How did Baltimore vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Baltimore voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+20.2. Kamala D Harris received 891,227 votes and Donald Trump received 582,994 out of 1,525,739 total votes cast, a 3.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Baltimore's political history?

Baltimore has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1992. The largest single-election swing was 38.1 points in 1932.

What are the demographics of Baltimore?

Baltimore has a population of 11,598,057 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 61.1% non-Hispanic white, 4.7% Hispanic, 27.2% Black. About 36% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $73,885.

Live · Media market

Baltimore

Q: Which places are most similar to Baltimore?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Baltimore are Richmond-Petersburg, Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, Detroit. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

A majority-Black anchor market where turnout patterns split sharply by neighborhood

Baltimore's media market mixes the city's dense Democratic precincts with competitive suburban Baltimore and Harford County corridors, making aggregate vote share a poor guide to the competitive margins that actually shift statewide outcomes.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 512

Population11.6M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38y▼ 0.9

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

35.7%▲ 0.7

White61.1%
Black27.2%
Hispanic4.7%
Asian4.2%
Two or more3.4%
Other1.8%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

BaltimoreBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Richmond-Petersburg, Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News, and Detroit.

8 visible matches

Richmond-Petersburg

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score93%

Norfolk-Portsmouth-Newport News

Educated rural competitive

D+8.0

Similarity score91%

Detroit

Educated rural competitive

D+8.5

Similarity score90%

Seattle-Tacoma

Educated rural democratic

D+28.6

Similarity score90%

Raleigh-Durham (Fayetteville)

Educated rural competitive

D+14.7

Similarity score90%

Boston (Manchester)

Educated rural democratic

D+22.8

Similarity score90%

Philadelphia

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score89%

Rochester, NY

Educated rural competitive

D+9.7

Similarity score89%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Baltimore

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Baltimore	851K	D+24.3	249,958	149,560	412,915	6.8%
Baltimore	826K	D+24.3	249,958	149,560	412,915	6.8%
Baltimore	787K	D+24.3	249,958	149,560	412,915	6.8%
Baltimore	754K	D+24.3	249,958	149,560	412,915	6.8%
Baltimore City	651K	D+72.4	195,109	27,984	230,754	3.8%
Baltimore City	639K	D+72.4	195,109	27,984	230,754	3.8%
Baltimore City	621K	D+72.4	195,109	27,984	230,754	3.8%
Anne Arundel	598K	D+13.8	171,945	128,892	311,572	5.1%
Baltimore City	573K	D+72.4	195,109	27,984	230,754	3.8%
Anne Arundel	560K	D+13.8	171,945	128,892	311,572	5.1%
Anne Arundel	514K	D+13.8	171,945	128,892	311,572	5.1%
Anne Arundel	490K	D+13.8	171,945	128,892	311,572	5.1%
Howard	336K	D+41.3	124,764	49,425	182,291	3.0%
Howard	308K	D+41.3	124,764	49,425	182,291	3.0%
Howard	274K	D+41.3	124,764	49,425	182,291	3.0%
Harford	264K	R+13.7	62,453	83,050	150,090	2.5%
Harford	250K	R+13.7	62,453	83,050	150,090	2.5%
Howard	248K	D+41.3	124,764	49,425	182,291	3.0%
Harford	240K	R+13.7	62,453	83,050	150,090	2.5%
Harford	219K	R+13.7	62,453	83,050	150,090	2.5%
Carroll	175K	R+24.8	36,867	62,273	102,651	1.7%
Carroll	169K	R+24.8	36,867	62,273	102,651	1.7%
Carroll	168K	R+24.8	36,867	62,273	102,651	1.7%
Carroll	151K	R+24.8	36,867	62,273	102,651	1.7%
Cecil	105K	R+30.8	17,628	33,871	52,831	0.9%
Cecil	102K	R+30.8	17,628	33,871	52,831	0.9%
Cecil	99K	R+30.8	17,628	33,871	52,831	0.9%
Cecil	86K	R+30.8	17,628	33,871	52,831	0.9%
Queen Anne'S	52K	R+27.6	11,273	20,200	32,347	0.5%
Queen Anne'S	49K	R+27.6	11,273	20,200	32,347	0.5%
Queen Anne'S	47K	R+27.6	11,273	20,200	32,347	0.5%
Queen Anne'S	41K	R+27.6	11,273	20,200	32,347	0.5%
Talbot	38K	E	11,119	11,125	22,830	0.4%
Talbot	38K	E	11,119	11,125	22,830	0.4%
Talbot	36K	E	11,119	11,125	22,830	0.4%
Talbot	34K	E	11,119	11,125	22,830	0.4%
Caroline	34K	R+37.9	4,860	11,053	16,330	0.3%
Caroline	33K	R+37.9	4,860	11,053	16,330	0.3%
Caroline	33K	R+37.9	4,860	11,053	16,330	0.3%
Caroline	30K	R+37.9	4,860	11,053	16,330	0.3%
Kent	20K	R+2.8	5,251	5,561	11,128	0.2%
Kent	20K	R+2.8	5,251	5,561	11,128	0.2%
Kent	19K	R+2.8	5,251	5,561	11,128	0.2%
Kent	19K	R+2.8	5,251	5,561	11,128	0.2%

44 countiesTotal votes: 6,102,956

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Baltimore's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Baltimore media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

BaltimoreCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 61.1%Black 27.2%Hispanic 4.7%Asian 4.2%Multiracial 2.4%

Group	Baltimore	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	61.1%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(16)	27.2%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	4.7%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	4.2%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	0.8%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.3%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

39.0%(1.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	12.2%	31.2%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	10.6%	27.2%	—	—
Other	6.4%	16.4%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.2%	15.8%	—	—
Black Protestant	3.2%	8.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.6%	1.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.4%	1.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	61.0%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Baltimore media market? 11,598,057 residents across 44 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Baltimore vs National11.6M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.6M

local

11.6MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.46%

local

3.46%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

39.2%

local

39.2%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$73,885

local

$73,885National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

10.0%

local

10.0%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

35.7%

local

35.7%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.5%

local

67.5%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.0 yrs

local

38.0 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.2%

local

12.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.5%

local

8.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

11.1%

local

11.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

88.9%

local

88.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Baltimore

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

67.8%

vs Previous

+0.3pp

Eligible Non-Voters

726K · 32.2%

Citizen VAP

2,251,923

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Baltimore split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (26/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+20.2	D+10.5	9.7pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 13.5pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Baltimore sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Maryland(State)

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