How did Monterey-Salinas vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Monterey-Salinas voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+39.0. Kamala D Harris received 209,237 votes and Donald Trump received 88,906 out of 308,502 total votes cast, a 9.0-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Monterey-Salinas's political history?

Monterey-Salinas has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 87.0 points in 1876.

What are the demographics of Monterey-Salinas?

Monterey-Salinas has a population of 2,950,682 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 43.1% non-Hispanic white, 46.4% Hispanic, 2.1% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $71,361.

Which places are most similar to Monterey-Salinas?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Monterey-Salinas are Los Angeles, SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb, San Diego. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Live · Media market

Monterey-Salinas

Coastal agriculture meets university-town demographics on the Central Coast

The Monterey-Salinas market spans a striking economic divide — affluent coastal tourism and tech-adjacent Monterey contrasts with the heavily Latino, farmworker-dependent Salinas Valley, producing notably split voting patterns across its ZIP codes.

Presidential margin · 2024

Data unavailable for this race.

Race data unavailable

Geography

Race data unavailable

No current race for this office.

2024FIPS 828

Population3.0M

Median ageU.S. 38.9y

34.8y▼ 4.1

Bachelor's+U.S. 35%

29.3%▼ 5.7

Hispanic46.4%
White43.1%
Other20.2%
Two or more7.8%
Asian5.1%
Black2.1%
Native0.9%

Trajectory · 2008–2024

Monterey-SalinasBaseline

Cycle2024

Open in Cartographer

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Reads like Los Angeles, SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb, and San Diego.

8 visible matches

Los Angeles

Educated rural democratic

D+17.9

Similarity score93%

SantaBarbra-SanMar-SanLuOb

Educated rural democratic

D+19.6

Similarity score93%

San Diego

Educated rural democratic

D+16.8

Similarity score91%

Las Vegas

Educated rural democratic

D+1.3

Similarity score89%

Sacramnto-Stkton-Modesto

Educated rural democratic

D+5.7

Similarity score88%

Fresno-Visalia

Diverse rural competitive

R+10.6

Similarity score88%

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score87%

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score87%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Monterey-Salinas

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Monterey	438K	D+29.9	93,060	49,226	146,718	11.9%
Monterey	430K	D+29.9	93,060	49,226	146,718	11.9%
Monterey	405K	D+29.9	93,060	49,226	146,718	11.9%
Monterey	402K	D+29.9	93,060	49,226	146,718	11.9%
Santa Cruz	271K	D+54.4	100,998	27,978	134,135	10.9%
Santa Cruz	265K	D+54.4	100,998	27,978	134,135	10.9%
Santa Cruz	256K	D+54.4	100,998	27,978	134,135	10.9%
Santa Cruz	251K	D+54.4	100,998	27,978	134,135	10.9%
San Benito	67K	D+12.6	15,179	11,702	27,649	2.2%
San Benito	58K	D+12.6	15,179	11,702	27,649	2.2%
San Benito	55K	D+12.6	15,179	11,702	27,649	2.2%
San Benito	53K	D+12.6	15,179	11,702	27,649	2.2%

12 countiesTotal votes: 1,234,008

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Monterey-Salinas's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Monterey-Salinas media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Monterey-SalinasCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

Hispanic 46.4%White (Non-Hispanic) 43.1%Asian 5.1%Multiracial 2.4%Black 2.1%Native American 0.9%

Group	Monterey-Salinas	National
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	46.4%	19.3%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	43.1%	57.4%
▶Asian(6)	5.1%	6.0%
Multiracial / Other	2.4%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(10)	2.1%	12.2%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)	1.0%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2)	0.9%	0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6)	0.1%	0.2%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

54.1%(416.3K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +61.7pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Ecological pattern — how to read this

Reflects patterns in counties where this religious tradition concentrates — not a claim about individual voters.

Values are derived by joining Religion Census 2020 (U.S. Religion Data Archive) with certified election results at the county level. That means we know what counties with more or fewer of this group did — not how any individual voted.

This is known as ecological inference. It is a valid way to surface geographic correlation but must not be read as a personal-vote claim about anyone in the group.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	40.8%	75.5%	—	—
Other	6.4%	11.8%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	5.0%	9.3%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	1.6%	2.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	1.2%	2.2%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.5%	0.8%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.2%	0.4%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	45.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Monterey-Salinas media market? 2,950,682 residents across 12 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Export CSVPro

Monterey-Salinas vs National3.0M residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.0M

local

3.0MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.88%

local

0.88%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

37.4%

local

37.4%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$71,361

local

$71,361National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

13.2%

local

13.2%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.3%

local

29.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

56.2%

local

56.2%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

34.8 yrs

local

34.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

14.2%

local

14.2%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

9.9%

local

9.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

24.6%

local

24.6%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

43.5%

local

43.5%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

56.5%

local

56.5%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Monterey-Salinas

Turnout % = votes cast ÷ citizen voting-age population (CVAP). Source: CVAP Special Tab 2020-2024.

2024 Turnout

64.8%

vs Previous

-6.1pp

Eligible Non-Voters

167K · 35.2%

Citizen VAP

475,867

History

1988–2024

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Monterey-Salinas split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	D+39.0	D+37.0	2.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 19.6pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Monterey-Salinas sits inside these higher-level geographies.

California(State)

Upgrade Path

Unlock Media Market Analytics

Advance from the public dossier into precinct-level, insight-rich district intelligence.

Target plan Pro$33/mo

Precinct data, Smart Insights, full history, and export controls tailored to place pages.

Precinct-Level Data

See results for every neighborhood and voting precinct

Smart Insights

Automated highlights from recent election patterns

Full Historical Access

165 years of election data at every level of geography

CSV Exports

Download any table or chart as a CSV file

Upgrade to Pro$33/mo