How did Rockford, IL vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Rockford, IL voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+1.9. Kamala D Harris received 70,101 votes and Donald Trump received 72,930 out of 145,603 total votes cast, a 1.8-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Rockford, IL's political history?

Rockford, IL has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. Democrats have won 5 and Republicans 35 of those contests. The largest single-election swing was 49.1 points in 1912.

What are the demographics of Rockford, IL?

Rockford, IL has a population of 1,347,481 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 72.7% non-Hispanic white, 12.4% Hispanic, 10.2% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $53,505.

Which places are most similar to Rockford, IL?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Rockford, IL are New Orleans-Metairie, LA, Tucson, AZ, Greensboro-High Point, NC. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Metropolitan area

Rockford, IL

Manufacturing-belt anchor where margins have tightened each cycle since 2008

Rockford's Winnebago County shifted from reliably Democratic to genuine battleground territory as deindustrialization reshaped its working-class electorate, making it one of Illinois's few metro areas that statewide candidates treat as persuadable.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 40420

Population1.3M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

37.9y▼ 1.0

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

21.6%▼ 13.4

White72.7%
Hispanic12.4%
Black10.2%
Two or more4.5%
Other4.4%
Asian2.1%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Rockford, ILBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Reads like New Orleans-Metairie, LA, Tucson, AZ, and Greensboro-High Point, NC.

8 visible matches

New Orleans-Metairie, LA

Educated rural competitive 2

D+16.9

Similarity score87%

Tucson, AZ

Educated rural democratic

D+15.1

Similarity score85%

Greensboro-High Point, NC

Educated rural competitive 2

D+0.2

Similarity score85%

Durham-Chapel Hill, NC

Educated rural democratic

D+45.9

Similarity score84%

Albuquerque, NM

Educated rural competitive 2

D+14.3

Similarity score84%

Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA

Educated rural democratic

D+46.2

Similarity score84%

Salem, OR

Educated rural competitive 2

R+2.4

Similarity score83%

Milwaukee-Waukesha, WI

Educated rural competitive 2

D+9.4

Similarity score83%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Rockford, IL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Winnebago	296K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	20.8%
Winnebago	289K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	20.8%
Winnebago	283K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	20.8%
Winnebago	278K	D+0.6	59,942	59,257	121,347	20.8%
Boone	54K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	4.2%
Boone	53K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	4.2%
Boone	52K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	4.2%
Boone	42K	R+14.5	10,159	13,673	24,256	4.2%

8 countiesTotal votes: 582,412

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Rockford, IL's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Rockford, IL metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Rockford, ILCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 72.7%Hispanic 12.4%Black 10.2%Multiracial 2.2%Asian 2.1%Native American 0.4%

Group	Rockford, IL	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	72.7%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)	12.4%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(8)	10.2%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	2.2%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.1%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

55.8%(187.8K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +5.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A moderate religious balance between Catholic and Evangelical traditions.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	24.9%	44.5%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	19.2%	34.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.5%	11.7%	—	—
Other	3.0%	5.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	2.0%	3.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.0%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	44.2%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Rockford, IL metro area? 1,347,481 residents across 8 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Rockford, IL vs National1.3M residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.3M

local

1.3MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.40%

local

0.40%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.7%

local

37.7%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$53,505

local

$53,505National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.3%

local

13.3%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.6%

local

21.6%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

69.6%

local

69.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.9 yrs

local

37.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.3%

local

11.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.7%

local

11.7%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.0%

local

8.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.4%

local

13.4%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

86.6%

local

86.6%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Rockford, IL

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

59.9%

vs Previous

-3.6pp

Eligible Non-Voters

97K · 40.1%

Citizen VAP

243,080

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Rockford, IL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyModerate splitting (53/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+2.6	R+4.7	2.1pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 9.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Rockford, IL sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Illinois(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Metro Area Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo