How did Little Rock-Pine Bluff vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Little Rock-Pine Bluff voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+26.2. Kamala D Harris received 209,050 votes and Donald Trump received 361,915 out of 583,796 total votes cast, a 3.2-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Little Rock-Pine Bluff's political history?

Little Rock-Pine Bluff has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 2000. The largest single-election swing was 70.2 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Little Rock-Pine Bluff?

Little Rock-Pine Bluff has a population of 5,665,809 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 73.0% non-Hispanic white, 4.3% Hispanic, 19.2% Black. About 22% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $44,854.

Which places are most similar to Little Rock-Pine Bluff?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Little Rock-Pine Bluff are Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa), Albany, GA, Lexington. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Little Rock-Pine Bluff

Arkansas's anchor market, where Delta demographics meet state-capital politics

Spanning the capital corridor and the majority-Black Delta counties around Pine Bluff, this market blends competitive state-level races with some of Arkansas's most economically distressed and reliably Democratic precincts.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 693

Population5.7M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

38.1y▼ 0.8

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

22.4%▼ 12.6

White73.0%
Black19.2%
Hispanic4.3%
Two or more2.8%
Other1.6%
Asian1.0%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Little Rock-Pine BluffBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa), Albany, GA, and Lexington.

8 visible matches

Birmingham (Anniston & Tuscaloosa)

Small-town rural republican 3

Columbus-Tupelo-West Point-Houston

Rural Republican

R+36.5

Similarity score82%

Champaign & Springfield-Decatur

Small-town rural republican 3

Constituent Geography

Counties in Little Rock-Pine Bluff

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Pulaski	400K	D+22.1	92,038	57,977	153,924	6.6%
Pulaski	392K	D+22.1	92,038	57,977	153,924	6.6%
Pulaski	376K	D+22.1	92,038	57,977	153,924	6.6%
Pulaski	361K	D+22.1	92,038	57,977	153,924	6.6%
Faulkner	128K	R+32.3	17,752	35,357	54,465	2.3%
Saline	127K	R+40.1	16,609	39,736	57,609	2.5%
Faulkner	120K	R+32.3	17,752	35,357	54,465	2.3%
Saline	116K	R+40.1	16,609	39,736	57,609	2.5%
Faulkner	104K	R+32.3	17,752	35,357	54,465	2.3%
Garland	100K	R+36.3	13,015	28,359	42,327	1.8%
Garland	97K	R+36.3	13,015	28,359	42,327	1.8%
Garland	96K	R+36.3	13,015	28,359	42,327	1.8%
Saline	95K	R+40.1	16,609	39,736	57,609	2.5%
Garland	88K	R+36.3	13,015	28,359	42,327	1.8%
Faulkner	86K	R+32.3	17,752	35,357	54,465	2.3%
Jefferson	84K	D+20.1	12,802	8,468	21,608	0.9%
Saline	84K	R+40.1	16,609	39,736	57,609	2.5%
Jefferson	80K	D+20.1	12,802	8,468	21,608	0.9%
White	79K	R+61.2	5,641	24,514	30,837	1.3%
White	78K	R+61.2	5,641	24,514	30,837	1.3%
Lonoke	75K	R+53.7	6,790	23,225	30,620	1.3%
White	74K	R+61.2	5,641	24,514	30,837	1.3%
Jefferson	72K	D+20.1	12,802	8,468	21,608	0.9%
Lonoke	71K	R+53.7	6,790	23,225	30,620	1.3%
White	67K	R+61.2	5,641	24,514	30,837	1.3%
Jefferson	65K	D+20.1	12,802	8,468	21,608	0.9%
Pope	64K	R+52.2	5,487	18,118	24,191	1.0%
Lonoke	63K	R+53.7	6,790	23,225	30,620	1.3%
Pope	63K	R+52.2	5,487	18,118	24,191	1.0%
Pope	59K	R+52.2	5,487	18,118	24,191	1.0%
Pope	54K	R+52.2	5,487	18,118	24,191	1.0%
Lonoke	53K	R+53.7	6,790	23,225	30,620	1.3%
Independence	38K	R+59.5	2,689	11,023	14,011	0.6%
Independence	37K	R+59.5	2,689	11,023	14,011	0.6%
Independence	34K	R+59.5	2,689	11,023	14,011	0.6%
Independence	34K	R+59.5	2,689	11,023	14,011	0.6%
Hot Spring	33K	R+52.2	2,818	9,226	12,283	0.5%
Hot Spring	33K	R+52.2	2,818	9,226	12,283	0.5%
Hot Spring	32K	R+52.2	2,818	9,226	12,283	0.5%
Hot Spring	30K	R+52.2	2,818	9,226	12,283	0.5%
Ouachita	29K	R+19.1	3,412	5,056	8,626	0.4%
Ouachita	26K	R+19.1	3,412	5,056	8,626	0.4%
Cleburne	26K	R+67.9	1,941	10,595	12,739	0.5%
Cleburne	25K	R+67.9	1,941	10,595	12,739	0.5%
Cleburne	25K	R+67.9	1,941	10,595	12,739	0.5%
Ouachita	25K	R+19.1	3,412	5,056	8,626	0.4%
Cleburne	24K	R+67.9	1,941	10,595	12,739	0.5%
Clark	24K	R+20.5	2,959	4,526	7,657	0.3%
Clark	24K	R+20.5	2,959	4,526	7,657	0.3%
Clark	23K	R+20.5	2,959	4,526	7,657	0.3%
Ouachita	22K	R+19.1	3,412	5,056	8,626	0.4%
Yell	22K	R+60.7	1,213	5,147	6,477	0.3%
Yell	22K	R+60.7	1,213	5,147	6,477	0.3%
Yell	21K	R+60.7	1,213	5,147	6,477	0.3%
Clark	21K	R+20.5	2,959	4,526	7,657	0.3%
Conway	21K	R+40.3	2,449	5,893	8,541	0.4%
Conway	21K	R+40.3	2,449	5,893	8,541	0.4%
Arkansas	21K	R+44.1	1,503	3,951	5,547	0.2%
Conway	21K	R+40.3	2,449	5,893	8,541	0.4%
Conway	20K	R+40.3	2,449	5,893	8,541	0.4%
Polk	20K	R+70.5	1,145	6,987	8,288	0.4%
Polk	20K	R+70.5	1,145	6,987	8,288	0.4%
Polk	20K	R+70.5	1,145	6,987	8,288	0.4%
Yell	20K	R+60.7	1,213	5,147	6,477	0.3%
Arkansas	19K	R+44.1	1,503	3,951	5,547	0.2%
Polk	19K	R+70.5	1,145	6,987	8,288	0.4%
Drew	19K	R+33.8	2,050	4,203	6,365	0.3%
Drew	19K	R+33.8	2,050	4,203	6,365	0.3%
Drew	19K	R+33.8	2,050	4,203	6,365	0.3%
Arkansas	19K	R+44.1	1,503	3,951	5,547	0.2%
Jackson	18K	R+48.7	1,183	3,509	4,775	0.2%
Grant	18K	R+68.9	1,192	6,755	8,078	0.3%
Grant	18K	R+68.9	1,192	6,755	8,078	0.3%
Grant	18K	R+68.9	1,192	6,755	8,078	0.3%
Jackson	17K	R+48.7	1,183	3,509	4,775	0.2%
Drew	17K	R+33.8	2,050	4,203	6,365	0.3%
Jackson	17K	R+48.7	1,183	3,509	4,775	0.2%
Van Buren	17K	R+60.2	1,437	6,023	7,621	0.3%
Jackson	17K	R+48.7	1,183	3,509	4,775	0.2%
Arkansas	17K	R+44.1	1,503	3,951	5,547	0.2%
Grant	16K	R+68.9	1,192	6,755	8,078	0.3%
Van Buren	16K	R+60.2	1,437	6,023	7,621	0.3%
Van Buren	16K	R+60.2	1,437	6,023	7,621	0.3%
Van Buren	16K	R+60.2	1,437	6,023	7,621	0.3%
Desha	15K	R+4.8	1,638	1,805	3,505	0.2%
Lincoln	14K	R+50.1	813	2,502	3,372	0.1%
Izard	14K	R+65.9	949	4,854	5,925	0.3%
Lincoln	14K	R+50.1	813	2,502	3,372	0.1%
Lincoln	14K	R+50.1	813	2,502	3,372	0.1%
Desha	14K	R+4.8	1,638	1,805	3,505	0.2%
Izard	13K	R+65.9	949	4,854	5,925	0.3%
Izard	13K	R+65.9	949	4,854	5,925	0.3%
Izard	13K	R+65.9	949	4,854	5,925	0.3%
Lincoln	13K	R+50.1	813	2,502	3,372	0.1%
Bradley	13K	R+39.0	961	2,213	3,209	0.1%
Stone	13K	R+61.7	1,089	4,808	6,030	0.3%
Stone	13K	R+61.7	1,089	4,808	6,030	0.3%
Desha	12K	R+4.8	1,638	1,805	3,505	0.2%
Bradley	12K	R+39.0	961	2,213	3,209	0.1%
Stone	12K	R+61.7	1,089	4,808	6,030	0.3%
Stone	11K	R+61.7	1,089	4,808	6,030	0.3%
Pike	11K	R+73.1	560	3,746	4,358	0.2%
Bradley	11K	R+39.0	961	2,213	3,209	0.1%
Pike	11K	R+73.1	560	3,746	4,358	0.2%
Desha	11K	R+4.8	1,638	1,805	3,505	0.2%
Pike	11K	R+73.1	560	3,746	4,358	0.2%
Perry	10K	R+57.5	923	3,559	4,584	0.2%
Monroe	10K	R+15.7	1,002	1,385	2,433	0.1%
Perry	10K	R+57.5	923	3,559	4,584	0.2%
Perry	10K	R+57.5	923	3,559	4,584	0.2%
Bradley	10K	R+39.0	961	2,213	3,209	0.1%
Pike	10K	R+73.1	560	3,746	4,358	0.2%
Perry	10K	R+57.5	923	3,559	4,584	0.2%
Nevada	10K	R+39.7	849	2,002	2,907	0.1%
Prairie	10K	R+65.8	524	2,628	3,200	0.1%
Nevada	9K	R+39.7	849	2,002	2,907	0.1%
Montgomery	9K	R+63.2	645	2,987	3,707	0.2%
Dallas	9K	R+29.4	798	1,482	2,324	0.1%
Montgomery	9K	R+63.2	645	2,987	3,707	0.2%
Montgomery	9K	R+63.2	645	2,987	3,707	0.2%
Prairie	9K	R+65.8	524	2,628	3,200	0.1%
Woodruff	9K	R+32.5	760	1,513	2,318	0.1%
Nevada	9K	R+39.7	849	2,002	2,907	0.1%
Cleveland	9K	R+67.6	524	2,804	3,374	0.1%
Monroe	9K	R+15.7	1,002	1,385	2,433	0.1%
Cleveland	9K	R+67.6	524	2,804	3,374	0.1%
Montgomery	9K	R+63.2	645	2,987	3,707	0.2%
Cleveland	8K	R+67.6	524	2,804	3,374	0.1%
Prairie	8K	R+65.8	524	2,628	3,200	0.1%
Searcy	8K	R+72.2	511	3,305	3,869	0.2%
Dallas	8K	R+29.4	798	1,482	2,324	0.1%
Nevada	8K	R+39.7	849	2,002	2,907	0.1%
Prairie	8K	R+65.8	524	2,628	3,200	0.1%
Searcy	8K	R+72.2	511	3,305	3,869	0.2%
Searcy	8K	R+72.2	511	3,305	3,869	0.2%
Searcy	8K	R+72.2	511	3,305	3,869	0.2%
Dallas	8K	R+29.4	798	1,482	2,324	0.1%
Woodruff	8K	R+32.5	760	1,513	2,318	0.1%
Monroe	8K	R+15.7	1,002	1,385	2,433	0.1%
Cleveland	7K	R+67.6	524	2,804	3,374	0.1%
Woodruff	7K	R+32.5	760	1,513	2,318	0.1%
Monroe	7K	R+15.7	1,002	1,385	2,433	0.1%
Dallas	6K	R+29.4	798	1,482	2,324	0.1%
Woodruff	6K	R+32.5	760	1,513	2,318	0.1%
Calhoun	6K	R+61.9	379	1,674	2,092	0.1%
Calhoun	5K	R+61.9	379	1,674	2,092	0.1%
Calhoun	5K	R+61.9	379	1,674	2,092	0.1%
Calhoun	5K	R+61.9	379	1,674	2,092	0.1%

148 countiesTotal votes: 2,335,184

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Little Rock-Pine Bluff's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Little Rock-Pine Bluff media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Little Rock-Pine BluffCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 73.0%Black 19.2%Hispanic 4.3%Multiracial 2.1%Asian 1.0%Native American 0.4%

Group	Local	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	73.0%	57.4%
▶Black / African American(12)	19.2%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(17)	4.3%	19.3%
Multiracial / Other	2.1%	4.0%
▶Asian(6)	1.0%	6.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.4%	0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

57.2%(838.6K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -63.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	37.4%	65.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	8.0%	14.0%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	6.2%	10.8%	—	—
Catholic	3.5%	6.1%	—	—
Other	2.1%	3.6%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.8%	1.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	42.8%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Little Rock-Pine Bluff media market? 5,665,809 residents across 148 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Little Rock-Pine Bluff vs National5.7M residents

22% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 11pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.7M

local

5.7MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

1.69%

local

1.69%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.3%

local

38.3%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$44,854

local

$44,854National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.6%

local

16.6%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

22.4%

local

22.4%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

67.8%

local

67.8%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

38.1 yrs

local

38.1 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.3%

local

12.3%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

12.4%

local

12.4%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0%

local

3.0%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

5.2%

local

5.2%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

94.8%

local

94.8%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Little Rock-Pine Bluff

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

52.8%

vs Previous

-2.7pp

Eligible Non-Voters

521K · 47.2%

Citizen VAP

1,105,090

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Little Rock-Pine Bluff split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2022 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
Senate vs Governor	R+30.8	R+23.3	7.4pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 30.2pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Little Rock-Pine Bluff sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Arkansas(State)

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