How did Providence-New Bedford vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Providence-New Bedford voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+9.2. Kamala D Harris received 421,536 votes and Donald Trump received 348,487 out of 789,833 total votes cast, a 8.3-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Providence-New Bedford's political history?

Providence-New Bedford has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 45.7 points in 1960.

What are the demographics of Providence-New Bedford?

Providence-New Bedford has a population of 6,479,018 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 78.3% non-Hispanic white, 10.8% Hispanic, 4.8% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $61,927.

Which places are most similar to Providence-New Bedford?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Providence-New Bedford are Boston (Manchester), Springfield-Holyoke, Chicago. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Providence-New Bedford

A cross-state market where Rhode Island anchors and southeastern Massachusetts swings

Spanning two states, this media market pairs Providence's dense urban Democratic base with New Bedford's working-class Portuguese-American communities, producing a mixed electoral landscape that resists clean statewide narratives.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 521

Population6.5M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

39.1y▲ 0.2

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.4%▼ 5.6

White78.3%
Hispanic10.8%
Other5.6%
Black4.8%
Two or more4.8%
Asian2.6%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Providence-New BedfordBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Boston (Manchester), Springfield-Holyoke, and Chicago.

8 visible matches

Boston (Manchester)

Educated rural democratic

D+22.8

Similarity score94%

Springfield-Holyoke

Educated rural competitive

D+20.8

Similarity score90%

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score89%

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score88%

New York

Educated rural democratic

D+13.9

Similarity score88%

Austin

Educated rural democratic

D+14.2

Similarity score88%

San Diego

Educated rural democratic

D+16.8

Similarity score87%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy

Educated rural competitive

D+7.6

Similarity score86%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Providence-New Bedford

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Providence	665K	D+14.0	150,102	112,443	269,679	8.5%
Providence	631K	D+14.0	150,102	112,443	269,679	8.5%
Providence	629K	D+14.0	150,102	112,443	269,679	8.5%
Providence	622K	D+14.0	150,102	112,443	269,679	8.5%
Bristol	582K	D+1.3	137,786	134,196	278,017	8.8%
Bristol	555K	D+1.3	137,786	134,196	278,017	8.8%
Bristol	545K	D+1.3	137,786	134,196	278,017	8.8%
Bristol	535K	D+1.3	137,786	134,196	278,017	8.8%
Kent	171K	D+1.9	46,269	44,526	93,148	2.9%
Kent	169K	D+1.9	46,269	44,526	93,148	2.9%
Kent	167K	D+1.9	46,269	44,526	93,148	2.9%
Kent	165K	D+1.9	46,269	44,526	93,148	2.9%
Washington	130K	D+14.9	42,589	31,247	76,036	2.4%
Washington	127K	D+14.9	42,589	31,247	76,036	2.4%
Washington	126K	D+14.9	42,589	31,247	76,036	2.4%
Washington	124K	D+14.9	42,589	31,247	76,036	2.4%
Newport	85K	D+25.3	27,332	16,027	44,618	1.4%
Newport	85K	D+25.3	27,332	16,027	44,618	1.4%
Newport	83K	D+25.3	27,332	16,027	44,618	1.4%
Newport	82K	D+25.3	27,332	16,027	44,618	1.4%
Bristol	51K	D+26.1	17,458	10,048	28,335	0.9%
Bristol	50K	D+26.1	17,458	10,048	28,335	0.9%
Bristol	50K	D+26.1	17,458	10,048	28,335	0.9%
Bristol	49K	D+26.1	17,458	10,048	28,335	0.9%

24 countiesTotal votes: 3,159,332

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Providence-New Bedford's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Providence-New Bedford media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Providence-New BedfordCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 78.3%Hispanic 10.8%Black 4.8%Multiracial 3.1%Asian 2.6%Native American 0.4%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	78.3%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(18)	10.8%	19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)	4.8%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	3.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	2.6%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.4%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

48.0%(809.0K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +65.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	37.8%	78.6%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	4.0%	8.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.2%	6.7%	—	—
Other	2.3%	4.9%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.5%	1.1%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.3%	0.5%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.1%	0.3%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	52.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Providence-New Bedford media market? 6,479,018 residents across 24 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Providence-New Bedford vs National6.5M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.5M

local

6.5MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.93%

local

1.93%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.9%

local

38.9%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$61,927

local

$61,927National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.8%

local

11.8%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.4%

local

29.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

62.0%

local

62.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.1 yrs

local

39.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.5%

local

12.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.1%

local

12.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.0%

local

13.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

21.2%

local

21.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

78.8%

local

78.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Providence-New Bedford

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

62.7%

vs Previous

-0.4pp

Eligible Non-Voters

471K · 37.3%

Citizen VAP

1,260,489

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Providence-New Bedford split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+9.2	D+12.5	3.3pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 19.8pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Providence-New Bedford sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Massachusetts(State)Rhode Island(State)

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