College town anchors a media market stretching to the state capital
The market pairs the University of Illinois's student and faculty population in Champaign-Urbana with the government-worker concentration around Springfield, producing two distinct voter pools that rarely move in lockstep.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Champaign | 209K | D+23.8 | 54,314 | 32,965 | 89,581 | 5.1% |
| Champaign | 206K | D+23.8 | 54,314 | 32,965 | 89,581 | 5.1% |
| Sangamon | 199K | R+5.0 | 46,074 | 50,979 | 99,171 | 5.7% |
| Sangamon | 195K | R+5.0 | 46,074 | 50,979 | 99,171 | 5.7% |
| Sangamon | 194K | R+5.0 | 46,074 | 50,979 | 99,171 | 5.7% |
| Champaign | 192K | D+23.8 | 54,314 | 32,965 | 89,581 | 5.1% |
| Sangamon | 189K | R+5.0 | 46,074 | 50,979 | 99,171 | 5.7% |
| Champaign | 180K | D+23.8 | 54,314 | 32,965 | 89,581 | 5.1% |
| Macon | 115K | R+18.9 | 18,009 | 26,562 | 45,341 | 2.6% |
| Macon | 109K | R+18.9 | 18,009 | 26,562 | 45,341 | 2.6% |
| Macon | 108K | R+18.9 | 18,009 | 26,562 | 45,341 | 2.6% |
| Macon | 102K | R+18.9 | 18,009 | 26,562 | 45,341 | 2.6% |
| Vermilion | 84K | R+35.6 | 9,254 | 19,777 | 29,549 | 1.7% |
| Vermilion | 81K | R+35.6 | 9,254 | 19,777 | 29,549 | 1.7% |
| Vermilion | 80K | R+35.6 | 9,254 | 19,777 | 29,549 | 1.7% |
| Vermilion | 72K | R+35.6 | 9,254 | 19,777 | 29,549 | 1.7% |
| Coles | 53K | R+28.4 | 7,495 | 13,606 | 21,507 | 1.2% |
| Coles | 53K | R+28.4 | 7,495 | 13,606 | 21,507 | 1.2% |
| Coles | 52K | R+28.4 | 7,495 | 13,606 | 21,507 | 1.2% |
| Coles | 47K | R+28.4 | 7,495 | 13,606 | 21,507 | 1.2% |
| Morgan | 37K | R+32.4 | 4,848 | 9,607 | 14,677 | 0.8% |
| Christian | 35K | R+46.6 | 4,026 | 11,278 | 15,545 | 0.9% |
| Morgan | 35K | R+32.4 | 4,848 | 9,607 | 14,677 | 0.8% |
| Morgan | 35K | R+32.4 | 4,848 | 9,607 | 14,677 | 0.8% |
| Christian | 35K | R+46.6 | 4,026 | 11,278 | 15,545 | 0.9% |
| Effingham | 35K | R+60.3 | 3,617 | 15,124 | 19,084 | 1.1% |
| Effingham | 34K | R+60.3 | 3,617 | 15,124 | 19,084 | 1.1% |
| Effingham | 34K | R+60.3 | 3,617 | 15,124 | 19,084 | 1.1% |
| Effingham | 34K | R+60.3 | 3,617 | 15,124 | 19,084 | 1.1% |
| Christian | 34K | R+46.6 | 4,026 | 11,278 | 15,545 | 0.9% |
| Christian | 34K | R+46.6 | 4,026 | 11,278 | 15,545 | 0.9% |
| Morgan | 33K | R+32.4 | 4,848 | 9,607 | 14,677 | 0.8% |
| Iroquois | 31K | R+57.3 | 2,747 | 10,376 | 13,324 | 0.8% |
| Logan | 31K | R+41.5 | 3,543 | 8,757 | 12,564 | 0.7% |
| Iroquois | 30K | R+57.3 | 2,747 | 10,376 | 13,324 | 0.8% |
| Logan | 30K | R+41.5 | 3,543 | 8,757 | 12,564 | 0.7% |
| Logan | 30K | R+41.5 | 3,543 | 8,757 | 12,564 | 0.7% |
| Iroquois | 29K | R+57.3 | 2,747 | 10,376 | 13,324 | 0.8% |
| Logan | 28K | R+41.5 | 3,543 | 8,757 | 12,564 | 0.7% |
| Iroquois | 26K | R+57.3 | 2,747 | 10,376 | 13,324 | 0.8% |
| Shelby | 23K | R+60.2 | 2,240 | 9,267 | 11,670 | 0.7% |
| Shelby | 22K | R+60.2 | 2,240 | 9,267 | 11,670 | 0.7% |
| Shelby | 22K | R+60.2 | 2,240 | 9,267 | 11,670 | 0.7% |
| Shelby | 21K | R+60.2 | 2,240 | 9,267 | 11,670 | 0.7% |
| Douglas | 20K | R+46.1 | 2,198 | 6,076 | 8,410 | 0.5% |
| Douglas | 20K | R+46.1 | 2,198 | 6,076 | 8,410 | 0.5% |
| Douglas | 20K | R+46.1 | 2,198 | 6,076 | 8,410 | 0.5% |
| Edgar | 20K | R+52.3 | 1,816 | 5,955 | 7,912 | 0.5% |
| Douglas | 19K | R+46.1 | 2,198 | 6,076 | 8,410 | 0.5% |
| Edgar | 19K | R+52.3 | 1,816 | 5,955 | 7,912 | 0.5% |
| Edgar | 18K | R+52.3 | 1,816 | 5,955 | 7,912 | 0.5% |
| Dewitt | 17K | R+44.7 | 2,058 | 5,529 | 7,758 | 0.4% |
| Piatt | 17K | R+30.5 | 3,204 | 6,104 | 9,508 | 0.5% |
| Edgar | 17K | R+52.3 | 1,816 | 5,955 | 7,912 | 0.5% |
| Piatt | 16K | R+30.5 | 3,204 | 6,104 | 9,508 | 0.5% |
| Piatt | 16K | R+30.5 | 3,204 | 6,104 | 9,508 | 0.5% |
| Piatt | 16K | R+30.5 | 3,204 | 6,104 | 9,508 | 0.5% |
| Dewitt | 16K | R+44.7 | 2,058 | 5,529 | 7,758 | 0.4% |
| Dewitt | 16K | R+44.7 | 2,058 | 5,529 | 7,758 | 0.4% |
| Dewitt | 15K | R+44.7 | 2,058 | 5,529 | 7,758 | 0.4% |
| Moultrie | 15K | R+49.0 | 1,615 | 4,816 | 6,528 | 0.4% |
| Moultrie | 14K | R+49.0 | 1,615 | 4,816 | 6,528 | 0.4% |
| Moultrie | 14K | R+49.0 | 1,615 | 4,816 | 6,528 | 0.4% |
| Moultrie | 14K | R+49.0 | 1,615 | 4,816 | 6,528 | 0.4% |
| Ford | 14K | R+47.8 | 1,643 | 4,778 | 6,553 | 0.4% |
| Ford | 14K | R+47.8 | 1,643 | 4,778 | 6,553 | 0.4% |
| Ford | 14K | R+47.8 | 1,643 | 4,778 | 6,553 | 0.4% |
| Cass | 14K | R+43.4 | 1,438 | 3,712 | 5,241 | 0.3% |
| Cass | 14K | R+43.4 | 1,438 | 3,712 | 5,241 | 0.3% |
| Ford | 13K | R+47.8 | 1,643 | 4,778 | 6,553 | 0.4% |
| Cass | 13K | R+43.4 | 1,438 | 3,712 | 5,241 | 0.3% |
| Cass | 13K | R+43.4 | 1,438 | 3,712 | 5,241 | 0.3% |
| Menard | 13K | R+41.4 | 1,834 | 4,499 | 6,431 | 0.4% |
| Menard | 12K | R+41.4 | 1,834 | 4,499 | 6,431 | 0.4% |
| Menard | 12K | R+41.4 | 1,834 | 4,499 | 6,431 | 0.4% |
| Menard | 12K | R+41.4 | 1,834 | 4,499 | 6,431 | 0.4% |
| Cumberland | 11K | R+61.9 | 1,059 | 4,627 | 5,769 | 0.3% |
| Cumberland | 11K | R+61.9 | 1,059 | 4,627 | 5,769 | 0.3% |
| Cumberland | 11K | R+61.9 | 1,059 | 4,627 | 5,769 | 0.3% |
| Cumberland | 10K | R+61.9 | 1,059 | 4,627 | 5,769 | 0.3% |
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 83.5% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 8.5% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 3.2% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.6% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.1% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -26.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 47.3% | — | — | |
| 11.2% | 25.2% | — | — | |
| 8.4% | 18.9% | — | — | |
| 2.1% | 4.8% | — | — | |
| 1.6% | 3.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.6% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.6% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Champaign & Springfield-Decatur media market? 3,798,213 residents across 80 counties.
26% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+15.9 | R+19.2 | 3.4pp |