Travis County anchors a metro that has shifted measurably leftward since 2000
Rapid in-migration from coastal tech hubs has reshaped the electorate faster than almost any other Sun Belt metro, compressing Republican margins in surrounding Williamson and Hays counties even as the urban core remains heavily Democratic.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Travis | 1.3M | D+39.3 | 398,981 | 170,787 | 581,276 | 13.6% |
| Travis | 1.1M | D+39.3 | 398,981 | 170,787 | 581,276 | 13.6% |
| Travis | 967K | D+39.3 | 398,981 | 170,787 | 581,276 | 13.6% |
| Travis | 812K | D+39.3 | 398,981 | 170,787 | 581,276 | 13.6% |
| Williamson | 673K | R+2.5 | 147,766 | 155,310 | 308,469 | 7.2% |
| Williamson | 491K | R+2.5 | 147,766 | 155,310 | 308,469 | 7.2% |
| Williamson | 372K | R+2.5 | 147,766 | 155,310 | 308,469 | 7.2% |
| Hays | 269K | D+5.6 | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | 2.9% |
| Williamson | 250K | R+2.5 | 147,766 | 155,310 | 308,469 | 7.2% |
| Hays | 186K | D+5.6 | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | 2.9% |
| Hays | 141K | D+5.6 | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | 2.9% |
| Bastrop | 107K | R+18.4 | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,806 | 0.9% |
| Hays | 98K | D+5.6 | 65,528 | 58,438 | 125,827 | 2.9% |
| Bastrop | 78K | R+18.4 | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,806 | 0.9% |
| Bastrop | 72K | R+18.4 | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,806 | 0.9% |
| Bastrop | 58K | R+18.4 | 15,989 | 23,301 | 39,806 | 0.9% |
| Caldwell | 49K | R+14.4 | 6,618 | 8,880 | 15,693 | 0.4% |
| Caldwell | 40K | R+14.4 | 6,618 | 8,880 | 15,693 | 0.4% |
| Caldwell | 37K | R+14.4 | 6,618 | 8,880 | 15,693 | 0.4% |
| Caldwell | 32K | R+14.4 | 6,618 | 8,880 | 15,693 | 0.4% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 30.6% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.4% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.5% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +7.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.7% | 44.1% | — | — | |
| 12.8% | 31.8% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 10.5% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 9.4% | — | — | |
| 1.5% | 3.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 3.0% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 59.9% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Austin-Round Rock-San Marcos, TX metro area? 7,208,363 residents across 20 counties.
43% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+20.4 | D+24.5 | 4.1pp |