How did Las Vegas, NM vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Las Vegas, NM voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+25.9. Kamala D Harris received 8,424 votes and Donald Trump received 4,897 out of 13,595 total votes cast, a 11.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Las Vegas, NM's political history?

Las Vegas, NM has 29 presidential elections on record, spanning 1912 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1972. The largest single-election swing was 32.4 points in 1968.

What are the demographics of Las Vegas, NM?

Las Vegas, NM has a population of 132,873 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 18.3% non-Hispanic white, 77.5% Hispanic, 1.2% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $33,856.

Which places are most similar to Las Vegas, NM?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Las Vegas, NM are Española, NM, Taos, NM, Alamosa, CO. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Las Vegas, NM

A high-desert county seat where Hispanic heritage shapes the ballot box

San Miguel County, anchored by Las Vegas, NM, has delivered Democratic margins exceeding 70% in recent presidential cycles, driven by a majority-Hispanic electorate with deep New Mexican roots dating to Spanish colonial settlement.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 29780

Population133K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

41.2y▲ 2.3

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.9%▼ 13.1

Hispanic77.5%
Other30.1%
White18.3%
Two or more11.8%
Native1.7%
Black1.2%
Asian0.5%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Las Vegas, NMBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Española, NM, Taos, NM, and Alamosa, CO.

8 visible matches

Española, NM

Diverse rural competitive

D+19.4

Similarity score93%

Taos, NM

Educated rural democratic

Diverse rural competitive

D+18.6

Similarity score90%

Pueblo, CO

Small-town rural republican 2

R+5.1

Similarity score89%

Silver City, NM

Small-town rural republican

D+5.1

Similarity score88%

Deming, NM

Diverse rural competitive

R+18.9

Similarity score88%

El Paso, TX

Diverse rural competitive

D+14.9

Similarity score88%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Las Vegas, NM

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
San Miguel	30K	D+27.9	6,985	3,887	11,108	20.4%
San Miguel	29K	D+27.9	6,985	3,887	11,108	20.4%
San Miguel	28K	D+27.9	6,985	3,887	11,108	20.4%
San Miguel	27K	D+27.9	6,985	3,887	11,108	20.4%
Mora	5K	D+17.3	1,439	1,010	2,487	4.6%
Mora	5K	D+17.3	1,439	1,010	2,487	4.6%
Mora	5K	D+17.3	1,439	1,010	2,487	4.6%
Mora	4K	D+17.3	1,439	1,010	2,487	4.6%

8 countiesTotal votes: 54,380

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Las Vegas, NM's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Las Vegas, NM metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Las Vegas, NMCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 77.5%White (Non-Hispanic) 18.3%Native American 1.7%Black 1.2%Multiracial 0.8%Asian 0.5%

Group	Las Vegas, NM	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(12)	77.5%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	18.3%	57.4%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)	1.7%	0.9%
▶Black / African American(5)	1.2%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	0.8%	4.0%
▶Asian(2)	0.5%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

83.4%(25.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +80.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	75.7%	90.8%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.3%	6.3%	—	—
Other	1.7%	2.0%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.2%	1.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	0.7%	0.9%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	16.6%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Las Vegas, NM metro area? 132,873 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Las Vegas, NM vs National133K residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

133K

local

133KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.2%

local

37.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$33,856

local

$33,856National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

25.1%

local

25.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.9%

local

21.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.5%

local

72.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

41.2 yrs

local

41.2 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.4%

local

14.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.9%

local

2.9%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

57.9%

local

57.9%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.1%

local

42.1%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Las Vegas, NM

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

53.5%

vs Previous

-2.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

12K · 46.5%

Citizen VAP

25,426

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Las Vegas, NM split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (4/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+25.9	D+35.3	9.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 16.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Las Vegas, NM sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New Mexico(State)

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