A Sun Belt metro that flipped blue on suburban realignment
Atlanta's collar counties have swung sharply toward Democrats over the past decade, driven by college-educated suburban migration and a growing Black professional class, narrowing what was once reliably Republican territory to a D+6.7 margin in 2024.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fulton | 1.1M | D+44.9 | 384,752 | 144,655 | 535,238 | 4.3% |
| Fulton | 997K | D+44.9 | 384,752 | 144,655 | 535,238 | 4.3% |
| Fulton | 987K | D+44.9 | 384,752 | 144,655 | 535,238 | 4.3% |
| Gwinnett | 980K | D+16.5 | 242,507 | 173,041 | 420,681 | 3.4% |
| Gwinnett | 874K | D+16.5 | 242,507 | 173,041 | 420,681 | 3.4% |
| Fulton | 816K | D+44.9 | 384,752 | 144,655 | 535,238 | 4.3% |
| Cobb | 775K | D+14.9 | 228,404 | 168,679 | 401,369 | 3.2% |
| Gwinnett | 767K | D+16.5 | 242,507 | 173,041 | 420,681 | 3.4% |
| DeKalb | 765K | D+64.8 | 299,630 | 62,622 | 366,008 | 3.0% |
| DeKalb | 733K | D+64.8 | 299,630 | 62,622 | 366,008 | 3.0% |
| Cobb | 728K | D+14.9 | 228,404 | 168,679 | 401,369 | 3.2% |
| DeKalb | 724K | D+64.8 | 299,630 | 62,622 | 366,008 | 3.0% |
| Cobb | 690K | D+14.9 | 228,404 | 168,679 | 401,369 | 3.2% |
| DeKalb | 666K | D+64.8 | 299,630 | 62,622 | 366,008 | 3.0% |
| Cobb | 608K | D+14.9 | 228,404 | 168,679 | 401,369 | 3.2% |
| Gwinnett | 588K | D+16.5 | 242,507 | 173,041 | 420,681 | 3.4% |
| Clayton | 299K | D+69.2 | 94,203 | 16,877 | 111,729 | 0.9% |
| Cherokee | 281K | R+39.0 | 48,838 | 112,142 | 162,281 | 1.3% |
| Clayton | 272K | D+69.2 | 94,203 | 16,877 | 111,729 | 0.9% |
| Clayton | 270K | D+69.2 | 94,203 | 16,877 | 111,729 | 0.9% |
| Forsyth | 267K | R+33.1 | 45,509 | 91,281 | 138,249 | 1.1% |
| Henry | 250K | D+29.7 | 83,253 | 44,982 | 129,034 | 1.0% |
| Clayton | 237K | D+69.2 | 94,203 | 16,877 | 111,729 | 0.9% |
| Cherokee | 231K | R+39.0 | 48,838 | 112,142 | 162,281 | 1.3% |
| Henry | 214K | D+29.7 | 83,253 | 44,982 | 129,034 | 1.0% |
| Forsyth | 204K | R+33.1 | 45,509 | 91,281 | 138,249 | 1.1% |
| Cherokee | 201K | R+39.0 | 48,838 | 112,142 | 162,281 | 1.3% |
| Henry | 183K | D+29.7 | 83,253 | 44,982 | 129,034 | 1.0% |
| Paulding | 179K | R+24.1 | 35,802 | 58,769 | 95,196 | 0.8% |
| Forsyth | 158K | R+33.1 | 45,509 | 91,281 | 138,249 | 1.1% |
| Coweta | 153K | R+33.9 | 28,111 | 57,204 | 85,916 | 0.7% |
| Paulding | 150K | R+24.1 | 35,802 | 58,769 | 95,196 | 0.8% |
| Douglas | 148K | D+31.4 | 46,240 | 23,996 | 70,721 | 0.6% |
| Cherokee | 142K | R+39.0 | 48,838 | 112,142 | 162,281 | 1.3% |
| Douglas | 138K | D+31.4 | 46,240 | 23,996 | 70,721 | 0.6% |
| Coweta | 136K | R+33.9 | 28,111 | 57,204 | 85,916 | 0.7% |
| Paulding | 126K | R+24.1 | 35,802 | 58,769 | 95,196 | 0.8% |
| Carroll | 125K | R+41.2 | 17,634 | 42,536 | 60,494 | 0.5% |
| Douglas | 123K | D+31.4 | 46,240 | 23,996 | 70,721 | 0.6% |
| Fayette | 122K | R+3.2 | 35,822 | 38,177 | 74,633 | 0.6% |
| Henry | 119K | D+29.7 | 83,253 | 44,982 | 129,034 | 1.0% |
| Coweta | 119K | R+33.9 | 28,111 | 57,204 | 85,916 | 0.7% |
| Newton | 118K | D+15.2 | 33,839 | 24,893 | 59,051 | 0.5% |
| Carroll | 114K | R+41.2 | 17,634 | 42,536 | 60,494 | 0.5% |
| Bartow | 113K | R+51.0 | 13,942 | 43,271 | 57,547 | 0.5% |
| Carroll | 111K | R+41.2 | 17,634 | 42,536 | 60,494 | 0.5% |
| Fayette | 109K | R+3.2 | 35,822 | 38,177 | 74,633 | 0.6% |
| Fayette | 105K | R+3.2 | 35,822 | 38,177 | 74,633 | 0.6% |
| Newton | 104K | D+15.2 | 33,839 | 24,893 | 59,051 | 0.5% |
| Walton | 103K | R+45.9 | 15,605 | 42,407 | 58,376 | 0.5% |
| Bartow | 102K | R+51.0 | 13,942 | 43,271 | 57,547 | 0.5% |
| Forsyth | 98K | R+33.1 | 45,509 | 91,281 | 138,249 | 1.1% |
| Rockdale | 95K | D+47.5 | 33,165 | 11,711 | 45,160 | 0.4% |
| Newton | 94K | D+15.2 | 33,839 | 24,893 | 59,051 | 0.5% |
| Bartow | 92K | R+51.0 | 13,942 | 43,271 | 57,547 | 0.5% |
| Douglas | 92K | D+31.4 | 46,240 | 23,996 | 70,721 | 0.6% |
| Fayette | 91K | R+3.2 | 35,822 | 38,177 | 74,633 | 0.6% |
| Barrow | 90K | R+40.5 | 12,949 | 30,730 | 43,934 | 0.4% |
| Coweta | 89K | R+33.9 | 28,111 | 57,204 | 85,916 | 0.7% |
| Rockdale | 88K | D+47.5 | 33,165 | 11,711 | 45,160 | 0.4% |
| Walton | 87K | R+45.9 | 15,605 | 42,407 | 58,376 | 0.5% |
| Carroll | 87K | R+41.2 | 17,634 | 42,536 | 60,494 | 0.5% |
| Walton | 82K | R+45.9 | 15,605 | 42,407 | 58,376 | 0.5% |
| Paulding | 82K | R+24.1 | 35,802 | 58,769 | 95,196 | 0.8% |
| Rockdale | 81K | D+47.5 | 33,165 | 11,711 | 45,160 | 0.4% |
| Bartow | 76K | R+51.0 | 13,942 | 43,271 | 57,547 | 0.5% |
| Barrow | 73K | R+40.5 | 12,949 | 30,730 | 43,934 | 0.4% |
| Rockdale | 70K | D+47.5 | 33,165 | 11,711 | 45,160 | 0.4% |
| Spalding | 69K | R+16.7 | 13,679 | 19,184 | 33,038 | 0.3% |
| Barrow | 66K | R+40.5 | 12,949 | 30,730 | 43,934 | 0.4% |
| Spalding | 64K | R+16.7 | 13,679 | 19,184 | 33,038 | 0.3% |
| Spalding | 63K | R+16.7 | 13,679 | 19,184 | 33,038 | 0.3% |
| Newton | 62K | D+15.2 | 33,839 | 24,893 | 59,051 | 0.5% |
| Walton | 61K | R+45.9 | 15,605 | 42,407 | 58,376 | 0.5% |
| Spalding | 58K | R+16.7 | 13,679 | 19,184 | 33,038 | 0.3% |
| Barrow | 46K | R+40.5 | 12,949 | 30,730 | 43,934 | 0.4% |
| Pickens | 35K | R+65.8 | 3,522 | 17,281 | 20,915 | 0.2% |
| Lumpkin | 35K | R+61.7 | 3,356 | 14,339 | 17,808 | 0.1% |
| Haralson | 31K | R+74.4 | 2,065 | 14,239 | 16,364 | 0.1% |
| Lumpkin | 31K | R+61.7 | 3,356 | 14,339 | 17,808 | 0.1% |
| Dawson | 30K | R+65.3 | 3,350 | 16,115 | 19,561 | 0.2% |
| Pickens | 30K | R+65.8 | 3,522 | 17,281 | 20,915 | 0.2% |
| Pickens | 30K | R+65.8 | 3,522 | 17,281 | 20,915 | 0.2% |
| Haralson | 29K | R+74.4 | 2,065 | 14,239 | 16,364 | 0.1% |
| Haralson | 29K | R+74.4 | 2,065 | 14,239 | 16,364 | 0.1% |
| Butts | 26K | R+45.2 | 3,544 | 9,424 | 13,019 | 0.1% |
| Lumpkin | 26K | R+61.7 | 3,356 | 14,339 | 17,808 | 0.1% |
| Haralson | 26K | R+74.4 | 2,065 | 14,239 | 16,364 | 0.1% |
| Butts | 24K | R+45.2 | 3,544 | 9,424 | 13,019 | 0.1% |
| Butts | 23K | R+45.2 | 3,544 | 9,424 | 13,019 | 0.1% |
| Pickens | 23K | R+65.8 | 3,522 | 17,281 | 20,915 | 0.2% |
| Dawson | 23K | R+65.3 | 3,350 | 16,115 | 19,561 | 0.2% |
| Meriwether | 23K | R+25.5 | 4,373 | 7,375 | 11,788 | 0.1% |
| Meriwether | 23K | R+25.5 | 4,373 | 7,375 | 11,788 | 0.1% |
| Dawson | 21K | R+65.3 | 3,350 | 16,115 | 19,561 | 0.2% |
| Meriwether | 21K | R+25.5 | 4,373 | 7,375 | 11,788 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 21K | R+45.9 | 3,533 | 9,589 | 13,181 | 0.1% |
| Lumpkin | 21K | R+61.7 | 3,356 | 14,339 | 17,808 | 0.1% |
| Meriwether | 21K | R+25.5 | 4,373 | 7,375 | 11,788 | 0.1% |
| Pike | 20K | R+73.4 | 1,648 | 10,864 | 12,549 | 0.1% |
| Butts | 20K | R+45.2 | 3,544 | 9,424 | 13,019 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 18K | R+45.9 | 3,533 | 9,589 | 13,181 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 18K | R+45.9 | 3,533 | 9,589 | 13,181 | 0.1% |
| Pike | 18K | R+73.4 | 1,648 | 10,864 | 12,549 | 0.1% |
| Pike | 17K | R+73.4 | 1,648 | 10,864 | 12,549 | 0.1% |
| Dawson | 16K | R+65.3 | 3,350 | 16,115 | 19,561 | 0.2% |
| Jasper | 16K | R+58.4 | 1,881 | 7,203 | 9,118 | 0.1% |
| Morgan | 15K | R+45.9 | 3,533 | 9,589 | 13,181 | 0.1% |
| Pike | 14K | R+73.4 | 1,648 | 10,864 | 12,549 | 0.1% |
| Jasper | 14K | R+58.4 | 1,881 | 7,203 | 9,118 | 0.1% |
| Jasper | 14K | R+58.4 | 1,881 | 7,203 | 9,118 | 0.1% |
| Heard | 12K | R+72.1 | 859 | 5,335 | 6,210 | 0.1% |
| Heard | 12K | R+72.1 | 859 | 5,335 | 6,210 | 0.1% |
| Jasper | 11K | R+58.4 | 1,881 | 7,203 | 9,118 | 0.1% |
| Heard | 11K | R+72.1 | 859 | 5,335 | 6,210 | 0.1% |
| Heard | 11K | R+72.1 | 859 | 5,335 | 6,210 | 0.1% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.8% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 31.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 9.9% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.0% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -27.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.8% | 43.5% | — | — | |
| 10.5% | 21.0% | — | — | |
| 7.2% | 14.4% | — | — | |
| 5.3% | 10.6% | — | — | |
| 5.1% | 10.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 50.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Roswell, GA metro area? 21,417,116 residents across 116 counties.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+17.5 | D+8.2 | 9.3pp |