How did Miami-Fort Lauderdale vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Miami-Fort Lauderdale voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+0.7. Kamala D Harris received 1,005,616 votes and Donald Trump received 990,606 out of 2,012,972 total votes cast, a 16.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Miami-Fort Lauderdale's political history?

Miami-Fort Lauderdale has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 92.5 points in 1892.

What are the demographics of Miami-Fort Lauderdale?

Miami-Fort Lauderdale has a population of 17,648,862 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 28.2% non-Hispanic white, 47.4% Hispanic, 20.9% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $53,103.

Live · Media market

Miami-Ft. Lauderdale

Q: Which places are most similar to Miami-Fort Lauderdale?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Miami-Fort Lauderdale are Laredo, Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, El Paso (Las Cruces). Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

A bilingual battleground where Cuban and Venezuelan diaspora politics reshape margins

Spanish-language media commands unusual influence here, and shifting preferences among Cuban-American and Venezuelan-American voters have moved the market's suburban precincts by double digits across consecutive cycles.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 528

Population17.6M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39y▲ 0.1

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

28.9%▼ 6.1

Hispanic47.4%
White28.2%
Black20.9%
Two or more12.0%
Other4.8%
Asian2.2%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Miami-Ft. LauderdaleBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Laredo, Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen, and El Paso (Las Cruces).

8 visible matches

Laredo

Diverse rural competitive

R+3.6

Similarity score89%

Harlingen-Weslaco-Brownsville-McAllen

Diverse rural competitive

R+4.4

Similarity score89%

El Paso (Las Cruces)

Diverse rural competitive

D+13.5

Similarity score89%

Yuma-El Centro

Diverse rural competitive

R+11.8

Similarity score89%

Los Angeles

Educated rural democratic

D+17.9

Similarity score86%

Orlando-Daytona Beach-Melbourne

Educated rural competitive

R+11.1

Similarity score84%

Las Vegas

Educated rural democratic

D+1.3

Similarity score84%

West Palm Beach-Fort Pierce

Small-town rural republican 2

R+6.8

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Miami-Fort Lauderdale

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Miami-Dade	2.7M	R+11.4	480,355	605,590	1,094,105	13.6%
Miami-Dade	2.7M	R+11.4	480,355	605,590	1,094,105	13.6%
Miami-Dade	2.5M	R+11.4	480,355	605,590	1,094,105	13.6%
Miami-Dade	2.3M	R+11.4	480,355	605,590	1,094,105	13.6%
Broward	2.0M	D+17.0	507,328	358,952	874,539	10.9%
Broward	1.9M	D+17.0	507,328	358,952	874,539	10.9%
Broward	1.8M	D+17.0	507,328	358,952	874,539	10.9%
Broward	1.6M	D+17.0	507,328	358,952	874,539	10.9%
Monroe	82K	R+18.3	17,933	26,064	44,328	0.6%
Monroe	80K	R+18.3	17,933	26,064	44,328	0.6%
Monroe	77K	R+18.3	17,933	26,064	44,328	0.6%
Monroe	74K	R+18.3	17,933	26,064	44,328	0.6%

12 countiesTotal votes: 8,051,888

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Miami-Fort Lauderdale's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Miami-Fort Lauderdale media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Miami-Fort LauderdaleCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 47.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 28.2%Black 20.9%Asian 2.2%Multiracial 1.0%

Group	Local	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	47.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	28.2%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(13)	20.9%	12.2%
▶Asian(6)	2.2%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.1%	0.9%
Multiracial / Other	1.0%	4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

47.8%(2.3M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +18.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	25.1%	52.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	14.3%	30.0%	—	—
Other	4.4%	9.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.3%	4.8%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.5%	3.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.1%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	52.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Miami-Fort Lauderdale media market? 17,648,862 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

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Miami-Fort Lauderdale vs National17.6M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.6M

local

17.6MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.27%

local

5.27%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.6%

local

41.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$53,103

local

$53,103National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.2%

local

15.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

28.9%

local

28.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

60.2%

local

60.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.0 yrs

local

39.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.9%

local

42.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

56.8%

local

56.8%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.2%

local

43.2%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Miami-Fort Lauderdale

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

66.5%

vs Previous

-4.9pp

Eligible Non-Voters

1.0M · 33.5%

Citizen VAP

3,028,277

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Miami-Fort Lauderdale split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (61/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+0.7	D+3.0	2.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 8.3pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Miami-Fort Lauderdale sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Florida(State)

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