Border metro where Latino majority turnout shapes statewide margins
El Paso's population is roughly 80% Hispanic, making it one of the most demographically distinct large metros in Texas. Turnout fluctuations here draw outsized attention from statewide campaigns tracking Latino voter mobilization.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| El Paso | 871K | D+15.1 | 143,156 | 105,124 | 251,569 | 24.9% |
| El Paso | 834K | D+15.1 | 143,156 | 105,124 | 251,569 | 24.9% |
| El Paso | 729K | D+15.1 | 143,156 | 105,124 | 251,569 | 24.9% |
| El Paso | 680K | D+15.1 | 143,156 | 105,124 | 251,569 | 24.9% |
| Hudspeth | 3K | R+46.6 | 275 | 759 | 1,038 | 0.1% |
| Hudspeth | 3K | R+46.6 | 275 | 759 | 1,038 | 0.1% |
| Hudspeth | 3K | R+46.6 | 275 | 759 | 1,038 | 0.1% |
| Hudspeth | 3K | R+46.6 | 275 | 759 | 1,038 | 0.1% |
| Group | El Paso, TX | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 81.1% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 13.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 3.2% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.2% | 4.0% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +56.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6% | 76.8% | — | — | |
| 9.8% | 15.9% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 5.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.2% | 1.9% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 0.9% | — | — | |
| 0.4% | 0.7% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 38.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the El Paso, TX metro area? 3,126,786 residents across 8 counties.
21% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 12pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+14.9 | D+19.7 | 4.8pp |