How did Grand Forks, ND-MN vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Grand Forks, ND-MN voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+23.2. Kamala D Harris received 17,436 votes and Donald Trump received 28,285 out of 46,830 total votes cast, a 4.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Grand Forks, ND-MN's political history?

Grand Forks, ND-MN has 39 presidential elections on record, spanning 1872 to 2024. Democrats have won 13 and Republicans 26 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 65.1 points in 1920.

What are the demographics of Grand Forks, ND-MN?

Grand Forks, ND-MN has a population of 399,715 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 87.7% non-Hispanic white, 4.3% Hispanic, 2.0% Black. About 30% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $50,623.

Which places are most similar to Grand Forks, ND-MN?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Grand Forks, ND-MN are Fargo, ND-MN, Clarksville, TN-KY, Sioux Falls, SD-MN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Grand Forks, ND-MN

A university town anchoring a competitive Red River Valley corridor

Home to the University of North Dakota, Grand Forks trends more competitive than its surrounding region, with the student and faculty population tempering the broader rural Republican lean that dominates both the North Dakota and Minnesota sides of the metro.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 24220

Population400K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

32.2y▼ 6.7

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.6%▼ 5.4

White87.7%
Hispanic4.3%
Two or more3.5%
Black2.0%
Native2.0%
Asian1.4%
Other1.3%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Grand Forks, ND-MNBaseline

Cycle2024

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Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Fargo, ND-MN, Clarksville, TN-KY, and Sioux Falls, SD-MN.

8 visible matches

Fargo, ND-MN

Educated rural competitive

R+6.0

Similarity score95%

Clarksville, TN-KY

Educated rural competitive 2

R+25.9

Similarity score89%

Sioux Falls, SD-MN

Educated rural competitive 2

R+19.2

Similarity score87%

Logan, UT-ID

Educated rural competitive

R+38.4

Similarity score85%

Sioux City, IA-NE-SD

Educated rural competitive 2

R+26.4

Similarity score84%

South Bend-Mishawaka, IN-MI

Educated rural competitive 2

R+5.6

Similarity score84%

Cape Girardeau, MO-IL

Small-town rural republican 3

R+48.8

Similarity score83%

La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN

Educated rural competitive 2

D+3.6

Similarity score82%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Grand Forks, ND-MN

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Grand Forks	73K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	16.8%
Grand Forks	70K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	16.8%
Grand Forks	67K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	16.8%
Grand Forks	66K	R+18.0	12,469	18,123	31,411	16.8%
Polk	32K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	8.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	8.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	8.2%
Polk	31K	R+33.7	4,967	10,162	15,419	8.2%

8 countiesTotal votes: 187,320

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Grand Forks, ND-MN's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Grand Forks, ND-MN metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Grand Forks, ND-MNCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 87.7%Hispanic 4.3%Multiracial 2.5%Black 2.0%Native American 2.0%Asian 1.4%

Group	Grand Forks, ND-MN	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	87.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(16)	4.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.5%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(12)	2.0%	12.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(5)	2.0%	0.9%
▶Asian(6)	1.4%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.8%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

50.3%(52.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +15.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Mainline Protestant	21.1%	41.9%	—	—
Catholic	18.2%	36.2%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	8.0%	15.9%	—	—
Other	2.8%	5.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	2.3%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	49.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Mainline Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Grand Forks, ND-MN metro area? 399,715 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Grand Forks, ND-MN vs National400K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

400K

local

400KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.12%

local

0.12%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.1%

local

37.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$50,623

local

$50,623National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.3%

local

14.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.6%

local

29.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

58.3%

local

58.3%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

32.2 yrs

local

32.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

19.6%

local

19.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.3%

local

10.3%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.7%

local

3.7%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.5%

local

6.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

93.5%

local

93.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Grand Forks, ND-MN

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

60.2%

vs Previous

+0.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

31K · 39.8%

Citizen VAP

77,767

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Grand Forks, ND-MN split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+18.5	R+28.9	10.4pp
President vs Governor	R+23.2	R+28.9	5.7pp
President vs Senate	R+23.2	R+18.5	4.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 25.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Grand Forks, ND-MN sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Minnesota(State)North Dakota(State)

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