Military payrolls and Latino plurality define this fast-growing megaregion
Home to four major military installations and a population that is roughly 55% Hispanic, the San Antonio–New Braunfels metro has trended more competitive at the presidential level even as Bexar County's suburban fringe absorbs rapid in-migration from across Texas.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bexar | 2.1M | D+9.7 | 411,389 | 337,545 | 758,323 | 17.9% |
| Bexar | 1.9M | D+9.7 | 411,389 | 337,545 | 758,323 | 17.9% |
| Bexar | 1.6M | D+9.7 | 411,389 | 337,545 | 758,323 | 17.9% |
| Bexar | 1.4M | D+9.7 | 411,389 | 337,545 | 758,323 | 17.9% |
| Comal | 184K | R+45.5 | 27,680 | 74,756 | 103,491 | 2.4% |
| Guadalupe | 184K | R+29.5 | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,136 | 2.0% |
| Guadalupe | 147K | R+29.5 | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,136 | 2.0% |
| Comal | 124K | R+45.5 | 27,680 | 74,756 | 103,491 | 2.4% |
| Guadalupe | 112K | R+29.5 | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,136 | 2.0% |
| Comal | 105K | R+45.5 | 27,680 | 74,756 | 103,491 | 2.4% |
| Guadalupe | 89K | R+29.5 | 29,573 | 54,691 | 85,136 | 2.0% |
| Comal | 78K | R+45.5 | 27,680 | 74,756 | 103,491 | 2.4% |
| Medina | 54K | R+42.7 | 6,950 | 17,464 | 24,617 | 0.6% |
| Wilson | 53K | R+53.7 | 6,247 | 20,894 | 27,275 | 0.6% |
| Atascosa | 51K | R+43.3 | 5,153 | 13,142 | 18,444 | 0.4% |
| Kendall | 49K | R+55.6 | 6,355 | 22,668 | 29,315 | 0.7% |
| Medina | 48K | R+42.7 | 6,950 | 17,464 | 24,617 | 0.6% |
| Atascosa | 48K | R+43.3 | 5,153 | 13,142 | 18,444 | 0.4% |
| Wilson | 46K | R+53.7 | 6,247 | 20,894 | 27,275 | 0.6% |
| Medina | 44K | R+42.7 | 6,950 | 17,464 | 24,617 | 0.6% |
| Atascosa | 44K | R+43.3 | 5,153 | 13,142 | 18,444 | 0.4% |
| Medina | 39K | R+42.7 | 6,950 | 17,464 | 24,617 | 0.6% |
| Wilson | 39K | R+53.7 | 6,247 | 20,894 | 27,275 | 0.6% |
| Kendall | 39K | R+55.6 | 6,355 | 22,668 | 29,315 | 0.7% |
| Atascosa | 39K | R+43.3 | 5,153 | 13,142 | 18,444 | 0.4% |
| Wilson | 32K | R+53.7 | 6,247 | 20,894 | 27,275 | 0.6% |
| Kendall | 31K | R+55.6 | 6,355 | 22,668 | 29,315 | 0.7% |
| Kendall | 24K | R+55.6 | 6,355 | 22,668 | 29,315 | 0.7% |
| Bandera | 22K | R+61.8 | 2,532 | 10,939 | 13,600 | 0.3% |
| Bandera | 21K | R+61.8 | 2,532 | 10,939 | 13,600 | 0.3% |
| Bandera | 20K | R+61.8 | 2,532 | 10,939 | 13,600 | 0.3% |
| Bandera | 18K | R+61.8 | 2,532 | 10,939 | 13,600 | 0.3% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 53.5% | 19.3% |
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 35.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 6.6% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.8% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +13.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26.2% | 51.6% | — | — | |
| 17.0% | 33.4% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 7.4% | — | — | |
| 3.0% | 5.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.6% | — | — |
| 0.8% | 1.6% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX metro area? 8,686,467 residents across 32 counties.
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+5.3 | D+0.5 | 5.8pp |