Iron Range roots meet a shifting blue-collar electoral calculus
Anchored by Lake Superior's western tip, the Duluth metro has long blended union-household Democratic loyalty with rural conservative pressure from its Wisconsin and Minnesota hinterlands, producing competitive margins in statewide races.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Louis | 201K | D+13.7 | 66,335 | 50,065 | 119,009 | 18.0% |
| St. Louis | 200K | D+13.7 | 66,335 | 50,065 | 119,009 | 18.0% |
| St. Louis | 200K | D+13.7 | 66,335 | 50,065 | 119,009 | 18.0% |
| St. Louis | 197K | D+13.7 | 66,335 | 50,065 | 119,009 | 18.0% |
| Douglas | 44K | D+5.3 | 13,073 | 11,732 | 25,234 | 3.8% |
| Douglas | 44K | D+5.3 | 13,073 | 11,732 | 25,234 | 3.8% |
| Douglas | 44K | D+5.3 | 13,073 | 11,732 | 25,234 | 3.8% |
| Douglas | 43K | D+5.3 | 13,073 | 11,732 | 25,234 | 3.8% |
| Carlton | 37K | R+2.5 | 9,905 | 10,435 | 20,815 | 3.2% |
| Carlton | 35K | R+2.5 | 9,905 | 10,435 | 20,815 | 3.2% |
| Carlton | 34K | R+2.5 | 9,905 | 10,435 | 20,815 | 3.2% |
| Carlton | 32K | R+2.5 | 9,905 | 10,435 | 20,815 | 3.2% |
| Group | Duluth, MN-WI | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.9% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.4% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 2.2% | 0.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 1.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 1.3% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +12.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 39.0% | — | — | |
| 11.5% | 32.9% | — | — | |
| 7.6% | 21.8% | — | — | |
| 1.9% | 5.5% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 1.6% | — | — |
| 0.2% | 0.5% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 65.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Duluth, MN-WI metro area? 1,110,545 residents across 12 counties.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+10.3 | D+21.8 | 11.5pp |