A Mississippi River crossing where Iowa and Illinois margins routinely diverge
The Burlington metro straddles the Iowa-Illinois state line, and its two sides have historically split their presidential-level votes by several points, making cross-river comparison a useful stress test for regional partisan models.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Des Moines | 42K | R+15.0 | 7,935 | 10,794 | 19,054 | 21.2% |
| Des Moines | 41K | R+15.0 | 7,935 | 10,794 | 19,054 | 21.2% |
| Des Moines | 40K | R+15.0 | 7,935 | 10,794 | 19,054 | 21.2% |
| Des Moines | 38K | R+15.0 | 7,935 | 10,794 | 19,054 | 21.2% |
| Henderson | 8K | R+38.8 | 1,026 | 2,369 | 3,464 | 3.8% |
| Henderson | 8K | R+38.8 | 1,026 | 2,369 | 3,464 | 3.8% |
| Henderson | 7K | R+38.8 | 1,026 | 2,369 | 3,464 | 3.8% |
| Henderson | 6K | R+38.8 | 1,026 | 2,369 | 3,464 | 3.8% |
| Group | Burlington, IA-IL | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(4) | 3.7% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.5% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(7) | 2.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14.6% | 41.9% | — | — | |
| 9.1% | 26.0% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 17.4% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 13.1% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.6% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 65.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Burlington, IA-IL metro area? 190,574 residents across 8 counties.
19% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 14pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+14.3 | R+23.4 | 9.0pp |