A sprawling oil-belt market where suburban growth is reshaping turnout patterns
Oklahoma City's media market anchors a reliably red state, but rapid suburban expansion in the metro's outer ring has gradually shifted the composition of competitive county-level races over the past decade.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma | 806K | R+1.7 | 138,769 | 143,618 | 288,923 | 9.3% |
| Oklahoma | 765K | R+1.7 | 138,769 | 143,618 | 288,923 | 9.3% |
| Oklahoma | 700K | R+1.7 | 138,769 | 143,618 | 288,923 | 9.3% |
| Oklahoma | 660K | R+1.7 | 138,769 | 143,618 | 288,923 | 9.3% |
| Cleveland | 300K | R+14.9 | 49,432 | 67,225 | 119,294 | 3.9% |
| Cleveland | 272K | R+14.9 | 49,432 | 67,225 | 119,294 | 3.9% |
| Cleveland | 236K | R+14.9 | 49,432 | 67,225 | 119,294 | 3.9% |
| Cleveland | 208K | R+14.9 | 49,432 | 67,225 | 119,294 | 3.9% |
| Canadian | 169K | R+40.4 | 21,038 | 50,551 | 73,074 | 2.4% |
| Canadian | 130K | R+40.4 | 21,038 | 50,551 | 73,074 | 2.4% |
| Canadian | 104K | R+40.4 | 21,038 | 50,551 | 73,074 | 2.4% |
| Canadian | 88K | R+40.4 | 21,038 | 50,551 | 73,074 | 2.4% |
| Payne | 83K | R+25.3 | 10,560 | 17,962 | 29,279 | 0.9% |
| Payne | 80K | R+25.3 | 10,560 | 17,962 | 29,279 | 0.9% |
| Payne | 79K | R+25.3 | 10,560 | 17,962 | 29,279 | 0.9% |
| Pottawatomie | 73K | R+47.4 | 7,266 | 20,915 | 28,774 | 0.9% |
| Pottawatomie | 72K | R+47.4 | 7,266 | 20,915 | 28,774 | 0.9% |
| Pottawatomie | 69K | R+47.4 | 7,266 | 20,915 | 28,774 | 0.9% |
| Payne | 68K | R+25.3 | 10,560 | 17,962 | 29,279 | 0.9% |
| Pottawatomie | 66K | R+47.4 | 7,266 | 20,915 | 28,774 | 0.9% |
| Garfield | 62K | R+53.8 | 4,849 | 16,593 | 21,844 | 0.7% |
| Garfield | 62K | R+53.8 | 4,849 | 16,593 | 21,844 | 0.7% |
| Garfield | 58K | R+53.8 | 4,849 | 16,593 | 21,844 | 0.7% |
| Garfield | 58K | R+53.8 | 4,849 | 16,593 | 21,844 | 0.7% |
| Grady | 57K | R+62.7 | 4,536 | 20,378 | 25,283 | 0.8% |
| Grady | 54K | R+62.7 | 4,536 | 20,378 | 25,283 | 0.8% |
| Logan | 52K | R+49.1 | 5,901 | 17,748 | 24,149 | 0.8% |
| Grady | 50K | R+62.7 | 4,536 | 20,378 | 25,283 | 0.8% |
| Kay | 48K | R+49.4 | 4,136 | 12,483 | 16,913 | 0.5% |
| Kay | 46K | R+49.4 | 4,136 | 12,483 | 16,913 | 0.5% |
| Grady | 46K | R+62.7 | 4,536 | 20,378 | 25,283 | 0.8% |
| Kay | 45K | R+49.4 | 4,136 | 12,483 | 16,913 | 0.5% |
| Mcclain | 45K | R+60.6 | 4,031 | 17,005 | 21,397 | 0.7% |
| Logan | 45K | R+49.1 | 5,901 | 17,748 | 24,149 | 0.8% |
| Kay | 44K | R+49.4 | 4,136 | 12,483 | 16,913 | 0.5% |
| Logan | 37K | R+49.1 | 5,901 | 17,748 | 24,149 | 0.8% |
| Mcclain | 37K | R+60.6 | 4,031 | 17,005 | 21,397 | 0.7% |
| Lincoln | 35K | R+63.3 | 2,712 | 12,495 | 15,465 | 0.5% |
| Lincoln | 34K | R+63.3 | 2,712 | 12,495 | 15,465 | 0.5% |
| Logan | 34K | R+49.1 | 5,901 | 17,748 | 24,149 | 0.8% |
| Lincoln | 32K | R+63.3 | 2,712 | 12,495 | 15,465 | 0.5% |
| Lincoln | 32K | R+63.3 | 2,712 | 12,495 | 15,465 | 0.5% |
| Mcclain | 32K | R+60.6 | 4,031 | 17,005 | 21,397 | 0.7% |
| Caddo | 30K | R+47.1 | 2,414 | 6,886 | 9,496 | 0.3% |
| Caddo | 30K | R+47.1 | 2,414 | 6,886 | 9,496 | 0.3% |
| Caddo | 30K | R+47.1 | 2,414 | 6,886 | 9,496 | 0.3% |
| Custer | 29K | R+53.3 | 2,279 | 7,693 | 10,168 | 0.3% |
| Custer | 28K | R+53.3 | 2,279 | 7,693 | 10,168 | 0.3% |
| Mcclain | 28K | R+60.6 | 4,031 | 17,005 | 21,397 | 0.7% |
| Garvin | 28K | R+66.1 | 1,802 | 9,063 | 10,991 | 0.4% |
| Garvin | 27K | R+66.1 | 1,802 | 9,063 | 10,991 | 0.4% |
| Garvin | 27K | R+66.1 | 1,802 | 9,063 | 10,991 | 0.4% |
| Caddo | 26K | R+47.1 | 2,414 | 6,886 | 9,496 | 0.3% |
| Custer | 26K | R+53.3 | 2,279 | 7,693 | 10,168 | 0.3% |
| Custer | 26K | R+53.3 | 2,279 | 7,693 | 10,168 | 0.3% |
| Garvin | 26K | R+66.1 | 1,802 | 9,063 | 10,991 | 0.4% |
| Seminole | 25K | R+49.7 | 1,951 | 5,951 | 8,044 | 0.3% |
| Seminole | 25K | R+49.7 | 1,951 | 5,951 | 8,044 | 0.3% |
| Seminole | 24K | R+49.7 | 1,951 | 5,951 | 8,044 | 0.3% |
| Seminole | 23K | R+49.7 | 1,951 | 5,951 | 8,044 | 0.3% |
| Beckham | 23K | R+70.1 | 1,093 | 6,474 | 7,678 | 0.2% |
| Beckham | 22K | R+70.1 | 1,093 | 6,474 | 7,678 | 0.2% |
| Woodward | 21K | R+72.0 | 967 | 6,231 | 7,312 | 0.2% |
| Beckham | 20K | R+70.1 | 1,093 | 6,474 | 7,678 | 0.2% |
| Woodward | 20K | R+72.0 | 967 | 6,231 | 7,312 | 0.2% |
| Beckham | 20K | R+70.1 | 1,093 | 6,474 | 7,678 | 0.2% |
| Woodward | 19K | R+72.0 | 967 | 6,231 | 7,312 | 0.2% |
| Woodward | 18K | R+72.0 | 967 | 6,231 | 7,312 | 0.2% |
| Kingfisher | 15K | R+71.4 | 923 | 5,745 | 6,754 | 0.2% |
| Kingfisher | 15K | R+71.4 | 923 | 5,745 | 6,754 | 0.2% |
| Kingfisher | 14K | R+71.4 | 923 | 5,745 | 6,754 | 0.2% |
| Hughes | 14K | R+62.5 | 831 | 3,744 | 4,659 | 0.2% |
| Kingfisher | 14K | R+71.4 | 923 | 5,745 | 6,754 | 0.2% |
| Murray | 14K | R+61.3 | 1,080 | 4,689 | 5,885 | 0.2% |
| Murray | 14K | R+61.3 | 1,080 | 4,689 | 5,885 | 0.2% |
| Hughes | 14K | R+62.5 | 831 | 3,744 | 4,659 | 0.2% |
| Hughes | 14K | R+62.5 | 831 | 3,744 | 4,659 | 0.2% |
| Hughes | 13K | R+62.5 | 831 | 3,744 | 4,659 | 0.2% |
| Murray | 13K | R+61.3 | 1,080 | 4,689 | 5,885 | 0.2% |
| Blaine | 13K | R+62.9 | 671 | 3,054 | 3,786 | 0.1% |
| Murray | 13K | R+61.3 | 1,080 | 4,689 | 5,885 | 0.2% |
| Blaine | 12K | R+62.9 | 671 | 3,054 | 3,786 | 0.1% |
| Washita | 12K | R+74.8 | 551 | 4,030 | 4,652 | 0.2% |
| Washita | 12K | R+74.8 | 551 | 4,030 | 4,652 | 0.2% |
| Washita | 12K | R+74.8 | 551 | 4,030 | 4,652 | 0.2% |
| Noble | 11K | R+57.4 | 1,009 | 3,853 | 4,957 | 0.2% |
| Noble | 11K | R+57.4 | 1,009 | 3,853 | 4,957 | 0.2% |
| Noble | 11K | R+57.4 | 1,009 | 3,853 | 4,957 | 0.2% |
| Noble | 11K | R+57.4 | 1,009 | 3,853 | 4,957 | 0.2% |
| Washita | 11K | R+74.8 | 551 | 4,030 | 4,652 | 0.2% |
| Kiowa | 10K | R+58.3 | 658 | 2,569 | 3,278 | 0.1% |
| Blaine | 10K | R+62.9 | 671 | 3,054 | 3,786 | 0.1% |
| Kiowa | 9K | R+58.3 | 658 | 2,569 | 3,278 | 0.1% |
| Kiowa | 9K | R+58.3 | 658 | 2,569 | 3,278 | 0.1% |
| Woods | 9K | R+64.3 | 614 | 2,955 | 3,638 | 0.1% |
| Woods | 9K | R+64.3 | 614 | 2,955 | 3,638 | 0.1% |
| Woods | 9K | R+64.3 | 614 | 2,955 | 3,638 | 0.1% |
| Blaine | 9K | R+62.9 | 671 | 3,054 | 3,786 | 0.1% |
| Woods | 8K | R+64.3 | 614 | 2,955 | 3,638 | 0.1% |
| Kiowa | 8K | R+58.3 | 658 | 2,569 | 3,278 | 0.1% |
| Major | 8K | R+79.4 | 327 | 3,087 | 3,478 | 0.1% |
| Major | 8K | R+79.4 | 327 | 3,087 | 3,478 | 0.1% |
| Major | 8K | R+79.4 | 327 | 3,087 | 3,478 | 0.1% |
| Major | 7K | R+79.4 | 327 | 3,087 | 3,478 | 0.1% |
| Alfalfa | 6K | R+76.6 | 236 | 1,891 | 2,160 | 0.1% |
| Greer | 6K | R+65.7 | 304 | 1,511 | 1,836 | 0.1% |
| Greer | 6K | R+65.7 | 304 | 1,511 | 1,836 | 0.1% |
| Greer | 6K | R+65.7 | 304 | 1,511 | 1,836 | 0.1% |
| Alfalfa | 6K | R+76.6 | 236 | 1,891 | 2,160 | 0.1% |
| Alfalfa | 6K | R+76.6 | 236 | 1,891 | 2,160 | 0.1% |
| Alfalfa | 6K | R+76.6 | 236 | 1,891 | 2,160 | 0.1% |
| Greer | 5K | R+65.7 | 304 | 1,511 | 1,836 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 5K | R+70.5 | 295 | 1,794 | 2,125 | 0.1% |
| Dewey | 5K | R+80.1 | 209 | 1,984 | 2,215 | 0.1% |
| Dewey | 5K | R+80.1 | 209 | 1,984 | 2,215 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 4K | R+70.5 | 295 | 1,794 | 2,125 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 4K | R+70.5 | 295 | 1,794 | 2,125 | 0.1% |
| Dewey | 4K | R+80.1 | 209 | 1,984 | 2,215 | 0.1% |
| Dewey | 4K | R+80.1 | 209 | 1,984 | 2,215 | 0.1% |
| Grant | 4K | R+70.5 | 295 | 1,794 | 2,125 | 0.1% |
| Ellis | 4K | R+76.6 | 197 | 1,585 | 1,812 | 0.1% |
| Ellis | 4K | R+76.6 | 197 | 1,585 | 1,812 | 0.1% |
| Ellis | 4K | R+76.6 | 197 | 1,585 | 1,812 | 0.1% |
| Harper | 4K | R+78.4 | 147 | 1,284 | 1,451 | 0.0% |
| Roger Mills | 4K | R+80.1 | 160 | 1,548 | 1,733 | 0.1% |
| Ellis | 4K | R+76.6 | 197 | 1,585 | 1,812 | 0.1% |
| Harper | 4K | R+78.4 | 147 | 1,284 | 1,451 | 0.0% |
| Roger Mills | 3K | R+80.1 | 160 | 1,548 | 1,733 | 0.1% |
| Roger Mills | 3K | R+80.1 | 160 | 1,548 | 1,733 | 0.1% |
| Harper | 3K | R+78.4 | 147 | 1,284 | 1,451 | 0.0% |
| Roger Mills | 3K | R+80.1 | 160 | 1,548 | 1,733 | 0.1% |
| Harmon | 3K | R+61.7 | 165 | 709 | 882 | 0.0% |
| Harper | 3K | R+78.4 | 147 | 1,284 | 1,451 | 0.0% |
| Harmon | 3K | R+61.7 | 165 | 709 | 882 | 0.0% |
| Harmon | 3K | R+61.7 | 165 | 709 | 882 | 0.0% |
| Harmon | 2K | R+61.7 | 165 | 709 | 882 | 0.0% |
| Group | Oklahoma City | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.8% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.2% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 7.9% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.0% | 4.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(11) | 4.6% | 0.9% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.4% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(5) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -54.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.4% | 64.7% | — | — | |
| 8.8% | 14.5% | — | — | |
| 7.8% | 12.8% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 5.1% | — | — | |
| 1.7% | 2.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.1% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 39.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Oklahoma City media market? 7,235,506 residents across 136 counties.
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+19.1 | R+7.8 | 11.2pp |