How did Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+20.0. Kamala D Harris received 78,099 votes and Donald Trump received 51,534 out of 133,077 total votes cast, a 4.4-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT's political history?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 56.4 points in 1964.

What are the demographics of Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT has a population of 862,602 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 93.9% non-Hispanic white, 1.6% Hispanic. About 34% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $58,646.

Which places are most similar to Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT are Duluth, MN-WI, La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN, Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

Upper Valley straddles two states along the Connecticut River

This small cross-border metro anchors New Hampshire's western edge and Vermont's eastern strip, where college-town demographics around Dartmouth consistently push presidential margins closer than either state's broader rural precincts.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 30150

Population863K

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

42.9y▲ 4.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

34.0%▼ 1.0

White93.9%
Two or more2.4%
Hispanic1.6%
Asian1.5%
Black0.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VTBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like Duluth, MN-WI, La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN, and Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL.

8 visible matches

Duluth, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+10.3

Similarity score95%

La Crosse-Onalaska, WI-MN

Educated rural competitive 2

D+3.6

Similarity score93%

Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL

Educated rural competitive 2

R+3.1

Similarity score91%

Portland-South Portland, ME

Educated rural democratic

D+24.6

Similarity score91%

Jackson, WY-ID

Educated rural democratic

D+25.4

Similarity score88%

Barre, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+43.0

Similarity score88%

Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.8

Similarity score88%

Brattleboro, VT

Educated rural democratic

D+42.3

Similarity score87%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Grafton	92K	D+19.8	32,993	21,909	55,895	10.5%
Grafton	89K	D+19.8	32,993	21,909	55,895	10.5%
Grafton	86K	D+19.8	32,993	21,909	55,895	10.5%
Grafton	82K	D+19.8	32,993	21,909	55,895	10.5%
Windsor	58K	D+35.3	22,569	10,458	34,289	6.4%
Windsor	57K	D+35.3	22,569	10,458	34,289	6.4%
Windsor	57K	D+35.3	22,569	10,458	34,289	6.4%
Windsor	56K	D+35.3	22,569	10,458	34,289	6.4%
Sullivan	44K	R+0.7	12,317	12,484	25,221	4.7%
Sullivan	43K	R+0.7	12,317	12,484	25,221	4.7%
Sullivan	43K	R+0.7	12,317	12,484	25,221	4.7%
Sullivan	40K	R+0.7	12,317	12,484	25,221	4.7%
Orange	30K	D+20.0	10,220	6,683	17,672	3.3%
Orange	29K	D+20.0	10,220	6,683	17,672	3.3%
Orange	29K	D+20.0	10,220	6,683	17,672	3.3%
Orange	28K	D+20.0	10,220	6,683	17,672	3.3%

16 countiesTotal votes: 532,308

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VTCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 93.9%Multiracial 2.1%Hispanic 1.6%Asian 1.5%Black 0.6%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	93.9%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	1.6%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	1.5%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(11)	0.6%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

23.2%(51.9K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +23.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	10.5%	45.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.3%	27.1%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	3.9%	16.9%	—	—
Other	2.4%	10.5%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.0%	4.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	76.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT metro area? 862,602 residents across 16 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT vs National863K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

863K

local

863KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.26%

local

0.26%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.0%

local

40.0%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$58,646

local

$58,646National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.7%

local

9.7%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.0%

local

34.0%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

72.8%

local

72.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

42.9 yrs

local

42.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6%

local

11.6%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.8%

local

14.8%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.6%

local

3.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

4.7%

local

4.7%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

95.3%

local

95.3%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

72.8%

vs Previous

+1.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

50K · 27.2%

Citizen VAP

182,678

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	D+28.9	R+18.7	47.7pp
President vs Governor	D+20.0	R+18.7	38.7pp
President vs Senate	D+20.0	D+28.9	9.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 20.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Lebanon-Claremont, NH-VT sits inside these higher-level geographies.

New Hampshire(State)Vermont(State)

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