Alabama's Black Belt anchors a market where majority-minority counties shape statewide margins
Spanning the historic Black Belt from Montgomery to Selma, this market's electorate is among the most heavily African-American in the Deep South, consistently producing some of Alabama's largest Democratic vote shares in a state that trends reliably Republican statewide.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montgomery | 227K | D+30.6 | 57,946 | 30,477 | 89,798 | 8.1% |
| Montgomery | 227K | D+30.6 | 57,946 | 30,477 | 89,798 | 8.1% |
| Montgomery | 224K | D+30.6 | 57,946 | 30,477 | 89,798 | 8.1% |
| Montgomery | 224K | D+30.6 | 57,946 | 30,477 | 89,798 | 8.1% |
| Elmore | 90K | R+51.9 | 9,774 | 31,374 | 41,624 | 3.7% |
| Elmore | 81K | R+51.9 | 9,774 | 31,374 | 41,624 | 3.7% |
| Elmore | 77K | R+51.9 | 9,774 | 31,374 | 41,624 | 3.7% |
| Elmore | 66K | R+51.9 | 9,774 | 31,374 | 41,624 | 3.7% |
| Autauga | 60K | R+46.1 | 7,439 | 20,484 | 28,281 | 2.5% |
| Autauga | 55K | R+46.1 | 7,439 | 20,484 | 28,281 | 2.5% |
| Autauga | 50K | R+46.1 | 7,439 | 20,484 | 28,281 | 2.5% |
| Dallas | 46K | D+32.5 | 10,236 | 5,190 | 15,547 | 1.4% |
| Autauga | 44K | R+46.1 | 7,439 | 20,484 | 28,281 | 2.5% |
| Dallas | 43K | D+32.5 | 10,236 | 5,190 | 15,547 | 1.4% |
| Tallapoosa | 41K | R+49.5 | 4,975 | 14,884 | 20,023 | 1.8% |
| Dallas | 41K | D+32.5 | 10,236 | 5,190 | 15,547 | 1.4% |
| Tallapoosa | 41K | R+49.5 | 4,975 | 14,884 | 20,023 | 1.8% |
| Tallapoosa | 41K | R+49.5 | 4,975 | 14,884 | 20,023 | 1.8% |
| Tallapoosa | 41K | R+49.5 | 4,975 | 14,884 | 20,023 | 1.8% |
| Covington | 38K | R+72.3 | 2,314 | 14,677 | 17,095 | 1.5% |
| Covington | 38K | R+72.3 | 2,314 | 14,677 | 17,095 | 1.5% |
| Covington | 38K | R+72.3 | 2,314 | 14,677 | 17,095 | 1.5% |
| Dallas | 37K | D+32.5 | 10,236 | 5,190 | 15,547 | 1.4% |
| Covington | 37K | R+72.3 | 2,314 | 14,677 | 17,095 | 1.5% |
| Pike | 33K | R+25.2 | 4,899 | 8,224 | 13,216 | 1.2% |
| Pike | 33K | R+25.2 | 4,899 | 8,224 | 13,216 | 1.2% |
| Pike | 30K | R+25.2 | 4,899 | 8,224 | 13,216 | 1.2% |
| Pike | 30K | R+25.2 | 4,899 | 8,224 | 13,216 | 1.2% |
| Macon | 24K | D+56.2 | 6,084 | 1,682 | 7,834 | 0.7% |
| Marengo | 23K | R+3.8 | 4,631 | 4,995 | 9,682 | 0.9% |
| Macon | 22K | D+56.2 | 6,084 | 1,682 | 7,834 | 0.7% |
| Butler | 21K | R+22.6 | 3,251 | 5,172 | 8,480 | 0.8% |
| Marengo | 21K | R+3.8 | 4,631 | 4,995 | 9,682 | 0.9% |
| Butler | 20K | R+22.6 | 3,251 | 5,172 | 8,480 | 0.8% |
| Butler | 20K | R+22.6 | 3,251 | 5,172 | 8,480 | 0.8% |
| Marengo | 20K | R+3.8 | 4,631 | 4,995 | 9,682 | 0.9% |
| Macon | 20K | D+56.2 | 6,084 | 1,682 | 7,834 | 0.7% |
| Marengo | 19K | R+3.8 | 4,631 | 4,995 | 9,682 | 0.9% |
| Macon | 19K | D+56.2 | 6,084 | 1,682 | 7,834 | 0.7% |
| Butler | 19K | R+22.6 | 3,251 | 5,172 | 8,480 | 0.8% |
| Crenshaw | 14K | R+54.6 | 1,457 | 5,000 | 6,486 | 0.6% |
| Crenshaw | 14K | R+54.6 | 1,457 | 5,000 | 6,486 | 0.6% |
| Crenshaw | 14K | R+54.6 | 1,457 | 5,000 | 6,486 | 0.6% |
| Lowndes | 13K | D+37.3 | 3,867 | 1,758 | 5,655 | 0.5% |
| Wilcox | 13K | D+31.5 | 3,449 | 1,793 | 5,263 | 0.5% |
| Crenshaw | 13K | R+54.6 | 1,457 | 5,000 | 6,486 | 0.6% |
| Lowndes | 13K | D+37.3 | 3,867 | 1,758 | 5,655 | 0.5% |
| Wilcox | 13K | D+31.5 | 3,449 | 1,793 | 5,263 | 0.5% |
| Perry | 12K | D+42.7 | 3,174 | 1,269 | 4,465 | 0.4% |
| Bullock | 12K | D+45.8 | 2,983 | 1,101 | 4,111 | 0.4% |
| Wilcox | 11K | D+31.5 | 3,449 | 1,793 | 5,263 | 0.5% |
| Bullock | 11K | D+45.8 | 2,983 | 1,101 | 4,111 | 0.4% |
| Perry | 11K | D+42.7 | 3,174 | 1,269 | 4,465 | 0.4% |
| Lowndes | 11K | D+37.3 | 3,867 | 1,758 | 5,655 | 0.5% |
| Bullock | 11K | D+45.8 | 2,983 | 1,101 | 4,111 | 0.4% |
| Wilcox | 10K | D+31.5 | 3,449 | 1,793 | 5,263 | 0.5% |
| Bullock | 10K | D+45.8 | 2,983 | 1,101 | 4,111 | 0.4% |
| Perry | 10K | D+42.7 | 3,174 | 1,269 | 4,465 | 0.4% |
| Lowndes | 10K | D+37.3 | 3,867 | 1,758 | 5,655 | 0.5% |
| Perry | 8K | D+42.7 | 3,174 | 1,269 | 4,465 | 0.4% |
| Group | Montgomery-Selma | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.3% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(11) | 43.9% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.1% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.4% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.1% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(6) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -61.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.1% | 60.5% | — | — | |
| 11.7% | 18.7% | — | — | |
| 8.0% | 12.7% | — | — | |
| 2.6% | 4.1% | — | — | |
| 2.5% | 3.9% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.9% | 1.4% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 37.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Montgomery-Selma media market? 2,510,063 residents across 60 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+14.4 | R+16.6 | 2.2pp |