% Black. About 23% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,211.

Which places are most similar to Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers are Oklahoma City, Amarillo, Wichita Falls & Lawton. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-Rgrs

Q: What is Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers's political history?

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1996. The largest single-election swing was 58.7 points in 1976.

Arkansas-Oklahoma border market where Ozark growth strains old political maps

The Fort Smith–Fayetteville–Springdale–Rogers media market straddles two states along the Arkansas-Oklahoma border, blending a fast-growing Northwest Arkansas corridor—anchored by Walmart's corporate headquarters—with more rural, traditionally conservative constituencies to the south and west.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 670

Population3.2M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

35.5y▼ 3.4

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

23.4%▼ 11.6

White74.7%
Hispanic11.7%
Two or more8.3%
Other4.4%
Native2.6%
Black2.5%
Asian2.4%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Ft. Smith-Fay-Sprngdl-RgrsBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Oklahoma City, Amarillo, and Wichita Falls & Lawton.

8 visible matches

Wichita Falls & Lawton

Wichita-Hutchinson Plus

Small-town rural republican 3

R+33.4

Similarity score78%

Yakima-Pasco-Rchlnd-Knnwck

Rural Republican 2

R+19.3

Similarity score78%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Benton	304K	R+27.0	45,231	79,907	128,595	8.8%
Washington	257K	R+6.7	43,779	50,243	97,158	6.7%
Benton	245K	R+27.0	45,231	79,907	128,595	8.8%
Washington	220K	R+6.7	43,779	50,243	97,158	6.7%
Benton	210K	R+27.0	45,231	79,907	128,595	8.8%
Washington	193K	R+6.7	43,779	50,243	97,158	6.7%
Washington	158K	R+6.7	43,779	50,243	97,158	6.7%
Benton	153K	R+27.0	45,231	79,907	128,595	8.8%
Sebastian	129K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	3.1%
Sebastian	127K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	3.1%
Sebastian	121K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	3.1%
Sebastian	115K	R+37.5	13,652	30,719	45,452	3.1%
Crawford	62K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	1.6%
Crawford	61K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	1.6%
Crawford	59K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	1.6%
Crawford	53K	R+58.2	4,753	18,615	23,834	1.6%
Le Flore	50K	R+64.8	3,184	15,333	18,754	1.3%
Le Flore	49K	R+64.8	3,184	15,333	18,754	1.3%
Le Flore	49K	R+64.8	3,184	15,333	18,754	1.3%
Le Flore	48K	R+64.8	3,184	15,333	18,754	1.3%
Sequoyah	41K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	1.1%
Sequoyah	41K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	1.1%
Sequoyah	40K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	1.1%
Sequoyah	39K	R+61.5	2,907	12,491	15,583	1.1%
Johnson	26K	R+51.4	2,107	6,766	9,059	0.6%
Johnson	26K	R+51.4	2,107	6,766	9,059	0.6%
Johnson	25K	R+51.4	2,107	6,766	9,059	0.6%
Johnson	23K	R+51.4	2,107	6,766	9,059	0.6%
Logan	23K	R+62.2	1,464	6,567	8,205	0.6%
Logan	22K	R+62.2	1,464	6,567	8,205	0.6%
Logan	22K	R+62.2	1,464	6,567	8,205	0.6%
Logan	21K	R+62.2	1,464	6,567	8,205	0.6%
Franklin	18K	R+62.4	1,232	5,582	6,971	0.5%
Franklin	18K	R+62.4	1,232	5,582	6,971	0.5%
Franklin	18K	R+62.4	1,232	5,582	6,971	0.5%
Madison	17K	R+58.6	1,491	5,885	7,501	0.5%
Franklin	17K	R+62.4	1,232	5,582	6,971	0.5%
Madison	16K	R+58.6	1,491	5,885	7,501	0.5%
Madison	15K	R+58.6	1,491	5,885	7,501	0.5%
Madison	14K	R+58.6	1,491	5,885	7,501	0.5%
Scott	11K	R+73.5	425	2,913	3,384	0.2%
Scott	11K	R+73.5	425	2,913	3,384	0.2%
Scott	11K	R+73.5	425	2,913	3,384	0.2%
Scott	10K	R+73.5	425	2,913	3,384	0.2%

44 countiesTotal votes: 1,457,984

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-RogersCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 74.7%Hispanic 11.7%Multiracial 5.8%Native American 2.6%Black 2.5%Asian 2.4%Native Hawaiian 0.3%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	74.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	11.7%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	5.8%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	2.6%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(11)	2.5%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.4%	6.0%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5)	0.3%	0.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

52.6%(490.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -51.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	33.9%	64.4%	—	—
Catholic	9.1%	17.2%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	4.7%	9.0%	—	—
Other	3.6%	6.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.9%	3.7%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.3%	2.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	47.4%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers media market? 3,189,272 residents across 44 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers vs National3.2M residents

23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.2M

local

3.2MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.95%

local

0.95%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.7%

local

40.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,211

local

$50,211National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.4%

local

15.4%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.4%

local

23.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.0%

local

66.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.5 yrs

local

35.5 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.6%

local

13.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.9%

local

10.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.0%

local

8.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.2%

local

88.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

55.9%

vs Previous

+1.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

287K · 44.1%

Citizen VAP

651,736

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+56.5	R+25.7	30.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 31.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Fort Smith-Fayetteville-Springdale-Rogers sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)Oklahoma(State)

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