How did Yuma-El Centro vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Yuma-El Centro voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+11.8. Kamala D Harris received 52,906 votes and Donald Trump received 67,291 out of 122,360 total votes cast, a 19.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Yuma-El Centro's political history?

Yuma-El Centro has 30 presidential elections on record, spanning 1908 to 2024. Democrats have won 14 and Republicans 16 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 70.8 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Yuma-El Centro?

Yuma-El Centro has a population of 1,425,446 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 25.7% non-Hispanic white, 68.5% Hispanic, 2.5% Black. About 14% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,347.

Which places are most similar to Yuma-El Centro?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Yuma-El Centro are El Paso (Las Cruces), Laredo, Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Yuma-El Centro

A border media market where agriculture and migration policy dominate the airwaves

Spanning the Colorado River desert from southwestern Arizona into California's Imperial Valley, this market's electorate is shaped by Latino majorities, year-round farm labor, and one of the nation's busiest land-border crossing corridors.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 771

Population1.4M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

33.4y▼ 5.5

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

13.7%▼ 21.3

Hispanic68.5%
White25.7%
Other24.2%
Two or more12.7%
Black2.5%
Asian1.4%
Native1.4%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Yuma-El CentroBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like El Paso (Las Cruces), Laredo, and Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen.

8 visible matches

El Paso (Las Cruces)

Diverse rural competitive

D+13.5

Similarity score96%

Laredo

Diverse rural competitive

R+3.6

Similarity score96%

Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen

Diverse rural competitive

R+4.4

Similarity score95%

Fresno-Visalia

Diverse rural competitive

R+10.6

Similarity score91%

Bakersfield

Diverse rural competitive

Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Diverse rural competitive

D+0.8

Similarity score89%

San Antonio

Educated rural democratic

R+9.2

Similarity score84%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Yuma-El Centro

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Yuma	212K	R+20.4	26,823	40,745	68,335	14.0%
Yuma	203K	R+20.4	26,823	40,745	68,335	14.0%
Yuma	189K	R+20.4	26,823	40,745	68,335	14.0%
Imperial	180K	R+0.9	26,083	26,546	54,025	11.0%
Imperial	179K	R+0.9	26,083	26,546	54,025	11.0%
Imperial	160K	R+0.9	26,083	26,546	54,025	11.0%
Yuma	160K	R+20.4	26,823	40,745	68,335	14.0%
Imperial	142K	R+0.9	26,083	26,546	54,025	11.0%

8 countiesTotal votes: 489,440

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Yuma-El Centro's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Yuma-El Centro media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Yuma-El CentroCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 68.5%White (Non-Hispanic) 25.7%Black 2.5%Native American 1.4%Asian 1.4%Multiracial 0.4%

Group	Yuma-El Centro	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	68.5%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	25.7%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(9)	2.5%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)	1.4%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	0.4%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

57.8%(226.5K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +62.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	45.4%	78.6%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	6.8%	11.7%	—	—
Other	4.8%	8.2%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	2.2%	3.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	0.5%	0.9%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	42.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Yuma-El Centro media market? 1,425,446 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Yuma-El Centro vs National1.4M residents

14% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 19pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+28 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.4M

local

1.4MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.43%

local

0.43%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.5%

local

37.5%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,347

local

$44,347National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.2%

local

20.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.7%

local

13.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.9%

local

64.9%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

33.4 yrs

local

33.4 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.8%

local

13.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.3%

local

28.3%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.9%

local

60.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.1%

local

39.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Yuma-El Centro

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

51.5%

vs Previous

-1.8pp

Eligible Non-Voters

115K · 48.5%

Citizen VAP

237,459

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Yuma-El Centro split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (29/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+11.8	R+5.9	5.8pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Yuma-El Centro sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arizona(State)California(State)

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