A transient population that complicates every turnout model
The Las Vegas media market anchors Clark County, home to roughly 75% of Nevada's voters, where rapid in-migration and a large hospitality workforce produce unusually high voter-roll churn and make traditional likely-voter screens difficult to calibrate.
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark | 2.3M | D+2.6 | 520,187 | 493,052 | 1,031,223 | 24.3% |
| Clark | 2.1M | D+2.6 | 520,187 | 493,052 | 1,031,223 | 24.3% |
| Clark | 1.8M | D+2.6 | 520,187 | 493,052 | 1,031,223 | 24.3% |
| Clark | 1.4M | D+2.6 | 520,187 | 493,052 | 1,031,223 | 24.3% |
| Nye | 54K | R+42.2 | 7,559 | 18,946 | 26,997 | 0.6% |
| Nye | 43K | R+42.2 | 7,559 | 18,946 | 26,997 | 0.6% |
| Nye | 43K | R+42.2 | 7,559 | 18,946 | 26,997 | 0.6% |
| Nye | 32K | R+42.2 | 7,559 | 18,946 | 26,997 | 0.6% |
| Lincoln | 5K | R+72.6 | 314 | 2,108 | 2,472 | 0.1% |
| Lincoln | 5K | R+72.6 | 314 | 2,108 | 2,472 | 0.1% |
| Lincoln | 4K | R+72.6 | 314 | 2,108 | 2,472 | 0.1% |
| Lincoln | 4K | R+72.6 | 314 | 2,108 | 2,472 | 0.1% |
| Group | Las Vegas | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 48.1% | 57.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 28.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 10.5% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 8.4% | 6.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.7% | 4.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 0.9% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(6) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +40.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25.0% | 59.9% | — | — | |
| 8.3% | 19.8% | — | — | |
| 6.4% | 15.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 5.8% | 13.9% | — | — |
| 0.9% | 2.2% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.3% | — | — | |
| 0.5% | 1.2% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 58.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Las Vegas media market? 7,788,182 residents across 12 counties.
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | D+1.3 | D+6.0 | 4.7pp |