How did Syracuse vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Syracuse voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+8.5. Kamala D Harris received 235,570 votes and Donald Trump received 198,410 out of 436,330 total votes cast, a 3.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Syracuse's political history?

Syracuse has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 47.6 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Syracuse?

Syracuse has a population of 3,661,493 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 84.4% non-Hispanic white, 3.4% Hispanic, 6.5% Black. About 31% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $54,352.

Which places are most similar to Syracuse?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Syracuse are Rochester, NY, Lansing, Madison. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Syracuse

Onondaga anchor in a perennially competitive upstate corridor

The Syracuse media market spans a swath of central New York where presidential margins have tightened cycle over cycle, blending a mid-size Democratic-leaning urban core with rural and small-city counties that have shifted sharply toward Republicans since 2008.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 555

Population3.7M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.6y▼ 1.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

30.6%▼ 4.4

White84.4%
Black6.5%
Hispanic3.4%
Two or more3.3%
Asian2.9%
Other1.1%
Native0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

SyracuseBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Rochester, NY, Lansing, and Madison.

8 visible matches

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive

D+9.7

Similarity score93%

Lansing

Educated rural competitive

D+1.9

Similarity score92%

Madison

Educated rural competitive

D+28.2

Similarity score91%

Charlottesville

Educated rural competitive

D+17.6

Similarity score90%

Springfield-Holyoke

Educated rural competitive

D+20.8

Similarity score88%

Eugene

Educated rural competitive

D+10.5

Similarity score85%

Cedar Rapids-Waterloo-Iowa City & Dubuque

Small-town rural republican 3

R+1.7

Similarity score84%

Butte-Bozeman

Educated rural competitive

R+5.7

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Syracuse

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Onondaga	471K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	13.1%
Onondaga	468K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	13.1%
Onondaga	458K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	13.1%
Onondaga	454K	D+17.2	133,155	93,916	228,381	13.1%
Oswego	122K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	3.1%
Oswego	122K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	3.1%
Oswego	121K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	3.1%
Oswego	118K	R+24.1	20,483	33,548	54,163	3.1%
Tompkins	105K	D+50.0	34,631	11,354	46,532	2.7%
Tompkins	104K	D+50.0	34,631	11,354	46,532	2.7%
Tompkins	101K	D+50.0	34,631	11,354	46,532	2.7%
Tompkins	97K	D+50.0	34,631	11,354	46,532	2.7%
Cayuga	82K	R+13.0	15,772	20,482	36,343	2.1%
Cayuga	80K	R+13.0	15,772	20,482	36,343	2.1%
Cayuga	79K	R+13.0	15,772	20,482	36,343	2.1%
Cayuga	75K	R+13.0	15,772	20,482	36,343	2.1%
Madison	72K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	1.9%
Madison	70K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	1.9%
Madison	69K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	1.9%
Madison	67K	R+13.0	14,629	19,025	33,814	1.9%
Cortland	49K	R+6.4	10,290	11,706	22,063	1.3%
Cortland	49K	R+6.4	10,290	11,706	22,063	1.3%
Cortland	48K	R+6.4	10,290	11,706	22,063	1.3%
Cortland	46K	R+6.4	10,290	11,706	22,063	1.3%
Seneca	35K	R+11.8	6,610	8,379	15,034	0.9%
Seneca	34K	R+11.8	6,610	8,379	15,034	0.9%
Seneca	33K	R+11.8	6,610	8,379	15,034	0.9%
Seneca	33K	R+11.8	6,610	8,379	15,034	0.9%

28 countiesTotal votes: 1,745,320

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Syracuse's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Syracuse media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

SyracuseCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 84.4%Black 6.5%Hispanic 3.4%Asian 2.9%Multiracial 2.4%Native American 0.5%

Group	Syracuse	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	84.4%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(15)	6.5%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(19)	3.4%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	2.9%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.5%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

45.1%(412.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +38.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	26.7%	59.2%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	7.2%	16.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.1%	13.6%	—	—
Other	3.7%	8.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	1.0%	2.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.7%	1.5%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.3%	0.7%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	54.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Syracuse media market? 3,661,493 residents across 28 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Syracuse vs National3.7M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.7M

local

3.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.09%

local

1.09%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.2%

local

37.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$54,352

local

$54,352National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.1%

local

14.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

30.6%

local

30.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

66.8%

local

66.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.6 yrs

local

37.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.4%

local

14.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.6%

local

5.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.4%

local

8.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

91.6%

local

91.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Syracuse

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

61.4%

vs Previous

-0.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

274K · 38.6%

Citizen VAP

710,323

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Syracuse split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (32/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+8.5	D+12.4	3.9pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 12.7pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Syracuse sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New York(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo